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Giants 11, Diamondbacks 6                                   2026-08-28 · #1515
at Arizona Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
San Francisco          11   11   10    0
Arizona                 6    6    6    0

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rosado      1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Kelley      ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Cardozo     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Figuero pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Horvath     2b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.667
Hoffken     3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Marte       cf ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  0.333
Kraszewski  lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Jimenez pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Short       c  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.250
Mateas      p  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   1  0.500
  c-Gallowa ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30  11  10   3   0   0  10   8   8   0   1  0.333
  2B: Horvath (19), Short (5), Mateas (6).
  SB: Horvath (9), Jimenez (10).
  a-Ran for Cardozo in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Kraszewski in the 6th.
  c-Grounded out in the 7th.

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Foyth       cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Gibson  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pierre-Loui ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Baxter  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Maupin      c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Start       lf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Gronowski   rf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Linton      3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bektas      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Sitanil ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Aogo        2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Pope    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Efird       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
  e-Kruger  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-McNutt  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Ullstro ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Caniza  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   6   6   1   0   0   6   4   9   0   1  0.214
  2B: Start (8).
  SB: Start (17), Pope (2).
  HBP: Foyth (8), Gronowski 2 (8).
  GITP: Efird (1).
  a-Ran for Foyth in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Pierre-Louis in the 7th.
  c-Walked for Bektas in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Aogo in the 4th.
  e-Batted in the 7th.
  f-Batted in the 5th.
  g-Batted in the 6th.
  h-Ran for Sitanilei in the 7th.

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Mateas (W, 17-10) ...    21   16   68  3.2    5    4    4    2    2    0    -
Moore (F, 20) .......    12   11   48  4.0    0    2    2    2    7    0  3-1

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Efird ...............    21   15   81  3.9    4    5    5    5    6    0    -
McDuffie (L, 6-5) ...    16   11   51  3.2    6    6    6    2    3    0  2-2
Wilkins .............     2    1    7  3.5    0    0    0    1    0    0  1-0

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Mateas (Outs 1-16) → Moore (Outs 17-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Short (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Rosado (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Horvath (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Kraszewski (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marte (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Cardozo (Outs 1-27)

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Efird (Outs 1-15) → McDuffie (Outs 16-26) → Wilkins (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Maupin (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Bektas (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Aogo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Linton (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Pierre-Louis (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Start (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Foyth (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gronowski (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Diamondbacks (home) batted second; Giants batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM MT. Weather: 82°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Dry. seed 539212.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.33    Peak faced 3.00
    27 outs left: 1.33
    18 outs left: 1.67
     9 outs left: 2.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 4 Jerome Short Ignacio Rosado (3B) 1–0 —
T 4 Jerome Short José Marte (2B) 2–0 —
T 4 Jerome Short Matt Kraszewski (1B) 3–0 —
T 10 José Marte Jerome Short (3B) 4–0 —
T 15 José Marte Tally Mateas (2B) 5–0 —
T 15 Orien Hoffken Raziel Jimenez (3B) 6–0 —
T 15 Devon Horvath José Marte (2B) 7–0 —
T 16 Manolo Figueroa Devon Horvath (2B) 8–0 —
T 17 Ignacio Rosado Manolo Figueroa (3B) 9–0 —
T 20 Devon Horvath Alafia Kelley (3B) 10–0 —
T 25 Tally Mateas Raziel Jimenez (1B) 11–0 —
B 0 Ron Gronowski Wallace Schmelzle (3B) 11–1 1.22
B 4 Leverton Aogo Joao Foyth (2B) 11–2 1.30
B 11 Ryan Pierre-Louis Ivan Pope (3B) 11–3 1.69
B 16 Joao Foyth Toby Start (3B) 11–4 2.18
B 19 Clark Efird Shyheim Baxter (3B) 11–5 2.62
B 20 Toby Start Yomar Caniza (2B) 11–6 2.57
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.33
Peak faced 3.00
27 outs left 1.33
18 outs left 1.67
9 outs left 2.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Arizona Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 340' · CF 429' · RF 341' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest Ivy Wall
Giants — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 7 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Ignacio Rosado — single · EV 119 mph · LA +3° · 113 ft Maximo Cardozo — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 295 ft Jerome Short — double · EV 100 mph · LA +33° · 367 ft José Marte — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +32° · 277 ft Manolo Figueroa — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Brad Galloway — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -18° · 84 ft Alafia Kelley — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -13° · 74 ft Tally Mateas — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 155 ft Jerome Short — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +27° · 284 ft José Marte — single · EV 97 mph · LA +9° · 121 ft Devon Horvath — single · EV 88 mph · LA -6° · 84 ft Manolo Figueroa — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +15° · 121 ft Orien Hoffken — single · EV 93 mph · LA +22° · 244 ft Alafia Kelley — single · EV 88 mph · LA +21° · 208 ft Devon Horvath — double · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 194 ft José Marte — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +37° · 299 ft Alafia Kelley — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +9° · 121 ft Tally Mateas — double · EV 88 mph · LA +35° · 290 ft Jerome Short — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +34° · 288 ft
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Huntley Maupin — single · EV 85 mph · LA +12° · 114 ft Ron Gronowski — single · EV 81 mph · LA +7° · 77 ft Ryan Pierre-Louis — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +13° · 107 ft Miguel Linton — single · EV 90 mph · LA +6° · 85 ft Phillip Bektas — fly_out · EV 55 mph · LA +34° · 111 ft Leverton Aogo — single · EV 82 mph · LA +20° · 177 ft Clark Efird — triple_play · EV 68 mph · LA -15° · 65 ft Miguel McNutt — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +42° · 381 ft Irving Ullstrom — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +49° · 349 ft Phillip Bektas — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -6° · 56 ft Joao Foyth — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +22° · 185 ft Ryan Pierre-Louis — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +2° · 86 ft Toby Start — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +3° · 94 ft Miguel McNutt — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -22° · 75 ft Toby Start — double · EV 93 mph · LA +11° · 127 ft Toby Start — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -18° · 65 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Giants
79% deserve-to-win  ·  13.5 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -2.5 vs expected
contact: 16.9 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-3.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Maximo Cardozo 119 / +16° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Alafia Kelley 99 / +9° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.09
Tally Mateas 88 / +35° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Jerome Short 88 / +34° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
José Marte 88 / +37° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Diamondbacks
21% deserve-to-win  ·  6.9 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 7.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-1.8 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Miguel McNutt 98 / +42° Center Out 2.0 → 0 -2.00
Toby Start 93 / +11° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Ron Gronowski 81 / +7° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.69
Joao Foyth 81 / +22° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Miguel Linton 90 / +6° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
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