==============================================================================
Stars 15, Expos 5                                           2026-07-24 · #1164
at Neviaser Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Montreal                5    5    7    0
Nashville              15   15   13    0

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fielding    ss ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Goodson     2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Matthews    p  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Geffrard    1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hiebert     3b ......    4   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Mondeville  rf ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pérez       lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Spence      c  ......    4   2   3   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.750
Hutnick     cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  a-Solórza ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32   5   7   1   1   0   3   1  11   0   0  0.219
  2B: Spence (6).
  3B: Hiebert (1).
  GIDP: Geffrard (7).
  Squeeze: Mondeville.
  a-Grounded out in the 5th.

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Karouani    1b ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Cooper      lf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Sappington  ss ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Fusano      3b ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.500
Boattin     cf ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Mendez      c  ......    5   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.400
Gayton      rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Caballe pr ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Burani      2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Langenfeld  p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Gamboa  pr ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   3   0   2   0   0  0.500
  c-Beers   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Giannou     j  ......    1   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  35  15  13   2   1   2  14   1  14   0   1  0.371
  2B: Fusano (13), Caballero (10).
  3B: Giannou (3).
  HR: Sappington (4), off Galaz; Gamboa (4), off Chará.
  SB: Caballero (4).
  HBP: Karouani (8), Boattin (4), Burani 2 (3).
  a-Ran for Gayton in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Langenfeld in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 6th.

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Matthews ............    12    9  33%    5    3    3    1    2    0   37    -
Galaz ...............     5    2   7%    3    4    3    0    2    1   20  1-1
Polo (L, 2-1) .......    15   10  37%    2    4    4    0    6    0   45  1-0
Chará ...............     8    6  22%    3    4    3    0    4    1   29  2-2

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Langenfeld (W, 4-12)     12   12  44%    2    0    0    0    6    0   46    -
Scotti ..............    13   10  37%    3    4    4    1    4    0   43  2-2
Faríñez (F, 41) .....     6    5  19%    1    1    1    0    1    0   17  1-0

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Matthews (Outs 1-9) → Galaz (Outs 10-11) → Polo (Outs 12-21) → Chará (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Spence (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Geffrard (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hiebert (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Fielding (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Pérez (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Hutnick (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Mondeville (Outs 1-27)

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Langenfeld (Outs 1-12) → Scotti (Outs 13-22) → Faríñez (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Burani (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Fusano (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sappington (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Boattin (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gayton (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Stars (home) batted first; Expos batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 77°F · Wind out · Clear · Light rain. seed 580117.
  Powerplays: Expos — Solórzano NF
  Walk-Back runs: off Galaz 1, off Chará 1.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Manuel Gamboa Tracy Fusano (3B) 0–1
B 9 Facundo Mendez Manuel Gamboa (3B) 0–2
B 9 Facundo Mendez Tony Caballero (2B) 0–3
B 11 Wallace Sappington Facundo Mendez (1B) 0–4
B 11 Wallace Sappington Wallace Sappington (HR) 0–5
B 11 Samuel Giannou Wallace Sappington (3B) 0–6
B 11 Bruno Cooper Samuel Giannou (3B) 0–7
B 15 Tracy Fusano Khosilot El Karouani (3B) 0–8
B 15 Tracy Fusano Justo Burani (2B) 0–9
B 15 Tracy Fusano Pepe Boattin (1B) 0–10
B 17 Khosilot El Karouani Tracy Fusano (3B) 0–11
B 23 Bruno Cooper Khosilot El Karouani (3B) 0–12
B 25 Manuel Gamboa Pepe Boattin (3B) 0–13
B 25 Manuel Gamboa Manuel Gamboa (HR) 0–14
B 26 Tony Caballero Manuel Gamboa (3B) 0–15
T 13 Roscoe Spence Franklin Mondeville (1B) 1–15
T 13 Omni Fielding Douglas Matthews (3B) 2–15
T 15 Quincy Geffrard Roscoe Spence (3B) 3–15
T 17 Franklin Mondeville Marquis Goodson (3B) 4–15
T 24 Jordi Pérez Roscoe Spence (3B) 5–15
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Neviaser Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 279' · CF 373' · RF 278' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Expos — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
279' 373' 278' Douglas Matthews — single · EV 106 mph · LA +7° · 101 ft Marquis Goodson — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +6° · 82 ft Quincy Geffrard — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Titus Hiebert — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 305 ft Franklin Mondeville — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Roscoe Spence — fielders_choice · EV 92 mph · LA -12° · 87 ft Rónald Solórzano — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +42° · 229 ft Jordi Pérez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 184 ft Roscoe Spence — double · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 331 ft Omni Fielding — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 144 ft Quincy Geffrard — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Jordi Pérez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 123 ft Roscoe Spence — single · EV 72 mph · LA -7° · 68 ft Omni Fielding — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Roscoe Spence — single · EV 92 mph · LA -14° · 87 ft Jordi Pérez — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -4° · 55 ft Franklin Mondeville — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 174 ft Titus Hiebert — fielders_choice · EV 61 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft
Stars — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 8 1B · 3 XBH · 2 HR
279' 373' 278' Khosilot El Karouani — single · EV 84 mph · LA -4° · 80 ft Bruno Cooper — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -10° · 94 ft Tracy Fusano — single · EV 91 mph · LA +42° · 327 ft Manuel Gamboa — single · EV 96 mph · LA -6° · 91 ft Samuel Giannou — triple · EV 109 mph · LA +19° · 297 ft Sandy Beers — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -13° · 95 ft Edwin Gayton — single · EV 94 mph · LA +1° · 89 ft Facundo Mendez — single · EV 74 mph · LA +19° · 133 ft Wallace Sappington — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +37° · 478 ft Bruno Cooper — single · EV 90 mph · LA -4° · 86 ft Pepe Boattin — fielders_choice · EV 86 mph · LA -23° · 81 ft Khosilot El Karouani — single · EV 87 mph · LA -5° · 83 ft Tracy Fusano — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 152 ft Tony Caballero — double · EV 93 mph · LA +32° · 311 ft Facundo Mendez — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA +5° · 70 ft Bruno Cooper — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -1° · 70 ft Manuel Gamboa — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +46° · 477 ft Facundo Mendez — single · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Expos
10% deserve-to-win  ·  3.0 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 7.9 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+1.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Titus Hiebert 100 / +25° Oppo Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.66
Roscoe Spence 92 / +39° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.07
Franklin Mondeville 92 / +16° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.84
Roscoe Spence 72 / -7° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.78
Roscoe Spence 92 / -14° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.62
Stars
90% deserve-to-win  ·  9.0 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  +6.0 vs expected
contact: 16.6 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 23.0 (+6.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Samuel Giannou 109 / +19° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.27
Tony Caballero 93 / +32° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.07
Facundo Mendez 76 / -10° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Tracy Fusano 100 / +11° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Khosilot El Karouani 84 / -4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →