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Rockies 3, Athletics 2                                      2026-08-24 · #1472
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Colorado                3    3    6    0
Oakland                 2    2    5    0

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ruidíaz     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kaiuway     1b ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Holzworth   p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Alderman    2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Martinh ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Diatta      lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Mondragón   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Robles      rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Otamend ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Jimenez     cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Ibarra      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Conover ph ......    0   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0   .000
  d-Poling  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Farquha ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Evett   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  20   3   6   0   0   0   3   3   5   1   0  0.300
  SB: Poling (4).
  GIDP: Ruidíaz (4).
  a-Struck out for Alderman in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Robles in the 5th.
  c-Pinch-hit for Ibarra in the 7th.
  d-Ran in the 6th.
  e-Struck out in the 6th.
  f-Ran in the 7th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fehr        cf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Sinclair    1b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
DeLong      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mascherano  3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Noel        2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sutton      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Gerlach ph ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sawchuk     rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Korda   pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Zago        ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Rodrigu ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Brink       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Wiesner pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Saunder pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   2   5   0   0   1   2   1  13   0   0  0.172
  HR: Korda (4), off Holzworth.
  SB: Fehr 2 (7).
  GIDP: Brink (2).
  a-Batted for Sutton in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Sawchuk in the 3rd.
  c-Struck out for Zago in the 8th.
  d-Ran in the 5th.
  e-Ran in the 7th.

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Holzworth (W, 13-1) .    29   27   96  3.3    5    2    1    1   13    1    -

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Brink (L, 9-3) ......    22   18   83  3.8    4    2    2    3    5    0    -

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Holzworth (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kaiuway (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ibarra (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Jimenez (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Robles (Outs 1-27)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-18)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Brink (Outs 1-18)
CATCHER (C)       | Sutton (Outs 1-18)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-18)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Noel (Outs 1-18)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Mascherano (Outs 1-18)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zago (Outs 1-18)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-18)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-18)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sawchuk (Outs 1-18)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted first; Rockies batted second.
  First pitch 2:00 PM PT. Weather: 77°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 157108.
  Powerplays: Rockies — Evett NF (O12)
  Walk-Back runs: off Holzworth 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.33    Peak faced 0.50
    27 outs left: 0.33
    18 outs left: 0.33
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 11 Randy Korda Randy Korda (HR) 0–1 —
B 11 Frank Gerlach Randy Korda (3B) 0–2 —
T 2 Sebastián Jimenez John Diatta (2B) 1–2 0.24
T 18 Sebastián Jimenez Reed Poling (3B) 2–2 0.33
T 18 Garrett Conover Cannon Evett (3B) 3–2 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.33
Peak faced 0.50
27 outs left 0.33
18 outs left 0.33
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Rockies — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' John Diatta — single · EV 102 mph · LA +23° · 302 ft Oren Robles — single · EV 103 mph · LA +8° · 117 ft Sebastián Jimenez — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 187 ft Justin Kaiuway — single · EV 72 mph · LA +10° · 73 ft Marco Ruidíaz — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA -13° · 77 ft Corey Holzworth — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +15° · 149 ft Garrett Conover — error · EV 77 mph · LA +24° · 178 ft Corey Holzworth — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +12° · 124 ft Marco Ruidíaz — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +2° · 79 ft Dixon Ibarra — line_out · EV 59 mph · LA +16° · 73 ft Aníbal Mondragón — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -13° · 69 ft John Diatta — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +19° · 139 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
350' 450' 346' Arnold Sutton — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +44° · 267 ft Vasil Brink — line_out · EV 68 mph · LA +20° · 122 ft Randy Korda — hr · EV 98 mph · LA +36° · 371 ft Frank Gerlach — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -2° · 67 ft Zane Wiesner — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +3° · 80 ft Vasil Brink — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA -0° · 62 ft Mauro Mascherano — single · EV 90 mph · LA +10° · 112 ft Tobias DeLong — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +33° · 256 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -14° · 56 ft Hal Fehr — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +6° · 76 ft Frank Gerlach — single · EV 83 mph · LA -17° · 79 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +9° · 101 ft Tobias DeLong — fly_out · EV 103 mph · LA +33° · 386 ft Hal Fehr — single · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rockies
65% deserve-to-win  ·  5.1 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 7.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-2.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Garrett Conover 77 / +24° Pull Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Corey Holzworth 87 / +15° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Corey Holzworth 86 / +12° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
John Diatta 75 / +19° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Justin Kaiuway 72 / +10° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Athletics
35% deserve-to-win  ·  3.8 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -1.8 vs expected
contact: 8.3 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-0.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Randy Korda 98 / +36° Pull Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.55
Tobias DeLong 103 / +33° Center Out 1.9 → 0 -1.93
Cannon Sinclair 91 / +9° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Frank Gerlach 70 / -2° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Arnold Sutton 82 / +44° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.68
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