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Red Sox 9, Tigers 8                                         2026-08-27 · #1505
at Kuvvatov Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Boston                  9    9    3    0
Detroit                 8    8    4    1

RED SOX
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Suazo       2b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Venegas     lf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Pfister     cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Núñez       1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Echever pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Falby       ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Pope    pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cameron     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
Wolfe       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Miranda ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Cordano     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Endō        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Nytes   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Hodges  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Merrill ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Hobbs   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Malard      j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Strachan    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   9   3   1   0   0   6   8   8   0   0  0.115
  2B: Venegas (17).
  SB: Pope (9).
  GIDP: Miranda (2).
  a-Ran for Núñez in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Falby in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Wolfe in the 8th.
  d-Batted in the 7th.
  e-Ran in the 7th.
  f-Walked in the 8th.
  g-Ran for Merrill in the 3rd.

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Amigo       cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Peavy       lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Cotzumalgua 3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kuchiki     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Takuma  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Borden      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Verón   pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Marion      1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Whorisk ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Day         c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Delatte ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Lutmer      2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Acebo   pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Briggs      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-McMicha pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Monroe  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Grimald ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Massey      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Soldan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   8   4   1   0   0   7  10  15   0   0  0.167
  2B: Peavy (12).
  SB: Amigo (7).
  CS: Amigo (4).
  E: Delatte (10).
  a-Batted for Kuchiki in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Borden in the 4th.
  c-Singled for Marion in the 4th.
  d-Walked for Day in the 4th.
  e-Ran for Lutmer in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Delatte in the 4th.
  g-Ran for Whoriskey in the 4th.
  h-Batted for Soldan in the 5th.

RED SOX PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Endō (W, 3-2) .......    17   12  44%    2    2    2    6    8    0   81    -
Johnson .............    11   10  37%    0    3    3    3    5    0   53  3-2
Cortez ..............     7    5  19%    2    3    3    1    3    0   19  1-1

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Briggs ..............    20   12  44%    2    5    1    5    2    0   75    -
Malin (L, 3-7) ......    14   12  44%    1    4    4    3    6    0   63  3-1

RED SOX DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Endō (Outs 1-12) → Johnson (Outs 13-22) → Cortez (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cordano (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Núñez (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Suazo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Wolfe (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Falby (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Venegas (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Pfister (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Cameron (Outs 1-27)

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-24)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Briggs (Outs 1-12) → Malin (Outs 13-24)
CATCHER (C)       | Day (Outs 1-24)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Marion (Outs 1-24)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Lutmer (Outs 1-24)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Cotzumalguapa (Outs 1-24)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Borden (Outs 1-24)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-24)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Amigo (Outs 1-24)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Kuchiki (Outs 1-24)

  Batting order: Tigers (home) batted first; Red Sox batted second.
  First pitch 7:10 PM CT. Weather: 80°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 620355.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.00    Peak faced 1.00
    27 outs left: 0.89
    18 outs left: 0.83
     9 outs left: 0.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 10 Thai-Son Whoriskey Raymond Acebo (2B) 0–1 —
B 12 Yimmi Cotzumalguapa Barry McMichael (3B) 0–2 —
B 16 Noah Massey Cooper Monroe (3B) 0–3 —
B 18 Cooper Monroe Yimmi Cotzumalguapa (3B) 0–4 —
B 21 Yimmi Cotzumalguapa Raymond Acebo (3B) 0–5 —
B 22 Ed Peavy Barry McMichael (3B) 0–6 —
B 24 Barry McMichael Ed Peavy (2B) 0–7 —
B 24 Cooper Monroe Eloy Amigo (3B) 0–8 —
T 0 Kervin Venegas Manuel Suazo (1B) 1–8 0.89
T 1 Jide Falby Kervin Venegas (3B) 2–8 0.81
T 1 Tony Cameron Walter Núñez (2B) 3–8 0.69
T 6 Daylan Miranda Ferdi Pope (3B) 4–8 0.71
T 12 Kervin Venegas Denis Echeverría (3B) 5–8 0.80
T 14 Denis Echeverría Jacob Hodges (3B) 6–8 0.69
T 16 Tony Cameron Kervin Venegas (3B) 7–8 0.55
T 21 Kervin Venegas Daylan Miranda (3B) 8–8 0.50
T 24 Ferdi Pope Ivo Malard (3B) 9–8 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.00
Peak faced 1.00
27 outs left 0.89
18 outs left 0.83
9 outs left 0.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 307' · CF 431' · RF 353' · 43' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Red Sox — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Manuel Suazo — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Kervin Venegas — double · EV 99 mph · LA +22° · 276 ft Pancho Pfister — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -9° · 56 ft Walter Núñez — error · EV 58 mph · LA -12° · 55 ft Tony Cameron — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -4° · 65 ft Xzavier Wolfe — fly_out · EV 54 mph · LA +34° · 109 ft Ryuki Endō — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +24° · 179 ft Inman Nytes — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 318 ft Daylan Miranda — double_play · EV 69 mph · LA -10° · 65 ft Ferdi Pope — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +13° · 125 ft Denis Echeverría — ground_out · EV 55 mph · LA -3° · 52 ft Tony Cameron — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -0° · 62 ft Walter Núñez — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Daylan Miranda — single · EV 111 mph · LA +7° · 106 ft Pancho Pfister — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +38° · 292 ft Tony Cameron — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +8° · 81 ft
Tigers — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Eloy Amigo — single · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 83 ft Trevor Borden — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA +16° · 107 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — single · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 109 ft Barry McMichael — single · EV 81 mph · LA +21° · 177 ft Cooper Monroe — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -5° · 61 ft Noah Massey — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +15° · 163 ft Ed Peavy — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 174 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Red Sox
60% deserve-to-win  ·  5.9 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +3.1 vs expected
contact: 6.0 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Inman Nytes 92 / +35° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Kervin Venegas 99 / +22° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Ferdi Pope 84 / +13° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Ryuki Endō 78 / +24° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Manuel Suazo 76 / +19° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Tigers
40% deserve-to-win  ·  4.9 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +3.1 vs expected
contact: 4.1 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+0.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Noah Massey 89 / +15° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Ed Peavy 100 / +13° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
Eloy Amigo 88 / +4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
Trevor Borden 71 / +16° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Thai-Son Whoriskey 84 / +11° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.42
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