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Orioles 5, Orcas 3                                          2026-07-24 · #1160
at Rudy Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Vancouver               3    3    4    1
Baltimore               5    5    3    1

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Badger      3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Valdivi pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Peavy       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Beigel      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alonso-Corc ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Noonan  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Krickstein  2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Mendez  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Quintero    c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Granberry   1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Edmonson    rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kalieva     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Millar  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Balotel pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Cuéllar     j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Roker       j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Turrentine  j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   3   4   1   0   0   1   3   9   0   0  0.148
  2B: Cuéllar (4).
  CS: Mendez (2).
  E: Valdivia (7).
  GIDP: Kalieva (1).
  a-Ran for Badger in the 4th.
  b-Grounded out for Alonso-Corcelles in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Krickstein in the 5th.
  d-Struck out in the 6th.
  e-Ran in the 6th.

ORIOLES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Samudio     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Barba   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Solo        p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Maloney     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kautz       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Heath       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Melch   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Spoelstra   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Purchas ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mateer      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Foust   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kagame      1b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  e-Michulk pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
López       c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Schloss ph ......    0   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   0   .000
  g-Mills   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Thompson    j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
Adams       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  13   5   3   2   0   0   5   4   5   1   0  0.231
  2B: Kagame (5), López (4).
  CS: López (6).
  E: Thompson (5).
  a-Ran for Samudio in the 4th.
  b-Struck out for Heath in the 4th.
  c-Walked for Spoelstra in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Mateer in the 4th.
  e-Ran for Kagame in the 7th.
  f-Pinch-hit in the 5th.
  g-Ran for Purchase in the 5th.

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kalieva (L, 3-5) ....    18   13  48%    3    5    5    4    6    0   70    -

ORIOLES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Solo (W, 5-6) .......    26   23  85%    4    3    3    2    7    0   88    -
Blue ................     3    4  15%    0    0    0    1    2    0    7  1-0

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-13)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Kalieva (Outs 1-13)
CATCHER (C)       | Quintero (Outs 1-13)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Granberry (Outs 1-13)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Krickstein (Outs 1-13)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Badger (Outs 1-13)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Alonso-Corcelles (Outs 1-13)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Beigel (Outs 1-13)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Peavy (Outs 1-13)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Edmonson (Outs 1-13)

ORIOLES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Solo (Outs 1-23) → Blue (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | López (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kagame (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Spoelstra (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Mateer (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Samudio (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maloney (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Kautz (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Heath (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Orioles (home) batted second; Orcas batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM ET. Weather: 88°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 794141.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 16 John Millar Karim Balotelli (3B) 1–0
T 19 Andrea Peavy Alexis Edmonson (3B) 2–0
T 22 Coen Turrentine Karim Balotelli (2B) 3–0
B 11 Destyn Thompson Harold Solo (3B) 3–1
B 11 Destyn Thompson Ulises Barba (2B) 3–2
B 11 Junior Kagame Destyn Thompson (1B) 3–3
B 12 Zaimir Schloss Geoff Michulka (3B) 3–4
B 12 Zaimir Schloss Sidney Foust (2B) 3–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Rudy Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 357' · CF 498' · RF 341' · 10' wall). Cavernous.
The Lima Bean
Orcas — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
357' 498' 341' Jonás Quintero — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -7° · 63 ft Prakash Granberry — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Alexis Edmonson — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA -18° · 78 ft Kingman Kalieva — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA +4° · 77 ft Yerry Cuéllar — double · EV 105 mph · LA +48° · 441 ft Herb Noonan — error · EV 81 mph · LA -12° · 77 ft Earthna Roker — single · EV 95 mph · LA +14° · 164 ft Moisés Valdivia — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -14° · 78 ft Karim Balotelli — single · EV 69 mph · LA +19° · 116 ft Coen Turrentine — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +5° · 56 ft Louis Badger — single · EV 84 mph · LA -4° · 80 ft Amarien Beigel — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Jonás Quintero — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +31° · 239 ft Prakash Granberry — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 112 ft Amarien Beigel — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -21° · 80 ft Jonás Quintero — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 184 ft
Orioles — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
357' 498' 341' Rill Kautz — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +15° · 195 ft Ahmad Heath — ground_out · EV 119 mph · LA +0° · 113 ft Kreigh Mateer — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +9° · 94 ft Edson López — double · EV 114 mph · LA +28° · 431 ft Rónald Samudio — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 220 ft Jason Adams — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 101 ft Destyn Thompson — error · EV 116 mph · LA +10° · 188 ft Zaimir Schloss — single · EV 94 mph · LA -13° · 89 ft Junior Kagame — double · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 139 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Orcas
21% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 8.6 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-3.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yerry Cuéllar 105 / +48° Center Double 3.3 → 2 -1.32
Prakash Granberry 92 / +10° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Louis Badger 84 / -4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
Karim Balotelli 69 / +19° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Jonás Quintero 82 / +31° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.38
Orioles
79% deserve-to-win  ·  7.3 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -2.3 vs expected
contact: 10.7 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-5.7 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Destyn Thompson 116 / +10° Pull Reached on Error 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Rónald Samudio 100 / +17° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.42
Rill Kautz 99 / +15° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.09
Edson López 114 / +28° Center Double 2.9 → 2 -0.94
Jason Adams 88 / +10° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
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