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Rockies 2, Athletics 1                                      2026-08-25 · #1481
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Colorado                2    2    6    1
Oakland                 1    1    4    0

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goss        lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Henry       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Alderman    cf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ruidíaz     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Herr    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Mondragón   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Otamend ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kaiuway     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Diatta      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Vidal       rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Poling      1b ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0  0.500
Dowell      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  25   2   6   2   0   0   2   6   9   1   0  0.240
  2B: Alderman (23), Otamendi (22).
  SB: Vidal (7).
  E: Kaiuway (9).
  GIDP: Vidal (4).
  GITP: Diatta (1).
  a-Ran for Ruidíaz in the 8th.
  b-Doubled for Mondragón in the 8th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Crutchfield 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Viscarr ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kitler      p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Fehr        cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Sinclair    1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
DeLong      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Mascherano  ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Molina      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sutton      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sawchuk     rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Korda   pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Zago    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Saunder pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ghannam     j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  27   1   4   0   0   0   1   2  13   0   0  0.148
  SB: Korda (20).
  CS: Korda (10).
  GIDP: Korda (2), Mascherano (3).
  a-Singled for Crutchfield in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Sawchuk in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 5th.
  d-Ran in the 6th.

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Henry (W, 12-1) .....    28   27 100%    3    1    1    2   13    0  111    -

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kitler (L, 7-6) .....    25   22  81%    4    2    2    6    7    0   92    -
Rowe ................     4    5  19%    2    0    0    0    2    0   17  2-0

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Henry (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Poling (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Kaiuway (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Vidal (Outs 1-27)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kitler (Outs 1-22) → Rowe (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Sutton (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Molina (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Mascherano (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sawchuk (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted second; Rockies batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 85°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 760328.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.33    Peak faced 6.00
    27 outs left: 0.33
    18 outs left: 0.50
     9 outs left: 1.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 22 Allen Alderman Wesly Otamendi (2B) 1–0 —
T 22 Thai-Son Dowell Ronald Herr (3B) 2–0 —
B 21 Wilfredo Molina Mauro Mascherano (2B) 2–1 1.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.33
Peak faced 6.00
27 outs left 0.33
18 outs left 0.50
9 outs left 1.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Rockies — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Allen Alderman — fielders_choice · EV 57 mph · LA +6° · 54 ft Aníbal Mondragón — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA -4° · 74 ft John Diatta — triple_play · EV 81 mph · LA +4° · 77 ft Justin Kaiuway — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 166 ft Ahkhari Goss — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +18° · 150 ft Wesly Otamendi — double · EV 103 mph · LA +36° · 405 ft Thai-Son Dowell — single · EV 95 mph · LA +3° · 91 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 84 mph · LA +23° · 201 ft Youstin Vidal — double_play · EV 62 mph · LA -10° · 59 ft Justin Kaiuway — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +0° · 73 ft Ahkhari Goss — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 297 ft Reed Poling — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA -18° · 76 ft Allen Alderman — double · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 181 ft Youstin Vidal — single · EV 58 mph · LA +16° · 71 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 79 mph · LA +16° · 132 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Mauro Mascherano — double_play · EV 86 mph · LA -9° · 81 ft Wilfredo Molina — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +16° · 139 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — single · EV 74 mph · LA +17° · 120 ft Leonel Viscarra — single · EV 77 mph · LA +21° · 157 ft Alex Zago — fly_out · EV 74 mph · LA +49° · 219 ft Rick Taygan — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 121 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 68 ft Wilfredo Molina — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +32° · 254 ft Randy Korda — double_play · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 81 ft Mauro Mascherano — error · EV 63 mph · LA +3° · 60 ft Wilfredo Molina — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -4° · 74 ft Reggie Kitler — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +9° · 86 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rockies
93% deserve-to-win  ·  6.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -4.6 vs expected
contact: 7.9 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+0.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Allen Alderman 92 / +16° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Ahkhari Goss 92 / +31° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Youstin Vidal 58 / +16° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Justin Kaiuway 76 / +23° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Ahkhari Goss 79 / +18° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Athletics
7% deserve-to-win  ·  1.8 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.8 vs expected
contact: 4.7 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-1.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wilfredo Molina 80 / +16° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Reggie Kitler 82 / +9° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Rick Taygan 76 / +16° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Cannon Sinclair 76 / +9° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Ahmad Sawchuk 74 / +17° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
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