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Athletics 5, Padres 4                                       2026-08-08 · #1310
at Saitch Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Oakland                 5    5    4    0
San Diego               4    4    5    0

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mascherano  2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Sutton      ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Sinclai ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fehr        cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Leat    pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Caspersen   c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Gerlach ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Korda       lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Diémé       3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  d-Zago    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Rodrigues   1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
Sawchuk     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Todo        p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Viscarr ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Noel    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Crutchf pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Saunder pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  17   5   4   2   0   0   5   1   6   0   2  0.235
  2B: Gerlach (7), Sinclair (16).
  SB: Leat (2), Noel (6).
  HBP: Leat (3).
  a-Doubled for Sutton in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Fehr in the 3rd.
  c-Batted for Caspersen in the 3rd.
  d-Grounded out for Diémé in the 4th.
  e-Struck out in the 5th.
  f-Ran in the 6th.
  g-Ran in the 3rd.
  h-Ran in the 5th.

PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fernández   lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Atehortua   1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Andrade     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Gleeson     2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lavelle     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Corona      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Schwinger   c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  a-Lettier ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Salcido     cf ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Salaun      p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   1  0.000
  b-Clarke  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Cleveland   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   4   5   0   0   0   4   4   6   0   3  0.200
  SB: Clarke (11).
  GIDP: Schwinger (1).
  a-Struck out for Schwinger in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Salaun in the 9th.

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Todo ................     6    4  15%    2    2    2    0    3    0   14    -
Kitler (W, 6-3) .....    16   18  67%    1    2    2    2    3    0   58  2-1
Appiah ..............     6    5  19%    0    0    0    2    1    0   28  1-0

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Salaun (L, 4-9) .....    19   15  56%    4    5    5    1    6    0   62    -

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Todo (Outs 1-4) → Kitler (Outs 5-22) → Appiah (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Caspersen (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Rodrigues (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mascherano (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Diémé (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sutton (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Korda (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sawchuk (Outs 1-27)

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-15)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Salaun (Outs 1-15)
CATCHER (C)       | Schwinger (Outs 1-15)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-15)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gleeson (Outs 1-15)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Corona (Outs 1-15)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Andrade (Outs 1-15)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fernández (Outs 1-15)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Salcido (Outs 1-15)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Lavelle (Outs 1-15)

  Batting order: Padres (home) batted first; Athletics batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 93°F · Wind cross · Clear · Humid. seed 727335.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.56    Peak faced 0.62
    27 outs left: 0.56
    18 outs left: 0.50
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 2 Thomas Lavelle Keshav Atehortua (3B) 0–1 —
B 4 Ángelo Salcido Etienne Gleeson (3B) 0–2 —
B 4 Barry Salaun Cary Schwinger (3B) 0–3 —
B 13 Keshav Atehortua Barry Salaun (3B) 0–4 —
T 4 Arnold Sutton Randy Korda (2B) 1–4 0.52
T 7 Hal Fehr Emmett Crutchfield (2B) 2–4 0.45
T 10 Alex Zago Martin Leat (3B) 3–4 0.35
T 14 Emmett Crutchfield Keaton Saunders (3B) 4–4 0.23
T 15 Frank Gerlach Martin Leat (1B) 5–4 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.56
Peak faced 0.62
27 outs left 0.56
18 outs left 0.50
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Saitch Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 386' · CF 403' · RF 371' · 6' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Athletics — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
386' 403' 371' Mauro Mascherano — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 84 ft Randy Korda — error · EV 82 mph · LA -1° · 78 ft Arnold Sutton — single · EV 94 mph · LA -7° · 90 ft Rick Taygan — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Alex Zago — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -8° · 95 ft Cannon Sinclair — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 223 ft Emmett Crutchfield — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +8° · 105 ft Hal Fehr — error · EV 88 mph · LA +1° · 84 ft Mauro Mascherano — single · EV 87 mph · LA -15° · 82 ft Frank Gerlach — double · EV 88 mph · LA +37° · 297 ft
Padres — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
386' 403' 371' Haxzel Andrade — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -11° · 80 ft Cary Schwinger — single · EV 78 mph · LA +18° · 141 ft Ángelo Salcido — single · EV 87 mph · LA +5° · 83 ft Thomas Lavelle — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -25° · 66 ft Barry Salaun — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -21° · 68 ft Huntley Cleveland — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +3° · 88 ft Lautaro Corona — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +28° · 344 ft Keshav Atehortua — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +24° · 263 ft Etienne Gleeson — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -4° · 76 ft Thomas Lavelle — fielders_choice · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 82 ft Cary Schwinger — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA -11° · 56 ft Ángelo Salcido — single · EV 88 mph · LA -5° · 84 ft Thomas Lavelle — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 219 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Athletics
60% deserve-to-win  ·  4.4 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 6.2 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Emmett Crutchfield 95 / +8° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.10
Frank Gerlach 88 / +37° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Mauro Mascherano 87 / -15° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Arnold Sutton 94 / -7° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Cannon Sinclair 100 / +17° Oppo Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Padres
40% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 5.2 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-2.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Lautaro Corona 102 / +28° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.33
Keshav Atehortua 93 / +24° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Ángelo Salcido 87 / +5° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
Ángelo Salcido 88 / -5° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Cary Schwinger 78 / +18° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
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