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Tigers 7, Marlins 2                                         2026-07-30 · #1223
at Kuvvatov Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Miami                   2    2    3    0
Detroit                 7    7    6    0

MARLINS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Enquist     cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Chieh-yu    lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Baird       p  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Dibert      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Suárez      3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Suggs       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Mangin      2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Altamirano  rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Blackman    c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  27   2   3   0   0   0   2   2  15   0   0  0.111
  CS: Blackman (6).
  GIDP: Altamirano (6), Blackman (3).
  Squeeze: Blackman (1 RBI).


TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Amigo       cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Mauigoa     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Peavy       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Acebo   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Whoriskey   2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cotzumalgua 3b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Grimaldo    1b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  b-Sears   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Zheng       ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Day         c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Delatte ph ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kobak       p  ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   1   0   1  0.500
Marion      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Massey      j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Soldan      j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kuhler      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   7   6   2   0   1   6   3  12   0   1  0.194
  2B: Grimaldo (6), Soldan (7).
  HR: Kobak (1), off Baird.
  SB: Amigo (4), Acebo (11), Delatte (19).
  CS: Mauigoa (3).
  a-Ran for Peavy in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Grimaldo in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Day in the 5th.

MARLINS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Baird (L, 4-17) .....    24   19  70%    6    7    3    2    8    1   81    -
Offord ..............     9    8  30%    0    0    0    1    4    0   41  1-0

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kobak (W, 4-2) ......    27   27 100%    2    2    2    2   15    0  104    -

MARLINS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Baird (Outs 1-19) → Offord (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Blackman (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Dibert (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mangin (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Suárez (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Suggs (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Chieh-yu (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Enquist (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Altamirano (Outs 1-27)

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kobak (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Day (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Grimaldo (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Whoriskey (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Cotzumalguapa (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zheng (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Marion (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Amigo (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Peavy (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Tigers (home) batted first; Marlins batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM CT. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 554174.
  Walk-Back runs: off Baird 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 8 Timothy Kobak Timothy Kobak (HR) 0–1
B 9 Ed Peavy Timothy Kobak (3B) 0–2
B 12 Noah Massey Raymond Acebo (3B) 0–3
B 13 Kenyatta Soldan Noah Massey (1B) 0–4
B 14 Timothy Kobak Kenyatta Soldan (3B) 0–5
B 17 Thai-Son Whoriskey Aleksandar Delatte (3B) 0–6
B 19 Jon Grimaldo Yimmi Cotzumalguapa (1B) 0–7
T 23 Ramon Blackman Jason Enquist (3B) 1–7
T 24 Jason Enquist Kendall Suárez (3B) 2–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 307' · CF 431' · RF 353' · 43' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Marlins — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Treston Baird — single · EV 80 mph · LA -6° · 76 ft Montavious Chieh-yu — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA +17° · 97 ft Kendall Suárez — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +12° · 91 ft Devon Mangin — fielders_choice · EV 59 mph · LA +2° · 56 ft Ramon Blackman — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA -15° · 77 ft Jason Enquist — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +40° · 320 ft Devon Mangin — single · EV 77 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Jean Altamirano — double_play · EV 86 mph · LA +15° · 149 ft
Tigers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Ed Peavy — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +34° · 246 ft Jon Grimaldo — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +5° · 79 ft Timothy Kobak — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +35° · 422 ft Noah Massey — single · EV 87 mph · LA -14° · 82 ft Kenyatta Soldan — double · EV 107 mph · LA +11° · 168 ft Aleksandar Delatte — error · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Karl Marion — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +21° · 146 ft Eloy Amigo — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +18° · 214 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +40° · 288 ft Eloy Amigo — single · EV 74 mph · LA +22° · 150 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +50° · 258 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — single · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 161 ft Jon Grimaldo — double · EV 96 mph · LA +22° · 262 ft Zixuan Zheng — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -13° · 87 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Marlins
2% deserve-to-win  ·  0.9 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +1.1 vs expected
contact: 3.9 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jason Enquist 90 / +40° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Treston Baird 80 / -6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
Jean Altamirano 86 / +15° Center Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Kendall Suárez 74 / +12° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Devon Mangin 77 / +18° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Tigers
98% deserve-to-win  ·  5.8 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 11.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (+0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eloy Amigo 96 / +18° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Timothy Kobak 106 / +35° Pull Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.10
Jon Grimaldo 96 / +22° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Thai-Son Whoriskey 86 / +40° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.68
Noah Massey 87 / -14° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
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