==============================================================================
Royals 9, Tigers 1                                          2026-08-16 · #1393
at Sokk Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 1    1    3    2
Kansas City             9    9    8    1

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Amigo       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Peavy       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Monroe      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Zheng       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mauigoa     lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Day         c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Lutmer      1b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
McMichael   2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Okonkwo     p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Whorisk ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   1   3   0   0   0   1   2  13   0   0  0.103
  E: Monroe (4), Whoriskey (6).
  GIDP: Day (3).
  a-Grounded out for Okonkwo in the 7th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hackett     p  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Vera    pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fuenzalida  rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Sabella     lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Rosales     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Linnehan    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Tanguil ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Monson      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Gregory ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fontes      cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Altamir pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Espinoza    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Farley  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Devens      3b ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
  f-Graham  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Hsia    pr ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Ekic    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Selden  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Press       j  ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  35   9   8   4   0   0   7   3  13   0   0  0.229
  2B: Hackett (5), Fontes (16), Devens (2), Hsia (4).
  E: Rosales (7).
  GIDP: Gregory (4), Graham (4).
  a-Ran for Hackett in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Linnehan in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Monson in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Fontes in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for Espinoza in the 5th.
  f-Batted in the 6th.
  g-Ran for Tanguilig in the 6th.
  h-Grounded out for Farley in the 8th.
  i-Grounded out for Gregory in the 8th.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Okonkwo (L, 11-6) ...    28   21   88  3.1    6    5    3    1   12    0    -
Massey ..............    10    6   28  2.8    2    4    2    2    1    0  2-2

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Hackett (W, 11-12) ..    29   27  104  3.6    2    1    1    2   13    0    -

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Okonkwo (Outs 1-21) → Massey (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Day (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Lutmer (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | McMichael (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zheng (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mauigoa (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Amigo (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Peavy (Outs 1-27)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Hackett (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Devens (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Espinoza (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fontes (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted first; Tigers batted second.
  First pitch 1:05 PM CT. Weather: 73°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 692774.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.11    Peak faced 9.00
    27 outs left: 1.11
    18 outs left: 1.67
     9 outs left: 3.33
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 6 Beau Devens Finn Hackett (3B) 0–1 —
B 7 Finn Hackett Ramon Altamirano (3B) 0–2 —
B 18 Luis Rosales Eugenio Vera (3B) 0–3 —
B 19 Thomas Gregory Chico Press (3B) 0–4 —
B 21 Beau Devens Yung-chi Hsia (2B) 0–5 —
B 21 Chico Press Ramon Altamirano (3B) 0–6 —
B 21 Chico Press Beau Devens (2B) 0–7 —
B 23 Yung-chi Hsia Beau Devens (3B) 0–8 —
B 23 Yung-chi Hsia Chico Press (2B) 0–9 —
T 20 Zixuan Zheng Jenson Mauigoa (2B) 1–9 3.86
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.11
Peak faced 9.00
27 outs left 1.11
18 outs left 1.67
9 outs left 3.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Tigers — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Ed Peavy — fielders_choice · EV 63 mph · LA +6° · 60 ft Cooper Monroe — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 292 ft Cooper Monroe — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Zixuan Zheng — error · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Cooper Monroe — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 168 ft Christian Day — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Liam Lutmer — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 334 ft Barry McMichael — single · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Carter Okonkwo — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 4 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Finn Hackett — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 167 ft Luis Rosales — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 206 ft Yamil Fontes — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 158 ft Mario Espinoza — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Chico Press — single · EV 58 mph · LA +15° · 68 ft Thomas Gregory — double_play · EV 53 mph · LA -1° · 50 ft Randy Farley — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +19° · 138 ft George Graham — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 217 ft Tripp Ekic — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 225 ft Chris Selden — error · EV 52 mph · LA -17° · 49 ft Yung-chi Hsia — double · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 205 ft Finn Hackett — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 189 ft Efraín Sabella — single · EV 79 mph · LA +17° · 138 ft Luis Rosales — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +48° · 337 ft Landon Tanguilig — error · EV 52 mph · LA -5° · 49 ft Randy Farley — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 93 ft Chico Press — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 113 ft George Graham — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Eugenio Vera — fielders_choice · EV 53 mph · LA -7° · 51 ft Luis Rosales — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -14° · 54 ft Beau Devens — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 149 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — error · EV 55 mph · LA -31° · 52 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
9% deserve-to-win  ·  1.5 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.5 vs expected
contact: 4.2 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-2.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Liam Lutmer 92 / +40° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Barry McMichael 76 / -8° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Cooper Monroe 92 / +30° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Cooper Monroe 76 / +23° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Carter Okonkwo 76 / +12° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Royals
91% deserve-to-win  ·  5.0 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +4.0 vs expected
contact: 9.7 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+2.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yamil Fontes 92 / +14° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Beau Devens 92 / +13° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Luis Rosales 92 / +48° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Finn Hackett 92 / +17° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Yung-chi Hsia 92 / +19° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →