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Diamondbacks 28, Reds 1                                     2026-07-24 · #1157
at Arizona Coliseum
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Cincinnati              1      -    1    5    0
Arizona                28      0   28   21    0

REDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Subhash     2b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Acosta      c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Dilworth    1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Gayton      cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Villalobos  rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Pittman     lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Murakami    3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Dawkins     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Agnew       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Tsouban ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  27   1   5   1   0   0   1   1  11   0   0  0.185
  2B: Subhash (11).
  CS: Gayton (11).
  GIDP: Acosta (3).
  a-Singled in the 6th.

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Maupin      c  ......    6   7   5   0   0   2   8   0   0   0   0  0.833
Frame       p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   .000
Alderman    3b ......    5   3   3   2   0   0   4   1   1   0   0  0.600
Gronowski   rf ......    4   2   2   0   1   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Linton      lf ......    6   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   3   0   0  0.333
Bektas      1b ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.500
Gibson      2b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Foyth       cf ......    6   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Halstead    ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Randall pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Tanabe  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Monds   pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Schmelz pr ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
  e-Ullstro ph ......    4   3   2   1   0   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  41  28  21   9   1   4  28   8   8   0   1  0.512
  2B: Alderman 2 (3), Linton 2 (5), Gibson (4), Foyth (12), Halstead (3), Schmelzle (7), Ullstrom (13).
  3B: Gronowski (2).
  HR: Maupin 2 (3), off Logroño, Núñez; Bektas (1), off Logroño; Ullstrom (1), off Núñez.
  SB: Randall (7), Monds (11).
  HBP: Gronowski (5).
  a-Ran for Halstead in the 2nd.
  b-Walked for Randall in the 2nd.
  c-Ran for Tanabe in the 2nd.
  d-Ran in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 4th.

REDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Agnew ...............    17   10  37%    7    6    6    2    5    0   59    -
Logroño (L, 0-2) ....     8    1   4%    6    9    8    1    0    2   21  1-1
Cota ................    14   11  41%    1    3    3    3    4    0   59  1-0
Núñez ...............     7    2   7%    5    9    8    1    0    2   27  1-1
Gayton ..............     4    3  11%    1    1    1    1    1    0   13  1-1

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Frame (W, 5-9) ......    11   12  44%    0    0    0    0    7    0   50    -
Wilkins .............    14   11  41%    5    1    1    1    4    0   59    -
Renda (F, 4) ........     2    4  15%    0    0    0    0    0    0    6  2-0

REDS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Agnew (Outs 1-10) → Logroño (Outs 11-11) → Cota (Outs 12-22) → Núñez (Outs 23-24) → Gayton (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Acosta (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Dilworth (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Subhash (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Murakami (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Dawkins (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Pittman (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gayton (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Villalobos (Outs 1-27)

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Frame (Outs 1-12) → Wilkins (Outs 13-23) → Renda (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Maupin (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Bektas (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gibson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Halstead (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Linton (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Foyth (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gronowski (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Diamondbacks (home) batted first; Reds batted second.
  Seconds: ARI o26 (28-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM MT. Weather: 92°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Dry. seed 370905.
  Powerplays: Reds — Tsoubanos NF
  Walk-Back runs: off Logroño 1, off Núñez 1, off Gayton 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 3.22    Peak faced 42.00
    27 outs left: 3.22
    18 outs left: 4.83
     9 outs left: 9.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 5 Isadore Gibson Huntley Maupin (3B) 0–1 —
B 5 Joao Foyth Isadore Gibson (2B) 0–2 —
B 5 Gregg Halstead Joao Foyth (1B) 0–3 —
B 9 Ron Gronowski Anderson Randall (3B) 0–4 —
B 9 Ron Gronowski Owen Monds (2B) 0–5 —
B 9 Bryce Alderman Ron Gronowski (3B) 0–6 —
B 9 Huntley Maupin Bryce Alderman (2B) 0–7 —
B 9 Huntley Maupin Alfredo Frame (2B) 0–8 —
B 9 Huntley Maupin Huntley Maupin (1B) 0–9 —
B 9 Huntley Maupin Huntley Maupin (—) 0–10 —
B 9 Irving Ullstrom Huntley Maupin (3B) 0–11 —
B 9 Bryce Alderman Irving Ullstrom (2B) 0–12 —
B 10 Miguel Linton Bryce Alderman (2B) 0–13 —
B 10 Phillip Bektas Miguel Linton (2B) 0–14 —
B 10 Phillip Bektas Phillip Bektas (HR) 0–15 —
B 17 Bryce Alderman Wallace Schmelzle (3B) 0–16 —
B 17 Irving Ullstrom Phillip Bektas (3B) 0–17 —
B 20 Huntley Maupin Bryce Alderman (3B) 0–18 —
B 22 Miguel Linton Huntley Maupin (2B) 0–19 —
B 22 Miguel Linton Ron Gronowski (1B) 0–20 —
B 22 Phillip Bektas Miguel Linton (2B) 0–21 —
B 23 Joao Foyth Phillip Bektas (2B) 0–22 —
B 23 Huntley Maupin Joao Foyth (2B) 0–23 —
B 23 Huntley Maupin Owen Monds (1B) 0–24 —
B 23 Huntley Maupin Huntley Maupin (HR) 0–25 —
B 23 Irving Ullstrom Huntley Maupin (3B) 0–26 —
B 23 Irving Ullstrom Irving Ullstrom (HR) 0–27 —
B 23 Bryce Alderman Irving Ullstrom (3B) 0–28 —
T 22 Blaise Dilworth Blaise Dilworth (3B) 1–28 16.80
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 3.22
Peak faced 42.00
27 outs left 3.22
18 outs left 4.83
9 outs left 9.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Arizona Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 340' · CF 429' · RF 341' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest Ivy Wall
Reds — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Ed Tsoubanos — single · EV 65 mph · LA +25° · 131 ft Henri Dawkins — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +6° · 80 ft Emmanuel Murakami — line_out · EV 67 mph · LA +13° · 79 ft Lyle Pittman — single · EV 81 mph · LA +7° · 77 ft Blaise Dilworth — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Zachary Subhash — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -5° · 62 ft Johnny Acosta — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +30° · 207 ft Thomas Gayton — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 134 ft Blaise Dilworth — single · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Zachary Subhash — double · EV 103 mph · LA +22° · 298 ft Johnny Acosta — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 219 ft Johnny Acosta — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA -2° · 61 ft
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
29 BIP· 6 1B · 10 XBH · 4 HR
340' 429' 341' Huntley Maupin — single · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Phillip Bektas — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -12° · 60 ft Isadore Gibson — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 287 ft Joao Foyth — single · EV 112 mph · LA +7° · 106 ft Gregg Halstead — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 179 ft Irving Ullstrom — double · EV 104 mph · LA +26° · 341 ft Ron Gronowski — triple · EV 112 mph · LA +23° · 363 ft Bryce Alderman — double · EV 105 mph · LA +19° · 272 ft Huntley Maupin — single · EV 87 mph · LA +6° · 83 ft Irving Ullstrom — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +7° · 82 ft Huntley Maupin — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +33° · 449 ft Bryce Alderman — single · EV 110 mph · LA -18° · 104 ft Ron Gronowski — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -1° · 87 ft Miguel Linton — double · EV 96 mph · LA +41° · 366 ft Phillip Bektas — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +28° · 391 ft Joao Foyth — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -6° · 76 ft Wallace Schmelzle — double · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 310 ft Joao Foyth — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 266 ft Huntley Maupin — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -12° · 84 ft Bryce Alderman — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +13° · 130 ft Phillip Bektas — single · EV 82 mph · LA +18° · 157 ft Irving Ullstrom — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +33° · 470 ft Huntley Maupin — single · EV 88 mph · LA -3° · 84 ft Miguel Linton — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 250 ft Joao Foyth — double · EV 86 mph · LA +18° · 178 ft Bryce Alderman — double · EV 95 mph · LA +10° · 129 ft Huntley Maupin — hr · EV 97 mph · LA +34° · 352 ft Miguel Linton — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +5° · 93 ft Joao Foyth — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA +0° · 50 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Reds
0% deserve-to-win  ·  0.5 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 4.0 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+2.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ed Tsoubanos 65 / +25° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.87
Blaise Dilworth 76 / -11° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Lyle Pittman 81 / +7° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
Zachary Subhash 103 / +22° Oppo Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Thomas Gayton 76 / +18° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Diamondbacks
100% deserve-to-win  ·  20.7 expected runs
actual 28 runs  ·  +7.3 vs expected
contact: 32.1 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 43.0 (+10.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Huntley Maupin 97 / +34° Pull Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.55
Phillip Bektas 108 / +28° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.99
Joao Foyth 86 / +18° Center Double 0.6 → 2 +1.39
Ron Gronowski 112 / +23° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.28
Bryce Alderman 95 / +10° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
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