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Rockies 6, Athletics 5                                      2026-08-23 · #1459
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Colorado                6    6    7    0
Oakland                 5    5    5    0

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martinho    ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ruidíaz     2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kaiuway     3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Robles  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Goss        lf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Poling      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Farquha ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Diatta      rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mondragón   c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Otamend ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Alderman    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Herr    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Denson      p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  22   6   7   1   0   0   6   4   8   0   0  0.318
  2B: Goss (43).
  SB: Otamendi (12).
  CS: Goss (10).
  HBP: Kaiuway (3).
  a-Ran for Kaiuway in the 6th.
  b-Singled for Poling in the 7th.
  c-Walked for Mondragón in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Alderman in the 6th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Curran      p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Wiesner pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Fehr        cf ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sinclair    1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  b-Gerlach ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Crutchfield 2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Korda       lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Noel        ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Saunders    3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sutton      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Zago        rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Molina  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Rodrigu ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Sawchuk ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Taygan      j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ghannam     j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  28   5   5   0   0   0   1   4   7   0   1  0.179
  SB: Fehr (5).
  CS: Crutchfield (5).
  HBP: Noel (4), Taygan (4).
  GIDP: Saunders (3).
  a-Ran for Curran in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Sinclair in the 3rd.
  c-Ran in the 3rd.
  d-Grounded out for Taygan in the 8th.
  e-Singled for Molina in the 9th.

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Denson (W, 18-6) ....    32   25  93%    5    5    5    4    5    0  100    -
Mejia ...............     3    2   7%    0    0    0    1    2    0    8  2-0

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Curran ..............    22   17  63%    3    2    2    4    7    0   85    -
Verón (L, 8-3) ......     4    2   7%    3    4    4    0    1    0    9  3-2

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Denson (Outs 1-25) → Mejia (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Poling (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Kaiuway (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Diatta (Outs 1-27)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-19)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Curran (Outs 1-17) → Verón (Outs 18-19)
CATCHER (C)       | Sutton (Outs 1-19)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-19)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-19)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Saunders (Outs 1-19)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Noel (Outs 1-19)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Korda (Outs 1-19)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-19)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Zago (Outs 1-19)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted first; Rockies batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 62°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Dry. seed 562554.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.67    Peak faced 1.36
    27 outs left: 0.67
    18 outs left: 0.83
     9 outs left: 0.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 2 Emmett Crutchfield Hal Fehr (3B) 0–1 —
B 8 Frank Gerlach Zane Wiesner (3B) 0–2 —
B 8 Frank Gerlach Wilfredo Molina (3B) 0–3 —
B 11 Chet Noel Rick Taygan (3B) 0–4 —
B 25 Ahmad Sawchuk Randy Korda (3B) 0–5 —
T 9 Dozie Denson Aníbal Mondragón (3B) 1–5 0.83
T 17 Wesly Otamendi John Diatta (3B) 2–5 1.20
T 17 Marco Ruidíaz Ronald Herr (3B) 3–5 0.90
T 17 Marco Ruidíaz Oren Robles (2B) 4–5 0.60
T 18 Tavierre Farquhar Wesly Otamendi (3B) 5–5 0.33
T 19 Ahkhari Goss Tavierre Farquhar (1B) 6–5 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.67
Peak faced 1.36
27 outs left 0.67
18 outs left 0.83
9 outs left 0.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Rockies — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Justin Kaiuway — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +30° · 146 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -2° · 73 ft Dozie Denson — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +27° · 281 ft Aníbal Mondragón — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 87 ft Tavierre Farquhar — single · EV 84 mph · LA +10° · 97 ft Markeylin Martinho — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +11° · 127 ft Dozie Denson — single · EV 97 mph · LA +3° · 92 ft Marco Ruidíaz — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft John Diatta — single · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 87 ft Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 96 mph · LA +11° · 135 ft Markeylin Martinho — infield_single · EV 85 mph · LA +9° · 86 ft Marco Ruidíaz — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Shane Curran — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +27° · 242 ft Hal Fehr — single · EV 70 mph · LA +13° · 89 ft Keaton Saunders — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Alex Zago — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +7° · 80 ft Frank Gerlach — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +12° · 122 ft Emmett Crutchfield — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +7° · 83 ft Chet Noel — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -7° · 87 ft Zane Wiesner — fly_out · EV 67 mph · LA +41° · 180 ft Wilfredo Molina — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +14° · 130 ft Rick Taygan — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 131 ft Mauricio Rodrigues — line_out · EV 101 mph · LA +14° · 185 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — infield_single · EV 67 mph · LA -5° · 64 ft Shane Curran — single · EV 92 mph · LA -11° · 87 ft Hal Fehr — single · EV 65 mph · LA +24° · 123 ft Alex Zago — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +35° · 284 ft Frank Gerlach — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -14° · 55 ft Randy Korda — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Keaton Saunders — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -8° · 59 ft Zane Wiesner — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 134 ft Arnold Sutton — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -13° · 73 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rockies
45% deserve-to-win  ·  5.1 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+0.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ahkhari Goss 96 / +11° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.90
Markeylin Martinho 91 / +11° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Marco Ruidíaz 91 / +8° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Marco Ruidíaz 76 / +8° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Dozie Denson 93 / +27° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Athletics
55% deserve-to-win  ·  5.7 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 7.6 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-2.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mauricio Rodrigues 101 / +14° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Ahmad Sawchuk 67 / -5° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Shane Curran 92 / -11° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.63
Hal Fehr 65 / +24° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Frank Gerlach 85 / +12° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
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