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Nationals 4, Royals 2                                       2026-07-24 · #1163
at Tannery Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Kansas City             2    2    3    1
Washington              4    4    3    0

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fuenzalida  rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  a-Inglis  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Graham      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Tanguil ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sabella     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Espinoz pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Rosales     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Ekic    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Talavera    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Monson      2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Gregory ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Savarino    1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
Hsia        c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Farley  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kortovich   p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Altamir pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  h-Vera    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  i-Selden  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  j-Linneha pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Coates      j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Florenzo    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Press       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  22   2   3   0   0   0   2   7   8   0   0  0.136
  CS: Altamirano (8), Linnehan (5), Inglis (3).
  E: Sabella (12).
  HBP: Coates (1).
  a-Ran for Fuenzalida in the 7th.
  b-Singled for Graham in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Sabella in the 8th.
  d-Ran for Rosales in the 6th.
  e-Grounded out for Monson in the 5th.
  f-Batted for Hsia in the 6th.
  g-Ran in the 4th.
  h-Ran for Tanguilig in the 4th.
  i-Grounded out for Linnehan in the 4th.
  j-Ran for Gregory in the 5th.

NATIONALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pastore     2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Giroud      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Burrows     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Miguelito   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Devezin     rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Morel       3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Baloy       1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Houston pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Cruz        cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Hack        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mayer       j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   9   4   3   1   0   0   4   2   3   0   0  0.333
  2B: Pastore (12).
  a-Ran for Baloy in the 2nd.

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kortovich (L, 9-5) ..    10    5  19%    2    4    4    2    3    0   38    -

NATIONALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hack (W, 5-14) ......    30   27 100%    3    2    2    7    8    0  111    -

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-5)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Kortovich (Outs 1-5)
CATCHER (C)       | Hsia (Outs 1-5)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Savarino (Outs 1-5)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-5)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-5)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-5)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-5)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Talavera (Outs 1-5)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-5)

NATIONALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Hack (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Burrows (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Baloy (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pastore (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Morel (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Giroud (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Miguelito (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cruz (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Devezin (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Nationals (home) batted second; Royals batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM ET. Weather: 82°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 918528.
  Powerplays: Nationals — Houston NF (O19)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.33    Peak faced 0.39
    27 outs left: 0.33
    18 outs left: 0.00
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 24 Devron Savarino Mario Espinoza (3B) 1–0 —
T 25 Ramon Altamirano Tripp Ekic (3B) 2–0 —
B 4 José Cruz Rill Devezin (3B) 2–1 0.26
B 5 Tyler Mayer Oscar Fabra (3B) 2–2 0.14
B 5 Marcos Pastore Sammy Houston (3B) 2–3 0.00
B 5 Marcos Pastore Tyler Mayer (1B) 2–4 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.33
Peak faced 0.39
27 outs left 0.33
18 outs left 0.00
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tannery Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 331' · CF 438' · RF 348' · 9' wall). Cavernous.
Royals — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
331' 438' 348' Jhonder Fuenzalida — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 158 ft Efraín Sabella — line_out · EV 113 mph · LA +4° · 107 ft Luis Rosales — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -15° · 81 ft Yung-chi Hsia — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +9° · 73 ft Landon Tanguilig — single · EV 86 mph · LA +11° · 112 ft Thomas Gregory — fielders_choice · EV 60 mph · LA -15° · 57 ft Patrik Florenzo — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +40° · 341 ft Chico Press — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -18° · 83 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 163 ft Ramon Altamirano — single · EV 92 mph · LA -15° · 87 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — single · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 83 ft Efraín Sabella — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA -9° · 61 ft Luis Rosales — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA -16° · 69 ft
Nationals — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
331' 438' 348' Basil Burrows — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Óscar Giroud — error · EV 78 mph · LA +18° · 139 ft Kendry Baloy — fielders_choice · EV 81 mph · LA -11° · 77 ft Tyler Mayer — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 79 ft Marcos Pastore — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 195 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
84% deserve-to-win  ·  4.4 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -2.4 vs expected
contact: 5.9 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-2.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 3 CS (-2.0 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Patrik Florenzo 93 / +40° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Jhonder Fuenzalida 92 / +14° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Efraín Sabella 113 / +4° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Jhonder Fuenzalida 88 / -19° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Ramon Altamirano 92 / -15° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.63
Nationals
16% deserve-to-win  ·  1.9 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +2.1 vs expected
contact: 2.4 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+0.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marcos Pastore 92 / +18° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Óscar Giroud 78 / +18° Oppo Reached on Error 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Tyler Mayer 76 / +10° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Kendry Baloy 81 / -11° Pull Out 0.3 → 0 -0.34
Basil Burrows 52 / -4° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
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