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Padres 9, Athletics 8  (2 SI)                               2026-08-16 · #1392
at Saitch Coliseum
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Oakland                 8      0    8    7    0
San Diego               8      1    9    6    0

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Korda       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Sinclai ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mascherano  1b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fehr        cf ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   4   0   0   1   0  0.250
DeLong      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Crutchfield 2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Wiesner pr ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Molina      rf ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Leat        3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Sawchuk ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sutton      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Gerlach ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Todo        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Colón   pr ......    2   2   2   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Noel    pr ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Zago    ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  h-Saunder pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  36   8   7   2   0   1   8   5  14   1   0  0.194
  2B: Fehr (5), Sinclair (17).
  HR: Colón (1), off Omae.
  HBP: Todo (2).
  a-Doubled for Korda in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Crutchfield in the 3rd.
  c-Grounded out for Leat in the 5th.
  d-Batted for Sutton in the 5th.
  e-Ran for Todo in the 9th.
  f-Ran for Sinclair in the 4th.
  g-Batted in the 5th.
  h-Ran in the 6th.

PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Omae        p  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Susnjar     c  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Lettier ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Andrade     ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Atehortua   1b ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.500
Alemu       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Schwinger   rf ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   3   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Gleeson ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Salcido     cf ......    5   2   1   0   0   1   4   0   4   0   0  0.200
Banuelos    3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Fernández   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   1  0.000
Pearman     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  31   9   6   0   0   2   9   7  14   0   1  0.194
  HR: Salcido (2), off Todo; Gleeson (2), off Todo.
  SB: Pearman (2).
  CS: Atehortua (9).
  HBP: Alemu (4), Fernández (10).
  a-Struck out for Susnjar in the 10th.
  b-Homered for Schwinger in the 11th.

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Todo (L, 2-4) .......    12    7  26%    2    5    5    1    2    2   45    -
MacPhie .............    14   11  41%    2    4    3    5    5    0   58  1-1
Brink ...............    12   13  48%    1    0    0    1    7    0   59  2-0

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Omae (W, 5-5) .......    33   27 100%    3    8    8    5   11    1  109    -
Mori ................     6    6  22%    2    0    0    0    3    0   22    -

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-31)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Todo (Outs 1-7) → MacPhie (Outs 8-18) → Brink (Outs 19-31)
CATCHER (C)       | Korda (Outs 1-31)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mascherano (Outs 1-31)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-31)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Leat (Outs 1-31)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sutton (Outs 1-31)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-31)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-31)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Molina (Outs 1-31)

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-33)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Omae (Outs 1-27) → Mori (Outs 28-33)
CATCHER (C)       | Susnjar (Outs 1-33)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-33)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Alemu (Outs 1-33)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Banuelos (Outs 1-33)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Andrade (Outs 1-33)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fernández (Outs 1-33)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Salcido (Outs 1-33)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Schwinger (Outs 1-33)

  Batting order: Padres (home) batted first; Athletics batted second.
  Super-innings: 2.
  First pitch 5:45 PM PT. Weather: 85°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 349956.
  Powerplays: Athletics — Noel NF (O2)
  Walk-Back runs: off MacPhie 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.11    Peak faced 1.33
    27 outs left: 1.11
    18 outs left: 1.33
     9 outs left: 1.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 3 Ángelo Salcido Kreigh Susnjar (3B) 0–1 —
B 3 Ángelo Salcido Keshav Atehortua (2B) 0–2 —
B 3 Ángelo Salcido Cary Schwinger (1B) 0–3 —
B 3 Ángelo Salcido Ángelo Salcido (HR) 0–4 —
B 4 Takashi Omae Ángelo Salcido (3B) 0–5 —
B 10 Israel Fernández Takashi Omae (3B) 0–6 —
B 12 Mark Pearman Cary Schwinger (3B) 0–7 —
B 12 Mark Pearman Stefan Banuelos (2B) 0–8 —
T 8 Hal Fehr Zane Wiesner (3B) 1–8 1.42
T 11 Cannon Sinclair Zane Wiesner (1B) 2–8 1.50
T 12 Ahmad Sawchuk Chet Noel (3B) 3–8 1.40
T 14 Javier Colón Javier Colón (1B) 4–8 1.38
T 14 Javier Colón Javier Colón (—) 5–8 1.15
T 20 Hal Fehr Keaton Saunders (3B) 6–8 1.71
T 20 Hal Fehr Wilfredo Molina (2B) 7–8 1.29
T 20 Hal Fehr Zane Wiesner (1B) 8–8 0.86
SB 31 Etienne Gleeson Etienne Gleeson (HR) 8–9 —
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.11
Peak faced 1.33
27 outs left 1.11
18 outs left 1.33
9 outs left 1.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Saitch Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 386' · CF 403' · RF 371' · 6' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Athletics — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
386' 403' 371' Hal Fehr — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 183 ft Mauro Mascherano — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -8° · 95 ft Wilfredo Molina — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA -27° · 84 ft Martin Leat — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -13° · 84 ft Cannon Sinclair — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 173 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +19° · 187 ft Javier Colón — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +43° · 399 ft Chet Noel — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA +7° · 67 ft Hal Fehr — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA +4° · 92 ft Javier Colón — single · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Alex Zago — single · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Zane Wiesner — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -8° · 77 ft Hal Fehr — double · EV 100 mph · LA +27° · 325 ft Alex Zago — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 192 ft Hal Fehr — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +43° · 309 ft Mauro Mascherano — fielders_choice · EV 61 mph · LA -21° · 58 ft Hal Fehr — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +1° · 82 ft Wilfredo Molina — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -9° · 49 ft
Padres — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 2 HR
386' 403' 371' Takashi Omae — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +37° · 284 ft Kreigh Susnjar — fielders_choice · EV 86 mph · LA +9° · 88 ft Haxzel Andrade — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +25° · 184 ft Ángelo Salcido — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +31° · 416 ft Stefan Banuelos — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +17° · 207 ft Mark Pearman — single · EV 99 mph · LA -1° · 94 ft Israel Fernández — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +27° · 190 ft Etienne Gleeson — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 382 ft Takashi Omae — single · EV 89 mph · LA +18° · 187 ft Kreigh Susnjar — ground_out · EV 106 mph · LA +8° · 101 ft Keshav Atehortua — single · EV 70 mph · LA -9° · 67 ft Haxzel Andrade — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +6° · 70 ft Stefan Banuelos — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 84 ft Takashi Omae — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Athletics
44% deserve-to-win  ·  7.0 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 12.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-3.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Javier Colón 100 / +43° Pull Home Run 2.6 → 4 +1.41
Hal Fehr 100 / +14° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Hal Fehr 88 / +43° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Ahmad Sawchuk 88 / +19° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Cannon Sinclair 100 / +13° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
Padres
56% deserve-to-win  ·  7.8 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 9.9 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+1.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Etienne Gleeson 100 / +36° Center Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.07
Ángelo Salcido 109 / +31° Pull Home Run 2.2 → 4 +1.75
Stefan Banuelos 96 / +17° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Keshav Atehortua 70 / -9° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Kreigh Susnjar 106 / +8° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
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