==============================================================================
Royals 8, Beavers 7  (3 SI)                                 2026-08-25 · #1482
at The Oval
==============================================================================

                        1      S    R    H    E
Kansas City             7      1    8   12    0
Portland                7      0    7   12    0

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Graham      lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Sabella     ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Fuenzalida  rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Linneha pr ......    2   1   2   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Monson      2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  b-Espinoz pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alinen      1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Hsia    ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.500
Tanguilig   c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Inglis  ph ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Rosales     3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Vera    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Talavera    cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Devens  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kortovich   p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Fontes  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Farley  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Ekic    ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  j-Altamir pr ......    3   1   2   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
  k-Selden  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  l-Gregory ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Press       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  36   8  12   1   0   2   8   8  12   0   1  0.333
  2B: Tanguilig (16).
  HR: Linnehan (1), off Moulton; Altamirano (1), off Moulton.
  SB: Tanguilig (10), Vera (9).
  CS: Altamirano (11).
  GIDP: Farley (2).
  a-Ran for Fuenzalida in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Monson in the 7th.
  c-Batted for Alinen in the 5th.
  d-Batted for Tanguilig in the 5th.
  e-Ran for Rosales in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Talavera in the 3rd.
  g-Grounded out for Kortovich in the 3rd.
  h-Ran for Selden in the 6th.
  i-Singled for Devens in the 3rd.
  j-Ran for Ekic in the 3rd.
  k-Walked for Fontes in the 6th.
  l-Batted for Vera in the 7th.

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Vahaly      ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.250
Clement     lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Streko  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tessema     2b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.250
Turenne     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Schilli ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Hydrick     c  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.250
Guerra      cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.250
Aktaş       3b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Okey    pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Holzworth   1b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  d-Waston  pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Moulton     p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Fuenzal ph ......    4   1   2   1   1   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  f-Harper  ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  g-Xue     pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  h-Rabess  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Vidal   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  j-Palepal pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Redmayne    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  36   7  12   3   1   0   5   9  14   0   1  0.333
  2B: Aktaş (4), Fuenzalida (10), Harper (9).
  3B: Fuenzalida (1).
  SB: Vahaly 2 (9), Guerra (4).
  CS: Vahaly (16), Turenne (8), Okey (8), Schillig (3), Vidal (2).
  GIDP: Tessema (11).
  a-Struck out for Clement in the 11th.
  b-Batted for Turenne in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Aktaş in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Holzworth in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for Moulton in the 3rd.
  f-Batted for Okey in the 7th.
  g-Ran in the 10th.
  h-Struck out for Streko in the 12th.
  i-Ran for Harper in the 12th.
  j-Ran for Xue in the 12th.

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kortovich (W, 13-5) .    27   17  63%    8    5    5    8    6    0  111    -
Carvallo ............    16   16  59%    2    2    2    1    9    0   62  2-0
Weil ................     3    3  11%    1    0    0    0    1    0   12    -

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Moulton (L, 3-11) ...    38   31 115%   12    8    8    7    9    2  142    -
Agunloye ............     6    5  19%    0    0    0    1    3    0   34    -

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-36)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kortovich (Outs 1-17) → Carvallo (Outs 18-33) → Weil (Outs 34-36)
CATCHER (C)       | Tanguilig (Outs 1-36)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Alinen (Outs 1-36)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-36)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-36)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-36)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-36)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Talavera (Outs 1-36)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-36)

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-36)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Moulton (Outs 1-31) → Agunloye (Outs 32-36)
CATCHER (C)       | Hydrick (Outs 1-36)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Holzworth (Outs 1-36)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-36)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-36)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vahaly (Outs 1-36)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Clement (Outs 1-36)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Guerra (Outs 1-36)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Turenne (Outs 1-36)

  Batting order: Beavers (home) batted first; Royals batted second.
  Super-innings: 3.
  First pitch 7:15 PM PT. Weather: 73°F · Wind cross · Clear · Humid. seed 769814.
  Powerplays: Beavers — Streko NF (O19), Rabess NF
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.89    Peak faced 3.00
    27 outs left: 0.89
    18 outs left: 1.00
     9 outs left: 1.67
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 6 Jaime Fuenzalida Yadier Guerra (3B) 0–1 —
B 6 Jaime Fuenzalida Aaron Holzworth (2B) 0–2 —
B 6 Dawood Aktaş Agustín Waston (3B) 0–3 —
B 6 Dawood Aktaş Jaime Fuenzalida (2B) 0–4 —
B 7 Levar De Turenne Agustín Waston (3B) 0–5 —
B 15 Ludlow Schillig Francisco Vahaly (3B) 0–6 —
B 16 Holcombe Hydrick Sydney Redmayne (3B) 0–7 —
T 2 Landon Tanguilig Zach Alinen (1B) 1–7 0.84
T 8 Tripp Ekic Beau Devens (2B) 2–7 0.95
T 18 Thomas Gregory Mario Espinoza (2B) 3–7 1.67
T 22 Yung-chi Hsia Connor Inglis (2B) 4–7 2.40
T 22 Rich Linnehan Yung-chi Hsia (2B) 5–7 1.80
T 22 Rich Linnehan George Graham (1B) 6–7 1.20
T 22 Rich Linnehan Rich Linnehan (HR) 7–7 0.60
ST 33 Ramon Altamirano Ramon Altamirano (HR) 8–7 —
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.89
Peak faced 3.00
27 outs left 0.89
18 outs left 1.00
9 outs left 1.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Oval's actual outfield dimensions (LF 326' · CF 455' · RF 395' · 14' wall). Cavernous.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Royals — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 9 1B · 1 XBH · 2 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Zach Alinen — single · EV 88 mph · LA +25° · 239 ft Landon Tanguilig — double · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 302 ft Luis Rosales — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +43° · 399 ft Kael Monson — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +0° · 70 ft Yamil Fontes — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +43° · 392 ft Tripp Ekic — single · EV 88 mph · LA +22° · 218 ft Ramon Altamirano — single · EV 100 mph · LA +5° · 95 ft Thomas Gregory — single · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 132 ft Chico Press — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Yung-chi Hsia — single · EV 100 mph · LA -6° · 95 ft Rich Linnehan — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Randy Farley — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Luis Rosales — single · EV 95 mph · LA +21° · 240 ft Connor Inglis — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA -6° · 81 ft Ramon Altamirano — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -19° · 95 ft Rich Linnehan — single · EV 98 mph · LA -21° · 93 ft Randy Farley — double_play · EV 69 mph · LA +1° · 65 ft Mario Espinoza — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 66 ft Kael Monson — single · EV 86 mph · LA -12° · 82 ft Connor Inglis — single · EV 79 mph · LA +12° · 104 ft Ramon Altamirano — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +39° · 452 ft Efraín Sabella — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -1° · 73 ft Connor Inglis — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +39° · 293 ft
Beavers — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 7 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Val Clement — single · EV 103 mph · LA +7° · 97 ft Yadier Guerra — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 88 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — double · EV 102 mph · LA +18° · 246 ft Holcombe Hydrick — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 124 ft Levar De Turenne — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 188 ft Sydney Redmayne — single · EV 94 mph · LA +11° · 134 ft Gabriel Harper — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -8° · 93 ft Dawood Aktaş — double · EV 96 mph · LA +29° · 309 ft Francisco Vahaly — single · EV 77 mph · LA -0° · 73 ft Bonsa Tessema — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +6° · 75 ft Yadier Guerra — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -1° · 82 ft Ludlow Schillig — single · EV 78 mph · LA +2° · 74 ft Gabriel Harper — double · EV 115 mph · LA +26° · 412 ft Francisco Vahaly — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +22° · 201 ft Bonsa Tessema — double_play · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Yadier Guerra — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +15° · 163 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA +19° · 237 ft Bonsa Tessema — infield_single · EV 65 mph · LA +5° · 62 ft Holcombe Hydrick — single · EV 55 mph · LA +16° · 64 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 236 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
72% deserve-to-win  ·  14.8 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -6.8 vs expected
contact: 22.0 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (-3.0 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Luis Rosales 100 / +43° Pull Out 2.6 → 0 -2.59
Yamil Fontes 99 / +43° Center Out 2.0 → 0 -2.01
Ramon Altamirano 108 / +39° Oppo Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.12
Landon Tanguilig 100 / +24° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.67
Kael Monson 86 / -12° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Beavers
28% deserve-to-win  ·  9.2 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -2.2 vs expected
contact: 14.4 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+1.6 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 4 CS (-1.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jaime Fuenzalida 100 / +18° Oppo Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.58
Jaime Fuenzalida 97 / +19° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Dawood Aktaş 96 / +29° Oppo Double 1.1 → 2 +0.93
Gabriel Harper 115 / +26° Center Double 2.9 → 2 -0.93
Bonsa Tessema 65 / +5° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.90
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →