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Royals 2, Athletics 1                                       2026-08-30 · #1529
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Kansas City             2    2    3    0
Oakland                 1    1    1    0

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Talavera    2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Graham      lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Alinen      rf ......    1   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Tanguilig   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rosales     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   5   2   3   0   1   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.600
  3B: Alinen (2).


ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Verón       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sinclair    1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Crutchfield 2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Molina      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gerlach     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Saunders    rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Wiesner pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sutton      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Korda   ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Sawchuk     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Viscarr ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Zago        ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-DeLong  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Rodrigu pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Ghannam     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   1   1   1   0   0   1   5  18   0   0  0.040
  2B: Saunders (2).
  SB: Korda (22).
  a-Ran for Saunders in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Sutton in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Sawchuk in the 3rd.
  d-Walked for Zago in the 3rd.
  e-Ran in the 4th.

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Li (W, 16-7) ........    30   27 100%    1    1    1    5   18    0  103    -

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Verón (L, 8-4) ......     5    2   7%    3    2    2    0    1    0   16    -

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Li (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | —
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Tanguilig (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Talavera (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | —
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | —
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alinen (Outs 1-27)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-2)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Verón (Outs 1-2)
CATCHER (C)       | Sutton (Outs 1-2)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-2)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-2)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Gerlach (Outs 1-2)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zago (Outs 1-2)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Molina (Outs 1-2)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Sawchuk (Outs 1-2)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Saunders (Outs 1-2)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted first; Royals batted second.
  First pitch 5:00 PM PT. Weather: 73°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 758665.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.22    Peak faced 0.22
    27 outs left: 0.11
    18 outs left: 0.00
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 22 Zane Wiesner Randy Korda (3B) 0–1 —
T 0 Zach Alinen George Graham (1B) 1–1 0.11
T 2 Reinaldo Talavera Zach Alinen (3B) 2–1 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.22
Peak faced 0.22
27 outs left 0.11
18 outs left 0.00
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Royals — Batted Balls
4 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' George Graham — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Zach Alinen — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 190 ft Luis Rosales — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +23° · 211 ft Reinaldo Talavera — single · EV 88 mph · LA +26° · 242 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 0 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Keaton Saunders — double · EV 99 mph · LA +28° · 329 ft Alex Zago — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +13° · 140 ft Frank Gerlach — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -16° · 69 ft Wilfredo Molina — line_out · EV 70 mph · LA +25° · 152 ft Zane Wiesner — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +20° · 228 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
26% deserve-to-win  ·  1.5 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 3.1 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+1.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zach Alinen 100 / +14° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.75
Luis Rosales 86 / +23° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
George Graham 100 / +7° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Reinaldo Talavera 88 / +26° Center Single 0.7 → 1 +0.27
Athletics
74% deserve-to-win  ·  2.6 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 3.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zane Wiesner 95 / +20° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Keaton Saunders 99 / +28° Oppo Double 1.1 → 2 +0.93
Alex Zago 89 / +13° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Frank Gerlach 72 / -16° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
Wilfredo Molina 70 / +25° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.15
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