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Brewers 9, Guardians 0                                      2026-08-25 · #1480
at Cleveland Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Milwaukee               9    9    7    0
Cleveland               0    0    1    0

BREWERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fossati     lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Mesidor     c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Irving      cf ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Williams    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Edwards     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Ishida  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Yani        rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Kaplan      1b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Saravia     2b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Flowers     p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   2  0.500
Nava        j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   1  0.500
Eggleston   j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Ayers       j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   9   7   2   0   0   9   6  13   0   3  0.241
  2B: Mesidor (35), Irving (52).
  Squeeze: Nava (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Edwards in the 7th.

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Haliburton  p  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Granberry   2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Bronaug pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Céspedes    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Bannaty ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cabrera     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Rollins pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Siereveld   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Tanner      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Hutson      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Velez       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Carmona     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   0   1   0   0   0   0   1  18   0   0  0.037
  SB: Hutson (13).
  GIDP: Bannatyne (4).
  a-Ran for Granberry in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out for Céspedes in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Cabrera in the 6th.

BREWERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Flowers (W, 22-4) ...    26   27 100%    0    0    0    1   18    0  103    -

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Haliburton (L, 11-10)     26   20  74%    5    7    7    5    9    0  102    -
Ovalle ..............     9    7  26%    2    2    2    1    4    0   46  2-2

BREWERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Flowers (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mesidor (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kaplan (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Saravia (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Edwards (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Williams (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fossati (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Irving (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Yani (Outs 1-27)

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Haliburton (Outs 1-20) → Ovalle (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cabrera (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Hutson (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Velez (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Céspedes (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Carmona (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Siereveld (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Tanner (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Guardians (home) batted second; Brewers batted first.
  First pitch 7:05 PM ET. Weather: 89°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 951525.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.11    Peak faced 15.00
    27 outs left: 1.11
    18 outs left: 1.67
     9 outs left: 3.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 6 Alphonzo Flowers Graydon Yani (3B) 1–0 —
T 7 Sergio Saravia Sergio Saravia (3B) 2–0 —
T 11 Percy Nava Alphonzo Flowers (3B) 3–0 —
T 17 Percy Nava Sergio Saravia (3B) 4–0 —
T 17 Percy Nava Stan Mesidor (2B) 5–0 —
T 20 Clifford Irving Terry Ayers (3B) 6–0 —
T 20 Clifford Irving Percy Nava (2B) 7–0 —
T 20 Stan Mesidor Toshihiro Ishida (3B) 8–0 —
T 25 Graydon Yani Clifford Irving (3B) 9–0 —
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.11
Peak faced 15.00
27 outs left 1.11
18 outs left 1.67
9 outs left 3.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cleveland Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 410' · RF 349' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Brewers — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Alan Fossati — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +8° · 110 ft Clifford Irving — single · EV 81 mph · LA +4° · 77 ft Jesse Williams — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft Daniel Edwards — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -12° · 65 ft Alphonzo Flowers — single · EV 91 mph · LA +18° · 188 ft Sergio Saravia — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 127 ft Percy Nava — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 121 ft Clifford Irving — double · EV 93 mph · LA +27° · 282 ft Stan Mesidor — double · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 335 ft Graydon Yani — single · EV 82 mph · LA +13° · 116 ft
Guardians — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Tayavek Céspedes — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Marcos Siereveld — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Doug Bannatyne — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -1° · 49 ft Sekou Cabrera — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +1° · 49 ft Eddie Velez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 192 ft Boris Carmona — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -12° · 63 ft Keshav Haliburton — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brewers
98% deserve-to-win  ·  4.4 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +4.6 vs expected
contact: 6.4 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+2.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Clifford Irving 93 / +27° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Alan Fossati 98 / +8° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.10
Stan Mesidor 92 / +40° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Clifford Irving 81 / +4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
Sergio Saravia 76 / +17° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Guardians
2% deserve-to-win  ·  0.7 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 1.4 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 0.0 (-1.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tayavek Céspedes 52 / +14° Pull Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
Marcos Siereveld 52 / +14° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
Keshav Haliburton 76 / -1° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.23
Eddie Velez 76 / +28° Oppo Out 0.2 → 0 -0.15
Doug Bannatyne 52 / -1° Oppo Double Play 0.1 → 0 -0.11
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