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Dodgers 5, Beavers 4                                        2026-08-14 · #1370
at The Oval
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                        1    R    H    E
Los Angeles             5    5    8    0
Portland                4    4    4    0

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martin      lf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Egglest ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Maier       c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gerardy     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Gilbert pr ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Murray      2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Swanson     cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Roby        ss ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Lepchenko   3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Gleason     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fariña      p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Chang   ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Querrey pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Abbott      j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Kromah      j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  28   5   8   2   0   0   4   4  10   0   0  0.286
  2B: Martin (6), Kromah (8).
  HBP: Swanson (4), Kromah (1).
  GIDP: Gilbert (2).
  a-Batted for Martin in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Gerardy in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 4th.
  d-Ran in the 5th.

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rabess      rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Fuenzal ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Turenne     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tessema     2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Tapia       p  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Clement     lf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Hydrick     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Guerra      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Aktaş       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Holzworth   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Vahaly  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Harper  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Zamora  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Palepal pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Redmayne    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Velazquez   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   4   4   1   0   0   1   3  14   0   1  0.143
  2B: Clement (14).
  SB: Palepale (3).
  GIDP: Tapia (1), Hydrick (4).
  Squeeze: Guerra (1 RBI).
  a-Singled for Rabess in the 5th.
  b-Singled for Holzworth in the 5th.
  c-Batted in the 7th.
  d-Batted in the 6th.
  e-Ran for Palepale in the 6th.

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Fariña ..............     6    4  15%    1    3    3    2    0    0   20    -
Tiernan (W, 7-0) ....    17   15  56%    2    0    0    0   11    0   64    -
Fitzgibbon (F, 26) ..     8    8  30%    1    1    1    1    3    0   32  1-1

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tapia (L, 5-13) .....    28   21  78%    7    4    4    3    9    0   92    -
Kamiwazumi ..........     6    6  22%    1    1    1    1    1    0   25  3-1

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Fariña (Outs 1-4) → Tiernan (Outs 5-19) → Fitzgibbon (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Maier (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Gleason (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Murray (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Lepchenko (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Roby (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Martin (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Swanson (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-27)

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Tapia (Outs 1-21) → Kamiwazumi (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Hydrick (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Holzworth (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Turenne (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Clement (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Guerra (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Rabess (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Beavers (home) batted second; Dodgers batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 73°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 654935.
  Powerplays: Beavers — Zamora NF
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.67    Peak faced 3.00
    27 outs left: 0.67
    18 outs left: 0.50
     9 outs left: 1.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 9 Tomm Kromah Dean Gilbert (3B) 1–0 —
T 14 Elliott Gleason Berkeley Abbott (3B) 2–0 —
T 19 Daylan Querrey Daylan Querrey (3B) 3–0 —
T 21 Eugene Roby Arturo Fariña (3B) 4–0 —
T 21 Andy Lepchenko Colton Swanson (3B) 5–0 —
B 2 Yadier Guerra Angel Tapia (3B) 5–1 0.60
B 3 Kyle Rabess Val Clement (3B) 5–2 0.50
B 3 Kyle Rabess Bonsa Tessema (3B) 5–3 0.38
B 23 Val Clement Deandre Palepale (3B) 5–4 1.50
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.67
Peak faced 3.00
27 outs left 0.67
18 outs left 0.50
9 outs left 1.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Oval's actual outfield dimensions (LF 326' · CF 455' · RF 395' · 14' wall). Cavernous.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Dodgers — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Thomas Martin — double · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 321 ft Quentin Maier — single · EV 79 mph · LA +18° · 147 ft Tanner Gerardy — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -13° · 72 ft Elliott Gleason — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +55° · 263 ft Arturo Fariña — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 265 ft Berkeley Abbott — single · EV 57 mph · LA +18° · 76 ft Tomm Kromah — double · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft Dean Gilbert — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +20° · 148 ft Hubertus Murray — single · EV 92 mph · LA -9° · 87 ft Eugene Roby — single · EV 79 mph · LA +12° · 98 ft Elliott Gleason — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 75 ft Lenny Eggleston — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +47° · 263 ft Dean Gilbert — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA -1° · 50 ft Eugene Roby — single · EV 82 mph · LA +6° · 78 ft Andy Lepchenko — single · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Dean Gilbert — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft
Beavers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Angel Tapia — single · EV 66 mph · LA -11° · 62 ft Levar De Turenne — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 209 ft Holcombe Hydrick — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Kyle Rabess — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 188 ft Val Clement — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 227 ft Yadier Guerra — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +44° · 231 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Francisco Vahaly — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 143 ft Gabriel Harper — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +44° · 231 ft Yadier Guerra — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 228 ft Val Clement — double · EV 81 mph · LA +41° · 263 ft Holcombe Hydrick — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 68 ft Levar De Turenne — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 134 ft Angel Tapia — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 87 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Dodgers
79% deserve-to-win  ·  5.0 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 6.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+3.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tomm Kromah 76 / +41° Oppo Double 0.1 → 2 +1.85
Thomas Martin 92 / +36° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Andy Lepchenko 76 / +0° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Arturo Fariña 92 / +26° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Eugene Roby 82 / +6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
Beavers
21% deserve-to-win  ·  2.5 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.5 vs expected
contact: 4.5 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+0.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Val Clement 81 / +41° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.32
Angel Tapia 66 / -11° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Levar De Turenne 76 / +18° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Holcombe Hydrick 76 / +9° Pull Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Jaime Fuenzalida 76 / +18° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
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