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Phillies 7, Tigers 4                                        2026-08-20 · #1432
at Halloran Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 4    4    9    0
Philadelphia            7    7    6    0

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Grimaldo    2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Delatte     ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Day     ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Monroe      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Amigo       cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.333
Mauigoa     lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Lutmer  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Peavy       rf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Cotzumalgua c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Kuchiki     1b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-McMicha pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Okonkwo     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Acebo   pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Whorisk ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Marion  pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  27   4   9   2   0   0   3   3   6   0   1  0.333
  2B: Kuchiki (11), Day (4).
  SB: Kuchiki (7), Marion (6).
  CS: Delatte (19).
  GIDP: Delatte (4), Monroe (4), Whoriskey (16).
  Squeeze: Amigo (1 RBI).
  a-Doubled for Delatte in the 9th.
  b-Batted for Mauigoa in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Kuchiki in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Okonkwo in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for McMichael in the 3rd.
  f-Ran in the 6th.

PHILLIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Andrade     c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Mattke      cf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Santos  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Israilov    lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Borges  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Moor        3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.000
Tabaracci   rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
DelSignore  1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Martín      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Grizzli ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Skeen       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Awoniyi ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gullett     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Vásquez pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Ka'apan pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Anthony     j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ferguson-Re j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32   7   6   2   0   0   5   4  16   0   0  0.188
  2B: Mattke (12), Grizzlies (35).
  HBP: Tabaracci (4).
  a-Ran for Mattke in the 5th.
  b-Walked for Israilov in the 6th.
  c-Batted for Martín in the 3rd.
  d-Batted for Skeen in the 6th.
  e-Ran for Gullett in the 6th.
  f-Ran for Borges in the 7th.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Okonkwo (L, 11-7) ...    24   17   78  3.2    5    5    5    2    8    0    -
Malin ...............    13   10   61  4.7    1    2    2    2    8    0  1-1

PHILLIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Gullett .............    10    7   30  3.0    4    1    1    1    1    0    -
Maples (W, 3-7) .....    16   17   68  4.2    3    2    2    1    6    0  2-1
Flam ................     4    3   17  4.2    1    1    1    1    0    0  1-1

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Okonkwo (Outs 1-17) → Malin (Outs 18-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cotzumalguapa (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kuchiki (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Grimaldo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mauigoa (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Amigo (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Peavy (Outs 1-27)

PHILLIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Gullett (Outs 1-7) → Maples (Outs 8-24) → Flam (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | DelSignore (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Skeen (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Moor (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martín (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Israilov (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Mattke (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Tabaracci (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Phillies (home) batted first; Tigers batted second.
  First pitch 7:10 PM ET. Weather: 88°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 784245.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.89    Peak faced 12.00
    27 outs left: 0.89
    18 outs left: 1.17
     9 outs left: 2.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 3 Nicolas Martín Bryan Andrade (3B) 0–1 —
B 15 Andres Gullett Sandy Santos (3B) 0–2 —
B 16 Zach Grizzlies Alberto Vásquez (2B) 0–3 —
B 16 Adhithya Tabaracci Zach Grizzlies (2B) 0–4 —
B 16 Jahiem Moor Patrick DelSignore (2B) 0–5 —
B 26 Jerome Ka'apana Adhithya Tabaracci (3B) 0–6 —
B 26 Jerome Ka'apana Jerome Ka'apana (2B) 0–7 —
T 5 Rocky Kuchiki Yimmi Cotzumalguapa (1B) 1–7 0.95
T 10 Jon Grimaldo Barry McMichael (3B) 2–7 1.06
T 23 Eloy Amigo Karl Marion (3B) 3–7 3.75
T 24 Christian Day Raymond Acebo (2B) 4–7 4.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.89
Peak faced 12.00
27 outs left 0.89
18 outs left 1.17
9 outs left 2.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Halloran Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 271' · CF 492' · RF 299' · 36' wall). Bathtub.
Tigers — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
271' 492' 299' Wall 36' Eloy Amigo — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -10° · 93 ft Jenson Mauigoa — single · EV 94 mph · LA +6° · 89 ft Aleksandar Delatte — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA +25° · 203 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — single · EV 105 mph · LA +2° · 100 ft Rocky Kuchiki — double · EV 95 mph · LA +11° · 140 ft Cooper Monroe — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +9° · 80 ft Raymond Acebo — single · EV 90 mph · LA -11° · 85 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Karl Marion — single · EV 85 mph · LA +23° · 207 ft Christian Day — double · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 315 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +1° · 49 ft Eloy Amigo — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +38° · 229 ft Aleksandar Delatte — single · EV 87 mph · LA +16° · 163 ft Ed Peavy — single · EV 57 mph · LA +22° · 91 ft Cooper Monroe — double_play · EV 67 mph · LA +10° · 61 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — fielders_choice · EV 59 mph · LA -3° · 56 ft
Phillies — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
271' 492' 299' Wall 36' Bryan Andrade — single · EV 88 mph · LA -23° · 84 ft Patrick DelSignore — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA +2° · 66 ft Godfrey Skeen — fly_out · EV 117 mph · LA +23° · 395 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -10° · 95 ft Bright Awoniyi — ground_out · EV 108 mph · LA -14° · 102 ft Jerome Ka'apana — single · EV 97 mph · LA +8° · 109 ft Patrick DelSignore — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Anthony Mattke — double · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 165 ft Bryan Andrade — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -1° · 77 ft Zach Grizzlies — double · EV 104 mph · LA +22° · 300 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — single · EV 84 mph · LA +21° · 194 ft Jahiem Moor — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -2° · 70 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
44% deserve-to-win  ·  4.2 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 7.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+2.8 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Christian Day 92 / +34° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.05
Rocky Kuchiki 95 / +11° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.91
Raymond Acebo 90 / -11° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.63
Ed Peavy 57 / +22° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
Jenson Mauigoa 94 / +6° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Phillies
56% deserve-to-win  ·  4.6 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 8.0 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Godfrey Skeen 117 / +23° Oppo Out 1.7 → 0 -1.71
Anthony Mattke 88 / +16° Center Double 0.6 → 2 +1.39
Patrick DelSignore 69 / +2° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.90
Bryan Andrade 88 / -23° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.63
Adhithya Tabaracci 100 / -10° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.46
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