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Royals 5, Athletics 3                                       2026-08-29 · #1523
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Kansas City             5    5    2    0
Oakland                 3    3    6    1

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Graham      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Tanguilig   rf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Fuenzal ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rosales     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Talavera    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
  b-Ekic    ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Linnehan    c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Monson      2b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Altamir pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Vera        cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Sabella ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Espinoza    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Inglis  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zingaro     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Fontes  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Hsia    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  h-Gregory pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Selden  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Press       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   5   2   2   0   0   3   6  12   0   1  0.077
  2B: Monson (6), Ekic (11).
  SB: Tanguilig (11).
  CS: Graham (4).
  HBP: Altamirano (3).
  GIDP: Fuenzalida (3).
  a-Batted for Tanguilig in the 3rd.
  b-Doubled for Talavera in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Monson in the 3rd.
  d-Batted for Vera in the 5th.
  e-Ran for Espinoza in the 6th.
  f-Batted in the 5th.
  g-Ran in the 7th.
  h-Ran for Ekic in the 8th.
  i-Grounded out for Fontes in the 8th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fehr        cf ......    3   0   1   0   1   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Crutchfield 2b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Korda       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Gerlach     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
DeLong      lf ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Molina      1b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
  a-Weeks   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Sawchuk     rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Wiesner pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zago        ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Viscarr ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Brink       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Sinclai ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Noel    pr ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Saunder pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Rodrigu ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ghannam     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Taygan      j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  29   3   6   4   1   0   3   4  12   0   0  0.207
  2B: Noel (3), DeLong (7), Molina (11), Sawchuk (6).
  3B: Fehr (2).
  SB: Crutchfield (4).
  CS: Noel (9), Wiesner (2).
  E: Fehr (1).
  a-Ran for Molina in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Sawchuk in the 3rd.
  c-Batted for Zago in the 3rd.
  d-Walked for Brink in the 3rd.
  e-Ran for Sinclair in the 6th.
  f-Ran for Noel in the 8th.
  g-Struck out in the 8th.

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Zingaro (W, 5-1) ....    22   20  74%    5    1    1    1    8    0   92    -
Weil (F, 32) ........    10    7  26%    1    2    2    3    4    0   24  1-0

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Brink (L, 9-3) ......    10    9  33%    1    2    1    2    4    0   40    -
Sun .................    16   12  44%    1    2    2    2    5    0   57    -
Appiah ..............     7    6  22%    0    1    1    2    3    0   26  2-0

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Zingaro (Outs 1-20) → Weil (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Talavera (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Espinoza (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Vera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Tanguilig (Outs 1-27)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Brink (Outs 1-9) → Sun (Outs 10-21) → Appiah (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Korda (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Molina (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Gerlach (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zago (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sawchuk (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted second; Royals batted first.
  First pitch 6:40 PM PT. Weather: 76°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 172086.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.67    Peak faced 9.00
    27 outs left: 0.67
    18 outs left: 1.00
     9 outs left: 2.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 4 Kael Monson Landon Tanguilig (3B) 1–0 —
T 7 Jhonder Fuenzalida Ramon Altamirano (3B) 2–0 —
T 20 Tripp Ekic Yung-chi Hsia (2B) 3–0 —
T 20 Tripp Ekic Ramon Altamirano (1B) 4–0 —
T 23 Connor Inglis Thomas Gregory (3B) 5–0 —
B 20 Wilfredo Molina Emmett Crutchfield (3B) 5–1 2.14
B 23 Chet Noel Chad Weeks (2B) 5–2 3.00
B 23 Chet Noel Rick Taygan (1B) 5–3 2.25
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.67
Peak faced 9.00
27 outs left 0.67
18 outs left 1.00
9 outs left 2.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Royals — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 0 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Rich Linnehan — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +33° · 99 ft Kael Monson — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 143 ft Govind Zingaro — error · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 124 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Reinaldo Talavera — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +47° · 338 ft Ramon Altamirano — error · EV 62 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Chico Press — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +34° · 228 ft Tripp Ekic — double · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 330 ft Luis Rosales — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 207 ft Rich Linnehan — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Yamil Fontes — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +26° · 227 ft Efraín Sabella — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +8° · 49 ft Ramon Altamirano — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +47° · 259 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 1 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Hal Fehr — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 311 ft Randy Korda — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -8° · 93 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 165 ft Alex Zago — line_out · EV 107 mph · LA -13° · 101 ft Zane Wiesner — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +28° · 257 ft Chet Noel — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 221 ft Frank Gerlach — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -10° · 86 ft Tobias DeLong — infield_single · EV 67 mph · LA -5° · 64 ft Hal Fehr — triple · EV 110 mph · LA +15° · 235 ft Leonel Viscarra — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +32° · 249 ft Hal Fehr — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +1° · 91 ft Tobias DeLong — double · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 382 ft Emmett Crutchfield — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA -7° · 76 ft Wilfredo Molina — double · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 154 ft Emmett Crutchfield — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -5° · 93 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
34% deserve-to-win  ·  4.2 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 5.7 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-1.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kael Monson 92 / +12° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Reinaldo Talavera 92 / +47° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Tripp Ekic 92 / +38° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Ramon Altamirano 81 / +47° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.68
Govind Zingaro 76 / +16° Pull Reached on Error 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Athletics
66% deserve-to-win  ·  5.9 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -2.9 vs expected
contact: 12.3 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-0.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hal Fehr 110 / +15° Oppo Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.54
Hal Fehr 100 / +26° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.33
Wilfredo Molina 97 / +12° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.90
Tobias DeLong 67 / -5° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Ahmad Sawchuk 100 / +12° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
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