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Royals 2, Reds 1                                            2026-07-06 · #1012
at Sokk Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Cincinnati              1    1    3    0
Kansas City             2    2    2    0

REDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Foxworth    p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Dilworth    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Pittman     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Villalobos  lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Subhash pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Goodwin     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-David   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gayton      cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Murakami    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Levy        rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Suarez  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Tsoubanos   3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Corozo  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Warwick     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Patrick     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Taupaki     j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  24   1   3   0   0   0   0   4  10   0   0  0.125
  CS: Murakami (11), Taupaki (1).
  GIDP: Foxworth (1), Murakami (6), David (5), Corozo (5).
  a-Ran for Villalobos in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Goodwin in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Levy in the 6th.
  d-Grounded out for Suarez in the 8th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Monson      1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Graham      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Selden      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Vera        cf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Linnehan    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Talavera    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hsia        rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Devens      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lamar       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   8   2   2   0   0   0   2   1   3   0   0  0.250



REDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Foxworth (L, 12-10) .     8    6  22%    1    2    2    1    3    0   33    -

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lamar (W, 6-2) ......    20   19  70%    2    0    0    3    6    0   82    -
Weil ................     7    8  30%    0    1    1    1    4    0   26  2-1

REDS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-6)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Foxworth (Outs 1-6)
CATCHER (C)       | Dilworth (Outs 1-6)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Pittman (Outs 1-6)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodwin (Outs 1-6)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Tsoubanos (Outs 1-6)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Murakami (Outs 1-6)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Villalobos (Outs 1-6)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gayton (Outs 1-6)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Levy (Outs 1-6)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lamar (Outs 1-19) → Weil (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Monson (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Selden (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Devens (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Talavera (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Vera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Hsia (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted second; Reds batted first.
  First pitch 7:35 PM CT. Weather: 99°F · Wind out · Overcast · Humid. seed 330753.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 20 Shelby Warwick Zachary Subhash (3B) 1–0
B 6 Patrick Lamar Eugenio Vera (3B) 1–1
B 6 Patrick Lamar Kael Monson (2B) 1–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Reds — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Blaise Dilworth — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 181 ft Devron Villalobos — fly_out · EV 53 mph · LA +31° · 101 ft Thomas Gayton — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 313 ft Emmanuel Murakami — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -15° · 49 ft Bret David — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Shelby Warwick — single · EV 78 mph · LA +7° · 74 ft Adam Patrick — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 222 ft Marco Corozo — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 101 ft Ed Tsoubanos — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -3° · 87 ft Jackson Levy — single · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Blaise Dilworth — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 197 ft Travis Foxworth — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Emmanuel Murakami — fielders_choice · EV 59 mph · LA -13° · 56 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
3 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' George Graham — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 88 ft Rich Linnehan — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +28° · 221 ft Patrick Lamar — single · EV 86 mph · LA +11° · 110 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Reds
66% deserve-to-win  ·  1.4 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.4 vs expected
contact: 4.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-2.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Thomas Gayton 92 / +34° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Adam Patrick 92 / +20° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Jackson Levy 76 / +4° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Shelby Warwick 78 / +7° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Marco Corozo 76 / +13° Center Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.48
Royals
34% deserve-to-win  ·  1.0 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 1.8 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-0.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
George Graham 88 / +8° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Patrick Lamar 86 / +11° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.41
Rich Linnehan 82 / +28° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.40
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