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Stars 6, Nationals 5                                        2026-07-28 · #1204
at Neviaser Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Washington              5    5    5    0
Nashville               6    6    6    1

NATIONALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pastore     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Corrales    cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Miguelito   lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Devezin     rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Thompkins   ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Shi     ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Morel       1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Cruz        c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.500
  b-Houston pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Alvarado    3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.000
Maiava      p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.000
  c-Fabra   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Burrows ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Bartlet ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Crowdus     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0  1.000
Ebun        j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  25   5   5   1   0   0   3   7  12   1   2  0.200
  2B: Ebun (3).
  a-Pinch-hit for Thompkins in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Cruz in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Maiava in the 5th.
  d-Struck out for Fabra in the 8th.
  e-Struck out for Houston in the 9th.

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gayton      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cooper      lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fusano      3b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Spence      rf ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mendez      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Cubillán    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Gamboa  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Menéndez    ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Burani      2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Langenfeld  p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Karouan ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Santama ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Beers   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Giannou     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   6   6   1   0   1   4   2   7   0   0  0.231
  2B: Fusano (15).
  HR: Spence (4), off Maiava.
  SB: Beers (4).
  CS: Fusano (7).
  E: Giannou (6).
  a-Ran for Cubillán in the 7th.
  b-Batted for Langenfeld in the 5th.
  c-Struck out for Giannou in the 5th.
  d-Ran in the 8th.

NATIONALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Maiava (L, 3-7) .....    28   22  81%    6    6    5    2    7    1  110    -

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Langenfeld ..........    14   11  41%    1    3    3    3    5    0   44    -
Saritama (W, 1-4) ...    17   15  56%    3    2    2    4    7    0   63  2-1
Ginóbili ............     1    1   4%    1    0    0    0    0    0    8  2-0

NATIONALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-22)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Maiava (Outs 1-22)
CATCHER (C)       | Cruz (Outs 1-22)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Morel (Outs 1-22)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pastore (Outs 1-22)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alvarado (Outs 1-22)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Thompkins (Outs 1-22)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Miguelito (Outs 1-22)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Corrales (Outs 1-22)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Devezin (Outs 1-22)

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Langenfeld (Outs 1-11) → Saritama (Outs 12-26) → Ginóbili (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cubillán (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Burani (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Fusano (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Menéndez (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gayton (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spence (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Stars (home) batted second; Nationals batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 91°F · Wind in · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 976718.
  Powerplays: Stars — Beers NF (O20)
  Walk-Back runs: off Maiava 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 7 Montrell Maiava Damion Thompkins (3B) 1–0
T 8 José Cruz Júnior Alvarado (3B) 2–0
T 11 Devron San Miguelito Montrell Maiava (2B) 3–0
T 12 Marcos Pastore Rill Devezin (3B) 4–0
T 23 Bobby Ebun Sammy Houston (2B) 5–0
B 6 Andre Langenfeld Facundo Mendez (3B) 5–1
B 8 Sean Spence Jewison Menéndez (3B) 5–2
B 8 Sean Spence Andre Langenfeld (1B) 5–3
B 8 Sean Spence Sean Spence (HR) 5–4
B 8 Facundo Mendez Sean Spence (3B) 5–5
B 22 Nat Morariu Sandy Beers (3B) 5–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Neviaser Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 279' · CF 373' · RF 278' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Nationals — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
279' 373' 278' Devron San Miguelito — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Rill Devezin — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -3° · 61 ft Yoel Morel — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +43° · 345 ft Montrell Maiava — error · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 81 ft Bobby Ebun — double · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 334 ft Erwin Crowdus — error · EV 62 mph · LA +13° · 66 ft Erwin Crowdus — error · EV 62 mph · LA -4° · 59 ft Yoel Morel — ground_out · EV 55 mph · LA +7° · 52 ft Devron San Miguelito — single · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Marcos Pastore — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -8° · 77 ft José Cruz — single · EV 83 mph · LA +1° · 79 ft Damion Thompkins — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -5° · 87 ft Yoel Morel — single · EV 82 mph · LA +13° · 118 ft
Stars — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
279' 373' 278' Bruno Cooper — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 81 ft Tracy Fusano — double · EV 93 mph · LA +23° · 253 ft Facundo Mendez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 104 ft Jewison Menéndez — single · EV 52 mph · LA +16° · 60 ft Edwin Gayton — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -7° · 87 ft Justo Burani — line_out · EV 60 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Andre Langenfeld — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 139 ft Samuel Giannou — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 210 ft Bruno Cooper — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +50° · 227 ft Sean Spence — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 319 ft Facundo Mendez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 99 ft Edwin Gayton — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Justo Burani — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -4° · 57 ft Tracy Fusano — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA +5° · 51 ft Facundo Mendez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 190 ft Jewison Menéndez — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 294 ft Edwin Gayton — ground_out · EV 55 mph · LA +6° · 52 ft Justo Burani — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 158 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Nationals
66% deserve-to-win  ·  4.7 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +0.3 vs expected
contact: 5.5 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+0.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yoel Morel 93 / +43° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.12
Bobby Ebun 92 / +40° Oppo Double 1.1 → 2 +0.88
Devron San Miguelito 76 / -4° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.78
José Cruz 83 / +1° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.69
Erwin Crowdus 62 / +13° Oppo Stay 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Stars
34% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 7.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+2.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sean Spence 92 / +35° Pull Home Run 0.9 → 4 +3.07
Tracy Fusano 93 / +23° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Jewison Menéndez 92 / +30° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Jewison Menéndez 52 / +16° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Facundo Mendez 76 / +13° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
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