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Tynda Police 7, Kaechon Tornados 3                          2046-04-27 · #1224
at Budiman Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Tynda                   7    7    6    0
Kaechon                 3    3    4    0

TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Keramidas   3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Matviye 3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kukushkin   ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Wrightov    rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Jidkova rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Komatsu     lf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Chernov pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cherkasov   1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Dōan        cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Derepas pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Eledge      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Ding    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-LaFleur ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  g-Jonesov ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  h-Berger  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Daly    pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  j-Halder  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Nelson      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Aoki        j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.250
Totals                  27   7   6   1   0   0   6   6   9   0   0  0.222
  2B: Komatsu (5).
  CS: Cherkasov (1).
  HBP: Ding 2 (2).
  GIDP: Kukushkin (2), Nelson (3).
  Squeeze: Aoki.
  a-Replaced Keramidas at 3B in the 4th.
  b-Replaced Wrightov at RF in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Komatsu in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Dōan in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Eledge in the 4th.
  f-Batted in the 2nd.
  g-Batted in the 2nd.
  h-Ran for Jidkova in the 5th.
  i-Ran for LaFleurov in the 6th.
  j-Ran for Matviyenko in the 7th.

KAECHON TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Stiglic     ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Chapman     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kallman     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Arráez      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ahmed       1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kamara      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Torres      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Carolina    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
  a-Frías   c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Howell      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Lakshman    j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Scola       j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  27   3   4   0   0   0   3   4  11   0   1  0.148
  SB: Scola (3).
  GIDP: Kallman (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Eledge (W, 1-0) .....    18   16  59%    4    2    2    2    6    0   70    -
McFarlandov (F, 20) .    13   11  41%    0    1    1    2    5    0   42  1-0

KAECHON TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Carolina ............    32   25  93%    5    5    5    5    9    0  124    -
Duncan (L, 0-1) .....     2    2   7%    1    2    2    1    0    0   13  3-2

  Batting order: Kaechon Tornados (home) batted second; Tynda Police batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 70°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 900017.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 14 Daniil Jidkova Chenxi Ding (2B) 1–0
T 18 Josiah Nelson Nick Daly (3B) 2–0
T 24 Nick Daly Evgueni Derepasko (3B) 3–0
T 25 Evgueni Derepasko Shozo Aoki (3B) 4–0
T 25 Chenxi Ding Bharat Halder (3B) 5–0
T 25 Josiah Nelson Nick Daly (3B) 6–0
T 26 Shozo Aoki Evgueni Derepasko (3B) 7–0
B 2 Mayer Scola Karl-Anthony Frías (3B) 7–1
B 8 Eduardo Carolina Mayer Scola (3B) 7–2
B 26 Michael Arráez Sandesh Lakshman (2B) 7–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Budiman Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 321' · CF 391' · RF 342' · 31' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
321' 391' 342' Wall 31' Roman Kukushkin — double_play · EV 90 mph · LA +4° · 86 ft Fiske Wrightov — single · EV 86 mph · LA +25° · 226 ft Yūto Komatsu — double · EV 106 mph · LA +14° · 219 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — single · EV 95 mph · LA +18° · 215 ft Egan LaFleurov — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +10° · 117 ft Maxime Jonesov — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +10° · 107 ft Mike Eledge — fielders_choice · EV 70 mph · LA +4° · 66 ft Denys Matviyenko — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -20° · 73 ft Daniil Jidkova — error · EV 63 mph · LA -1° · 60 ft Josiah Nelson — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +42° · 254 ft Egan LaFleurov — single · EV 88 mph · LA -26° · 84 ft Denys Matviyenko — single · EV 60 mph · LA -7° · 57 ft Shozo Aoki — ground_out · EV 109 mph · LA +8° · 130 ft Josiah Nelson — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Shozo Aoki — single · EV 86 mph · LA +18° · 174 ft
Kaechon Tornados — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
321' 391' 342' Wall 31' Karl-Anthony Frías — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 92 ft Carl Kallman — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA -6° · 51 ft Sandesh Lakshman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 123 ft Mayer Scola — single · EV 92 mph · LA +3° · 87 ft Michael Arráez — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Turner Ahmed — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 118 ft James Chapman — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft Mayer Scola — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +5° · 49 ft Quinton Stiglic — single · EV 65 mph · LA +18° · 101 ft Michael Arráez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Oiva Kamara — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 278 ft Enrique Torres — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -13° · 49 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Carl Kallman — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 321 ft Michael Arráez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tynda Police
73% deserve-to-win  ·  6.1 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 8.6 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-1.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Shozo Aoki 109 / +8° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Egan LaFleurov 90 / +10° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Denys Matviyenko 60 / -7° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Yūto Komatsu 106 / +14° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.64
Fiske Wrightov 86 / +25° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.62
Kaechon Tornados
27% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 6.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Carl Kallman 92 / +36° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Oiva Kamara 92 / +28° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Mayer Scola 92 / +3° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Turner Ahmed 76 / +15° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Quinton Stiglic 65 / +18° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.51
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