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Nationals 5, Cubs 3                                         2026-07-20 · #1113
at Tannery Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Chicago                 3    3    4    0
Washington              5    5    4    0

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Santana     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Uribe       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   2  1.000
Segovia     rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Heinze      c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Lamas   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
May         lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Myers       ss ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Seol        1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Saprissa    3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mueller     cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Kurth   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Maxson  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Verhoeven   j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Schellenger j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Conn        j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  25   3   4   2   0   0   3   3  15   0   2  0.160
  2B: Heinze (10), Myers (11).
  SB: Uribe (1), Heinze (17).
  CS: Santana (16).
  HBP: Santana (6).
  GIDP: Seol (6).
  a-Struck out for Heinze in the 6th.
  b-Struck out in the 7th.
  c-Ran in the 8th.

NATIONALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pastore     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Burrows     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Heffner pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Devezin     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Cheng       3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Morel       1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Foster  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Cruz        cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Thompki ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   .000
DeMelo      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Giroud  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Shi         ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Fabra   pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Abadía      p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  f-Houston pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Alvarado    3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Jones-W pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Menz    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mayer       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ebun        j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  25   5   4   0   0   0   3   6   6   0   0  0.160
  SB: Fabra 2 (6).
  HBP: Pastore (2), Shi (1), Thompkins (9).
  GIDP: Cheng (12), Houston (2), Heffner (2).
  GITP: Cheng (1).
  a-Ran for Burrows in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Morel in the 7th.
  c-Was hit by a pitch for Cruz in the 4th.
  d-Walked for DeMelo in the 4th.
  e-Ran for Shi in the 3rd.
  f-Ran for Abadía in the 4th.
  g-Ran for Giroud in the 4th.
  h-Ran for Thompkins in the 4th.

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Uribe ...............    20   17  63%    1    2    1    2    3    0   64    -
Catalano (L, 0-1) ...    13   10  37%    2    3    3    4    3    0   40  2-1

NATIONALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Abadía (W, 3-17) ....    29   27 100%    4    3    3    3   15    0  107    -

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Uribe (Outs 1-17) → Catalano (Outs 18-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Heinze (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Seol (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santana (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Saprissa (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Myers (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | May (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Mueller (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Segovia (Outs 1-27)

NATIONALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Abadía (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Burrows (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Morel (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pastore (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alvarado (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Shi (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeMelo (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cruz (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Devezin (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Nationals (home) batted first; Cubs batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 89°F · Wind cross · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 814043.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 10 Damion Thompkins Frickson Abadía (3B) 0–1
B 17 Oscar Fabra Sammy Houston (3B) 0–2
B 21 Daniel Heffner Daniel Heffner (3B) 0–3
B 25 Bobby Ebun Raz Menz (3B) 0–4
B 25 Júnior Alvarado Júnior Alvarado (3B) 0–5
T 0 Tomas Heinze Teófilo Segovia (1B) 1–5
T 5 Michael Mueller Tomas Heinze (3B) 2–5
T 23 Piero Uribe Brian Verhoeven (3B) 3–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tannery Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 331' · CF 438' · RF 348' · 9' wall). Cavernous.
Cubs — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
331' 438' 348' Teófilo Segovia — single · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 147 ft Tomas Heinze — double · EV 106 mph · LA +32° · 406 ft Michael Mueller — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +46° · 255 ft Piero Uribe — single · EV 84 mph · LA -13° · 80 ft Ryan Schellenger — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +2° · 71 ft Yong-soo Seol — double_play · EV 70 mph · LA +6° · 67 ft Tomas Heinze — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -6° · 69 ft Floyd Myers — double · EV 86 mph · LA +12° · 125 ft Ivan Saprissa — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA -10° · 83 ft Michael Mueller — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +13° · 118 ft
Nationals — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
331' 438' 348' Marcos Pastore — fielders_choice · EV 68 mph · LA -3° · 64 ft Basil Burrows — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +48° · 171 ft Cheng-wei Cheng — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA -8° · 60 ft Dante DeMelo — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Sammy Houston — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA -8° · 51 ft Rayce Foster — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Bobby Ebun — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 117 ft Júnior Alvarado — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Frickson Abadía — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Yoel Morel — error · EV 60 mph · LA +6° · 57 ft Cheng-wei Cheng — triple_play · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Rill Devezin — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Oscar Fabra — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 220 ft Daniel Heffner — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 142 ft Cheng-wei Cheng — single · EV 93 mph · LA +9° · 107 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Cubs
23% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 6.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Floyd Myers 86 / +12° Pull Double 0.6 → 2 +1.42
Tomas Heinze 106 / +32° Center Double 2.9 → 2 -0.90
Piero Uribe 84 / -13° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Michael Mueller 82 / +13° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Ivan Saprissa 87 / -10° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.34
Nationals
77% deserve-to-win  ·  6.8 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -1.8 vs expected
contact: 5.7 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-2.7 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rill Devezin 92 / +42° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Daniel Heffner 76 / +19° Oppo Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Bobby Ebun 76 / +15° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Rayce Foster 52 / +10° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
Júnior Alvarado 52 / +15° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
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