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Padres 21, Athletics 4                                      2026-08-07 · #1298
at Saitch Coliseum
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Oakland                 4      0    4    1    0
San Diego              21      -   21   18    1

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sinclair    1b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Crutchfield 2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
Mascherano  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Korda       lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Diémé       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Gerlach ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Sutton      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Leat    ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Rodrigues   3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Noel    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Sawchuk     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Nwosu       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Colón   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Wiesner pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Molina  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Saunder pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ghannam     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   4   1   0   0   0   4   5  12   0   0  0.034
  SB: Wiesner (6).
  GIDP: Nwosu (1).
  a-Batted for Diémé in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Sutton in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Rodrigues in the 4th.
  d-Ran in the 4th.
  e-Ran in the 5th.
  f-Batted in the 5th.
  g-Ran in the 7th.

PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Atehortua   1b ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Banuelos    3b ......    3   5   3   1   0   2   4   2   0   0   0  1.000
Fernández   lf ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Salcido     cf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Najar       rf ......    4   0   2   2   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.500
Schwinger   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Andrade     2b ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.200
Lettiere    ss ......    3   1   1   0   1   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Clarke  ph ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Arozarena   p  ......    4   3   3   1   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.750
  b-Gleeson ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cleveland   j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Pearman     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  36  21  18   6   1   5  20   4   7   0   0  0.500
  2B: Banuelos (4), Salcido (3), Najar 2 (12), Arozarena (1), Clarke (4).
  3B: Lettiere (3).
  HR: Atehortua (1), off Nwosu; Banuelos 2 (2), off Nwosu, MacPhie; Fernández (6), off Benning; Arozarena (1), off MacPhie.
  CS: Najar (9).
  E: Banuelos (5).
  HBP: Atehortua (7), Arozarena (1).
  a-Batted for Lettiere in the 8th.
  b-Walked in the 8th.

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Nwosu ...............     7    5  19%    3    3    2    0    1    2   23    -
MacPhie .............     5    5  19%    2    2    2    0    1    2   21  1-0
Sun .................     6    4  15%    2    2    1    0    2    0   28  1-1
Woodard .............     4    1   4%    2    3    3    1    1    0   12  1-1
Delfino (L, 0-2) ....    13    7  26%    3    7    7    3    2    0   57  2-1
Benning .............     6    3  11%    5    4    3    0    0    1   20  1-0

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Arozarena (W, 9-1) ..    34   27 100%    1    4    1    5   12    0  119    -

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-25)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Nwosu (Outs 1-5) → MacPhie (Outs 6-10) → Sun (Outs 11-14) → Woodard (Outs 15-15) → Delfino (Outs 16-22) → Benning (Outs 23-25)
CATCHER (C)       | Mascherano (Outs 1-25)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-25)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-25)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rodrigues (Outs 1-25)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sutton (Outs 1-25)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Korda (Outs 1-25)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Sawchuk (Outs 1-25)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Diémé (Outs 1-25)

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Arozarena (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Schwinger (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Banuelos (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Lettiere (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fernández (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Salcido (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Najar (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Padres (home) batted second; Athletics batted first.
  Seconds: OAK o26 (4-0), SDP o25 (21-4).
  First pitch 7:15 PM PT. Weather: 86°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 628429.
  Walk-Back runs: off Nwosu 1, off Sun 1, off Benning 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.56    Peak faced 0.60
    27 outs left: 0.56
    18 outs left: 0.17
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 14 Wilfredo Molina Zane Wiesner (3B) 1–0 —
T 19 Zane Wiesner Javier Colón (3B) 2–0 —
T 19 Mauro Mascherano Keaton Saunders (2B) 3–0 —
T 24 Zane Wiesner Zane Wiesner (2B) 4–0 —
B 3 Keshav Atehortua Keshav Atehortua (HR) 4–1 0.50
B 5 Stefan Banuelos Keshav Atehortua (3B) 4–2 0.41
B 5 Stefan Banuelos Stefan Banuelos (HR) 4–3 0.27
B 8 Yimmi Arozarena Yimmi Arozarena (HR) 4–4 0.16
B 10 Stefan Banuelos Stefan Banuelos (HR) 4–5 0.00
B 12 Keshav Atehortua Stefan Banuelos (3B) 4–6 0.00
B 14 Ángelo Salcido Huntley Cleveland (1B) 4–7 0.00
B 14 Israel Fernández Ángelo Salcido (2B) 4–8 0.00
B 14 Reed Lettiere Israel Fernández (2B) 4–9 0.00
B 14 Reed Lettiere Yimmi Arozarena (1B) 4–10 0.00
B 17 Keshav Atehortua Reed Lettiere (3B) 4–11 0.00
B 21 Lucas Clarke Yimmi Arozarena (2B) 4–12 0.00
B 21 Lucas Clarke Mark Pearman (1B) 4–13 0.00
B 21 Haxzel Andrade Lucas Clarke (3B) 4–14 0.00
B 22 Yoshimar Najar Stefan Banuelos (3B) 4–15 0.00
B 22 Yoshimar Najar Etienne Gleeson (2B) 4–16 0.00
B 22 Yoshimar Najar Keshav Atehortua (1B) 4–17 0.00
B 24 Israel Fernández Israel Fernández (HR) 4–18 0.00
B 24 Yimmi Arozarena Israel Fernández (3B) 4–19 0.00
B 25 Stefan Banuelos Lucas Clarke (1B) 4–20 0.00
B 25 Haxzel Andrade Stefan Banuelos (2B) 4–21 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.56
Peak faced 0.60
27 outs left 0.56
18 outs left 0.17
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Saitch Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 386' · CF 403' · RF 371' · 6' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Athletics — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
386' 403' 371' Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -15° · 72 ft Mauro Mascherano — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -3° · 55 ft Arnold Sutton — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +24° · 81 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Martin Leat — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Wilfredo Molina — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -7° · 49 ft Zane Wiesner — error · EV 71 mph · LA +6° · 68 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +8° · 65 ft Randy Korda — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Jan-Michael Nwosu — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +23° · 78 ft Wilfredo Molina — fielders_choice · EV 66 mph · LA -18° · 63 ft Martin Leat — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +7° · 49 ft Zane Wiesner — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Jan-Michael Nwosu — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -17° · 72 ft Mauro Mascherano — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Martin Leat — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -10° · 78 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +7° · 49 ft
Padres — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 5 1B · 7 XBH · 5 HR
386' 403' 371' Israel Fernández — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Yoshimar Najar — double · EV 109 mph · LA +24° · 352 ft Keshav Atehortua — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +27° · 422 ft Haxzel Andrade — line_out · EV 112 mph · LA +9° · 151 ft Stefan Banuelos — hr · EV 99 mph · LA +32° · 351 ft Yimmi Arozarena — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -10° · 74 ft Huntley Cleveland — single · EV 88 mph · LA -11° · 84 ft Lucas Clarke — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 160 ft Yimmi Arozarena — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Reed Lettiere — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +25° · 181 ft Stefan Banuelos — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +36° · 480 ft Keshav Atehortua — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -14° · 87 ft Ángelo Salcido — double · EV 100 mph · LA +29° · 339 ft Israel Fernández — single · EV 118 mph · LA +9° · 172 ft Lucas Clarke — single · EV 91 mph · LA -6° · 87 ft Reed Lettiere — triple · EV 111 mph · LA +20° · 313 ft Cary Schwinger — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 88 ft Keshav Atehortua — single · EV 84 mph · LA -2° · 80 ft Stefan Banuelos — double · EV 93 mph · LA +18° · 209 ft Haxzel Andrade — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +51° · 480 ft Yoshimar Najar — double · EV 101 mph · LA +14° · 185 ft Ángelo Salcido — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -10° · 89 ft Israel Fernández — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Yimmi Arozarena — double · EV 91 mph · LA +33° · 303 ft Haxzel Andrade — single · EV 97 mph · LA -20° · 92 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Athletics
4% deserve-to-win  ·  3.0 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 3.8 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-2.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Randy Korda 76 / +7° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Cannon Sinclair 77 / +8° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Jan-Michael Nwosu 52 / +23° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Martin Leat 82 / -10° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.32
Ahmad Sawchuk 76 / +6° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.25
Padres
96% deserve-to-win  ·  15.5 expected runs
actual 21 runs  ·  +5.5 vs expected
contact: 31.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 40.0 (+8.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Stefan Banuelos 99 / +32° Oppo Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.55
Haxzel Andrade 112 / +9° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.46
Reed Lettiere 111 / +20° Oppo Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.28
Stefan Banuelos 93 / +18° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Keshav Atehortua 114 / +27° Center Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.07
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