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Canaries 9, Tigers 8                                        2026-07-24 · #1161
at New Jersey Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 8    8    7    0
New Jersey              9    9    7    0

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Amigo       cf ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.200
Mauigoa     lf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Delatte     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Grimald ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Peavy       1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Cotzuma pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Zheng       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Monroe      3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Day         c  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Sears       rf ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Keegan      p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Acebo   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Whorisk ph ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
  e-McMicha pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  32   8   7   1   0   0   8   4  10   0   0  0.219
  2B: Whoriskey (7).
  SB: Mauigoa 2 (3), Cotzumalguapa (16), McMichael (6).
  HBP: Whoriskey (5).
  a-Singled for Delatte in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Peavy in the 2nd.
  c-Ran for Keegan in the 2nd.
  d-Batted for Acebo in the 2nd.
  e-Ran for Whoriskey in the 7th.

CANARIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hollenbeck  ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Brickhandle 1b ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Rushing     rf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Kerr    ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Pastore     c  ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Waidner     p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cordero     lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lacava      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Navarro     cf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Richey      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  11   9   7   1   0   2   8   1   2   0   0  0.636
  2B: Kerr (24).
  HR: Brickhandler (17), off Keegan; Rushing (2), off Keegan.
  SB: Pastore 2 (2).
  HBP: Waidner (1).
  a-Doubled for Rushing in the 2nd.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Keegan ..............     5    1   4%    4    5    3    0    0    2   17    -
Massey (L, 0-1) .....     7    4  15%    2    4    4    1    2    0   29  1-1

CANARIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Waidner .............    14    8  30%    3    6    1    2    3    0   46    -
Junior (W, 2-0) .....    14   13  48%    1    0    0    0    4    0   57  1-0
Ortiz ...............     8    6  22%    2    2    2    2    3    0   26  1-1

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-5)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Keegan (Outs 1-1) → Massey (Outs 2-5)
CATCHER (C)       | Day (Outs 1-5)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Peavy (Outs 1-5)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Zheng (Outs 1-5)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-5)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-5)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mauigoa (Outs 1-5)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Amigo (Outs 1-5)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sears (Outs 1-5)

CANARIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Waidner (Outs 1-8) → Junior (Outs 9-21) → Ortiz (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Pastore (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Brickhandler (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Richey (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Lacava (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Hollenbeck (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cordero (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Navarro (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Rushing (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Canaries (home) batted second; Tigers batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 74°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 616067.
  Walk-Back runs: off Keegan 2.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Ed Peavy Jenson Mauigoa (2B) 1–0
T 5 Thai-Son Whoriskey Yimmi Cotzumalguapa (3B) 2–0
T 5 Thai-Son Whoriskey Ricki Sears (2B) 3–0
T 5 Thai-Son Whoriskey Raymond Acebo (1B) 4–0
T 6 Cooper Monroe Thai-Son Whoriskey (2B) 5–0
T 7 Yimmi Cotzumalguapa Ricki Sears (3B) 6–0
T 24 Jon Grimaldo Barry McMichael (3B) 7–0
T 24 Jon Grimaldo Yimmi Cotzumalguapa (2B) 8–0
B 0 Jam Brickhandler Jam Brickhandler (HR) 8–1
B 0 Renaldo Pastore Jam Brickhandler (3B) 8–2
B 1 Jayden Rushing Renaldo Pastore (3B) 8–3
B 1 Jayden Rushing Jayden Rushing (HR) 8–4
B 1 Grant Cordero Jayden Rushing (3B) 8–5
B 5 Renaldo Pastore Grant Cordero (3B) 8–6
B 5 Renaldo Pastore Ramón Navarro (2B) 8–7
B 5 Jerome Kerr Renaldo Pastore (3B) 8–8
B 5 Jerome Kerr Dwight Waidner (1B) 8–9
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to New Jersey Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 403' · RF 324' · 40' wall). Balanced.
Tigers — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
341' 403' 324' Wall 40' Eloy Amigo — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 87 ft Ed Peavy — single · EV 79 mph · LA -4° · 75 ft Cooper Monroe — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +42° · 355 ft Christian Day — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 133 ft Ricki Sears — error · EV 72 mph · LA +22° · 142 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — double · EV 100 mph · LA +38° · 390 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — fly_out · EV 63 mph · LA +44° · 158 ft Jon Grimaldo — single · EV 64 mph · LA +20° · 103 ft Christian Day — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 182 ft Cooper Monroe — single · EV 84 mph · LA +18° · 160 ft Jenson Mauigoa — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA +4° · 75 ft Eloy Amigo — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +6° · 80 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — fielders_choice · EV 96 mph · LA +10° · 119 ft Christian Day — infield_single · EV 72 mph · LA -18° · 68 ft Jenson Mauigoa — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA -2° · 61 ft Eloy Amigo — fly_out · EV 110 mph · LA +16° · 260 ft Cooper Monroe — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Eloy Amigo — single · EV 78 mph · LA -16° · 75 ft
Canaries — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 2 HR
341' 403' 324' Wall 40' Jam Brickhandler — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Renaldo Pastore — single · EV 96 mph · LA +10° · 129 ft Jayden Rushing — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +45° · 400 ft Grant Cordero — single · EV 107 mph · LA +2° · 101 ft Roberto Lacava — fly_out · EV 74 mph · LA +7° · 70 ft Tripp Hollenbeck — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -12° · 88 ft Jerome Kerr — double · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 301 ft Renaldo Pastore — single · EV 87 mph · LA +19° · 185 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
60% deserve-to-win  ·  8.2 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 10.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-3.4 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 0 CS (+1.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eloy Amigo 110 / +16° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.72
Cooper Monroe 94 / +42° Oppo Out 1.1 → 0 -1.12
Yimmi Cotzumalguapa 96 / +10° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.11
Ed Peavy 79 / -4° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Christian Day 72 / -18° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Canaries
40% deserve-to-win  ·  6.6 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 10.6 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+2.4 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+1.0 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jayden Rushing 100 / +45° Pull Home Run 2.6 → 4 +1.41
Jerome Kerr 100 / +24° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.66
Tripp Hollenbeck 93 / -12° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.39
Grant Cordero 107 / +2° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.38
Jam Brickhandler 117 / +37° Center Home Run 3.6 → 4 +0.37
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