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Athletics 8, Guardians 3                                    2026-08-13 · #1369
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Cleveland               3    3    3    0
Oakland                 8    8    8    1

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Granberry   2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Haliburton  p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Mayotte pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Carmona     lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Velez       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Cosper      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Bannaty ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Anwunah     3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Brymer      rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.500
Cabrera     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   2   0   1  0.000
González    1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Siereve ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  d-Ardón   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  24   3   3   0   0   0   3   6   8   0   1  0.125
  CS: González (11).
  HBP: Carmona (4).
  GIDP: Siereveld (2), Velez (4), González 2 (3).
  Squeeze: Cabrera (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Haliburton in the 3rd.
  b-Grounded out for Cosper in the 6th.
  c-Batted in the 7th.
  d-Ran in the 7th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fehr        cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Caspersen   c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
DeLong      lf ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Korda       2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Wiesner pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Leat        3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Sutton      ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Zago    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rodrigues   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Viscarr ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sawchuk     rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Molina  ph ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
MacPhie     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Sinclai ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Crutchfield 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Noel    pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Weeks   pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ghannam     j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  32   8   8   2   0   0   8   5  17   0   0  0.250
  2B: DeLong (6), Ghannam (6).
  CS: Noel (6).
  E: Taygan (5).
  GIDP: Sawchuk (4).
  a-Ran for Korda in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Sutton in the 7th.
  c-Batted for Rodrigues in the 4th.
  d-Batted for Sawchuk in the 3rd.
  e-Singled for MacPhie in the 3rd.
  f-Ran for Sinclair in the 3rd.
  g-Ran in the 7th.

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Haliburton (L, 11-7)     29   22  81%    6    6    6    4   15    0  118    -
Yano ................     7    5  19%    1    2    2    1    2    0   21  2-1

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
MacPhie (W, 4-6) ....    24   20  74%    2    3    1    4    6    0   95    -
Brink (F, 20) .......     7    7  26%    1    0    0    2    2    0   13  2-0

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Haliburton (Outs 1-22) → Yano (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Velez (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | González (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Anwunah (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cabrera (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Carmona (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cosper (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Brymer (Outs 1-27)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | MacPhie (Outs 1-20) → Brink (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Caspersen (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Rodrigues (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Leat (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sutton (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sawchuk (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted first; Guardians batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 62°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 690156.
  Powerplays: Guardians — Ardón NF (O15)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.00    Peak faced 6.00
    27 outs left: 1.00
    18 outs left: 1.50
     9 outs left: 2.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 4 Ahmad Sawchuk Emmett Crutchfield (3B) 0–1
B 20 Marcos Ghannam Zane Wiesner (3B) 0–2
B 20 Marcos Ghannam Chad Weeks (2B) 0–3
B 21 Emmett Crutchfield Martin Leat (3B) 0–4
B 21 Chad Weeks Marcos Ghannam (3B) 0–5
B 21 Chet Noel Zane Wiesner (3B) 0–6
B 26 Tobias DeLong Chet Noel (3B) 0–7
B 26 Tobias DeLong Wilfredo Molina (2B) 0–8
T 10 Sekou Cabrera Benoit Mayotte (3B) 1–8 1.41
T 19 Anthony Brymer Júnior Ardón (3B) 2–8 2.62
T 19 Sekou Cabrera Doug Bannatyne (2B) 3–8 2.25
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.00
Peak faced 6.00
27 outs left 1.00
18 outs left 1.50
9 outs left 2.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Guardians — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Eddie Velez — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -12° · 57 ft Aleksandar Cosper — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +5° · 49 ft Anthony Brymer — single · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 159 ft José González — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 66 ft Kemari Granberry — single · EV 79 mph · LA +16° · 130 ft Benoit Mayotte — error · EV 62 mph · LA +3° · 59 ft Doug Bannatyne — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA -14° · 76 ft José González — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA +15° · 136 ft Anthony Brymer — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Eddie Velez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 202 ft Boris Carmona — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +50° · 228 ft Sekou Cabrera — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Marcos Siereveld — single · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Amir Anwunah — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +29° · 150 ft Marcos Siereveld — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Amir Anwunah — error · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 223 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Randy Korda — single · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Arnold Sutton — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 129 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Cannon Sinclair — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 168 ft Alex Zago — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +11° · 93 ft Marcos Ghannam — double · EV 92 mph · LA +47° · 338 ft Chad Weeks — single · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 166 ft Emmett Crutchfield — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 97 ft Hal Fehr — single · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Chet Noel — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Wilfredo Molina — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Tobias DeLong — double · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 312 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Guardians
63% deserve-to-win  ·  4.1 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 5.1 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-2.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Amir Anwunah 92 / +21° Center Reached on Error 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Marcos Siereveld 76 / +5° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
José González 82 / +15° Center Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Kemari Granberry 79 / +16° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
José González 76 / +8° Center Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Athletics
37% deserve-to-win  ·  3.1 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +4.9 vs expected
contact: 6.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+2.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tobias DeLong 92 / +34° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Marcos Ghannam 92 / +47° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Hal Fehr 76 / -6° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Randy Korda 52 / +15° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Alex Zago 79 / +11° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
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