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Tigers 6, Beavers 5                                         2026-08-23 · #1461
at The Oval
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 6    6    9    1
Portland                5    5    4    1

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Monroe      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Lutmer  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Delatte     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Amigo       cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Zheng       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Borden  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Peavy       lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Cotzumalgua 2b ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Grimaldo    1b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Day     ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  1.000
Kuchiki     rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Acebo   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Briggs      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Whorisk ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Marion  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Soldan      j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Massey      j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kuhler      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   6   9   1   0   0   6   3   6   1   0  0.375
  2B: Grimaldo (7).
  SB: Amigo (6).
  E: Soldan (4).
  HBP: Zheng (5).
  GIDP: Whoriskey (18), Lutmer (5).
  a-Grounded out for Monroe in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Zheng in the 6th.
  c-Singled for Grimaldo in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Kuchiki in the 4th.
  e-Batted for Briggs in the 5th.
  f-Ran in the 6th.

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Clement     lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Tessema     2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Schilli pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Turenne     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Guerra      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Aktaş       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Okey    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Holzworth   1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Waston  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Zamora      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Harper  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Streko      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Fuenzal ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Lindsay     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Vahaly  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Vidal   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Palepal pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Redmayne    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Velazquez   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   5   4   1   0   0   3   6   4   0   1  0.154
  2B: Fuenzalida (8).
  SB: Vahaly (7).
  E: Velazquez (4).
  GIDP: Harper (8), Redmayne (1).
  a-Ran for Tessema in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Aktaş in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Holzworth in the 3rd.
  d-Batted for Zamora in the 4th.
  e-Batted for Streko in the 3rd.
  f-Walked for Lindsay in the 3rd.
  g-Ran in the 6th.
  h-Ran for Vahaly in the 6th.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Briggs (W, 2-6) .....    27   24   94  3.5    3    3    3    5    4    0    -
Basham ..............     5    3   21  4.2    1    2    2    1    0    0  1-1

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Lindsay (L, 6-22) ...    28   19  102  3.6    9    6    2    3    6    0    -

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Briggs (Outs 1-24) → Basham (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Zheng (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Grimaldo (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Cotzumalguapa (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Amigo (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Kuchiki (Outs 1-27)

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-19)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lindsay (Outs 1-19)
CATCHER (C)       | Zamora (Outs 1-19)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Holzworth (Outs 1-19)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-19)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-19)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Guerra (Outs 1-19)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Clement (Outs 1-19)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Streko (Outs 1-19)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Turenne (Outs 1-19)

  Batting order: Beavers (home) batted first; Tigers batted second.
  First pitch 2:00 PM PT. Weather: 66°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 587714.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.67    Peak faced 1.00
    27 outs left: 0.67
    18 outs left: 0.67
     9 outs left: 0.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 7 Jaime Fuenzalida Agustín Waston (3B) 0–1 —
B 16 Sydney Redmayne Deandre Palepale (3B) 0–2 —
B 16 Sydney Redmayne Álvaro Vidal (3B) 0–3 —
B 24 Wilmer Velazquez Rhyne Okey (3B) 0–4 —
B 24 Deandre Palepale Ludlow Schillig (3B) 0–5 —
T 3 Jon Grimaldo Ed Peavy (2B) 1–5 0.62
T 6 Juan Briggs Jon Grimaldo (3B) 2–5 0.57
T 15 Thai-Son Whoriskey Karl Marion (3B) 3–5 0.75
T 15 Thai-Son Whoriskey Noah Massey (2B) 4–5 0.50
T 17 Christian Day Kenyatta Soldan (3B) 5–5 0.30
T 19 Ed Peavy Trevor Borden (3B) 6–5 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.67
Peak faced 1.00
27 outs left 0.67
18 outs left 0.67
9 outs left 0.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Oval's actual outfield dimensions (LF 326' · CF 455' · RF 395' · 14' wall). Cavernous.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Tigers — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 7 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Eloy Amigo — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +21° · 284 ft Ed Peavy — single · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — single · EV 62 mph · LA -7° · 59 ft Jon Grimaldo — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 195 ft Rocky Kuchiki — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +5° · 49 ft Juan Briggs — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -4° · 60 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — double_play · EV 80 mph · LA -8° · 76 ft Noah Massey — single · EV 92 mph · LA +25° · 256 ft Kenyatta Soldan — single · EV 84 mph · LA +4° · 80 ft Liam Lutmer — double_play · EV 72 mph · LA -4° · 68 ft Christian Day — error · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Kevin Kuhler — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Eloy Amigo — single · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Aleksandar Delatte — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -7° · 80 ft Rocky Kuchiki — single · EV 72 mph · LA +12° · 82 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — error · EV 80 mph · LA +18° · 150 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — single · EV 80 mph · LA +15° · 131 ft
Beavers — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Bonsa Tessema — single · EV 83 mph · LA -0° · 79 ft Yadier Guerra — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -5° · 84 ft Aaron Holzworth — single · EV 79 mph · LA -6° · 75 ft Donis Zamora — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -19° · 78 ft Mekhi Streko — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +4° · 76 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +9° · 103 ft Agustín Waston — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 83 ft Sydney Redmayne — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -12° · 49 ft Levar De Turenne — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Wilmer Velazquez — line_out · EV 61 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Deandre Palepale — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +13° · 146 ft Rhyne Okey — fielders_choice · EV 66 mph · LA -21° · 63 ft Álvaro Vidal — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +20° · 220 ft Sydney Redmayne — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 203 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 152 ft Gabriel Harper — double_play · EV 67 mph · LA +4° · 63 ft Agustín Waston — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Val Clement — single · EV 78 mph · LA +6° · 74 ft Deandre Palepale — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +45° · 266 ft Bonsa Tessema — error · EV 95 mph · LA +19° · 220 ft Sydney Redmayne — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +13° · 117 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
29% deserve-to-win  ·  5.1 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 7.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+3.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eloy Amigo 102 / +21° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.42
Jon Grimaldo 92 / +18° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Yimmi Cotzumalguapa 62 / -7° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Ed Peavy 76 / -3° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Eloy Amigo 76 / -4° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Beavers
71% deserve-to-win  ·  8.0 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -3.0 vs expected
contact: 9.4 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-4.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bonsa Tessema 95 / +19° Oppo Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Jaime Fuenzalida 92 / +13° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Álvaro Vidal 93 / +20° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Jaime Fuenzalida 93 / +9° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Deandre Palepale 90 / +13° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
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