==============================================================================
Brewers 5, Guardians 4                                      2026-08-24 · #1471
at Cleveland Coliseum
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Milwaukee               5    5    4    0
Cleveland               4    4    3    1

BREWERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Trejo       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Williams    3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fossati     lf ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Irving      rf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Yani        c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Kass        cf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Saravia     ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Flores      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cortizo     p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Mesidor pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  16   5   4   3   0   0   5   1   4   0   0  0.250
  2B: Fossati 2 (14), Irving (51).
  HBP: Kass (2).
  a-Ran for Cortizo in the 3rd.

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Granberry   2b ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Céspedes    ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Velez       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bannatyne   3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Tanner      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Anwunah ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hutson      1b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Siereveld   cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Carmona     lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Harthan     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Bronaug ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   4   3   0   0   0   1   4  10   0   0  0.111
  SB: Siereveld (8), Bronaugh (9).
  E: Granberry (4).
  GIDP: Carmona (3).
  GITP: Carmona (1).
  Squeeze: Siereveld (1 RBI).
  a-Grounded out for Tanner in the 7th.
  b-Batted in the 3rd.

BREWERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cortizo (W, 14-4) ...    29   27 100%    1    4    3    4   10    0  122    -

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Harthan (L, 7-10) ...    17   11  41%    3    5    2    1    4    0   54    -

BREWERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Cortizo (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Yani (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Flores (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Trejo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Williams (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Saravia (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fossati (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Kass (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Irving (Outs 1-27)

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-11)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Harthan (Outs 1-11)
CATCHER (C)       | Velez (Outs 1-11)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Hutson (Outs 1-11)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-11)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Bannatyne (Outs 1-11)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Céspedes (Outs 1-11)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Carmona (Outs 1-11)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Siereveld (Outs 1-11)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Tanner (Outs 1-11)

  Batting order: Guardians (home) batted first; Brewers batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 79°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 796956.
  Powerplays: Brewers — Mesidor NF (O4)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.56    Peak faced 0.60
    27 outs left: 0.56
    18 outs left: 0.50
     9 outs left: 0.00
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 9 Marcos Siereveld Kemari Granberry (3B) 0–1 —
B 9 Oren Hutson Tayavek Céspedes (3B) 0–2 —
B 10 Tony Tanner Marcos Siereveld (3B) 0–3 —
B 23 Clint Bronaugh Kemari Granberry (3B) 0–4 —
T 3 Sergio Saravia Alan Fossati (2B) 1–4 0.50
T 6 Oscar Cortizo Thierry Kass (3B) 2–4 0.43
T 11 Clifford Irving Oscar Cortizo (3B) 3–4 0.38
T 11 Clifford Irving Stan Mesidor (2B) 4–4 0.19
T 11 Alan Fossati Sergio Saravia (3B) 5–4 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.56
Peak faced 0.60
27 outs left 0.56
18 outs left 0.50
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cleveland Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 410' · RF 349' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Brewers — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 0 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Alan Fossati — double · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 331 ft Clifford Irving — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 162 ft Jesse Williams — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Sergio Saravia — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -12° · 60 ft Thierry Kass — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 144 ft Sergio Saravia — error · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Jesse Williams — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +45° · 268 ft Clifford Irving — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 164 ft Alan Fossati — double · EV 98 mph · LA +33° · 347 ft
Guardians — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Eddie Velez — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +39° · 106 ft Oren Hutson — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +23° · 78 ft Amir Anwunah — error · EV 52 mph · LA -18° · 49 ft Doug Bannatyne — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +3° · 50 ft Eddie Velez — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -11° · 93 ft Kemari Granberry — single · EV 69 mph · LA +12° · 76 ft Tayavek Céspedes — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA +14° · 62 ft Doug Bannatyne — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +17° · 60 ft Boris Carmona — triple_play · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Clint Bronaugh — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +0° · 49 ft Boris Carmona — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -7° · 49 ft Oren Hutson — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brewers
62% deserve-to-win  ·  3.1 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +1.9 vs expected
contact: 6.0 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Clifford Irving 92 / +14° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Alan Fossati 92 / +39° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Clifford Irving 88 / +16° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Thierry Kass 92 / +13° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Jesse Williams 82 / +45° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.68
Guardians
38% deserve-to-win  ·  2.4 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 2.8 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-1.8 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kemari Granberry 69 / +12° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Eddie Velez 98 / -11° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.44
Oren Hutson 52 / +23° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Doug Bannatyne 52 / +17° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Tayavek Céspedes 57 / +14° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →