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Rockies 8, Athletics 7                                      2026-08-31 · #1539
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Oakland                 7    7    7    1
Colorado                8    8    5    0

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sinclair    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Noel    pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
DeLong      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Crutchfield 2b ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Korda       c  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Molina      rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Wiesner pr ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Gerlach     3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Saunders    cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sutton      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Viscarr ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Curran      p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Sawchuk ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Ghannam     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   7   7   1   0   0   7   2  16   0   0  0.233
  2B: Korda (10).
  CS: Crutchfield (6).
  E: Taygan (6).
  HBP: Sinclair (5), Saunders (1).
  Squeeze: Crutchfield (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Sinclair in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Molina in the 3rd.
  c-Batted for Sutton in the 4th.
  d-Batted for Curran in the 5th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Otamendi    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Martinho    ss ......    2   2   2   1   0   1   5   1   0   0   0  1.000
Goss        lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Poling      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Vidal       rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Evett       c  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Chaves      1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Diatta      3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Henry       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Herr    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  18   8   5   3   0   1   7   2   5   0   0  0.278
  2B: Martinho (59), Evett (8), Diatta (35).
  HR: Martinho (33), off Kitler.
  HBP: Diatta (5).
  a-Ran for Henry in the 5th.

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Curran ..............     9    5  19%    2    3    3    0    2    0   36    -
Kitler (L, 7-7) .....     9    6  22%    2    4    4    1    3    1   30  1-1
Nwosu ...............     2    1   4%    1    1    1    1    0    0    8    -

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Henry (W, 13-1) .....    19   14  52%    3    6    6    2    7    0   53    -
Bahr ................    12   13  48%    1    1    1    0    9    0   56  1-1

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-12)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Curran (Outs 1-5) → Kitler (Outs 6-11) → Nwosu (Outs 12-12)
CATCHER (C)       | Korda (Outs 1-12)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-12)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-12)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Gerlach (Outs 1-12)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sutton (Outs 1-12)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-12)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Saunders (Outs 1-12)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Molina (Outs 1-12)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Henry (Outs 1-14) → Bahr (Outs 15-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Evett (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Poling (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Vidal (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted second; Athletics batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM MT. Weather: 81°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 285264.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.89    Peak faced 1.04
    27 outs left: 0.89
    18 outs left: 0.67
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 6 Cannon Sinclair Randy Korda (3B) 1–0
T 6 Tobias DeLong Zane Wiesner (3B) 2–0
T 7 Emmett Crutchfield Shane Curran (3B) 3–0
T 8 Randy Korda Chet Noel (3B) 4–0
T 14 Chet Noel Randy Korda (3B) 5–0
T 14 Chet Noel Frank Gerlach (2B) 6–0
T 16 Zane Wiesner Chet Noel (2B) 7–0
B 4 David Henry Cannon Evett (3B) 7–1 0.91
B 5 Markeylin Martinho Jeyland Chaves (3B) 7–2 0.82
B 5 Markeylin Martinho John Diatta (2B) 7–3 0.68
B 8 Cannon Evett Markeylin Martinho (2B) 7–4 0.63
B 11 Markeylin Martinho Youstin Vidal (3B) 7–5 0.56
B 11 Markeylin Martinho Cannon Evett (2B) 7–6 0.38
B 11 Markeylin Martinho Markeylin Martinho (HR) 7–7 0.19
B 12 John Diatta Ronald Herr (1B) 7–8 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.89
Peak faced 1.04
27 outs left 0.89
18 outs left 0.67
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Athletics — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
341' 409' 308' Tobias DeLong — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +27° · 196 ft Emmett Crutchfield — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +21° · 260 ft Wilfredo Molina — single · EV 94 mph · LA +9° · 114 ft Keaton Saunders — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -23° · 87 ft Leonel Viscarra — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -0° · 88 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +10° · 94 ft Chet Noel — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 241 ft Tobias DeLong — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 120 ft Randy Korda — double · EV 93 mph · LA +25° · 266 ft Zane Wiesner — single · EV 91 mph · LA +18° · 192 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 1 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
341' 409' 308' Ahkhari Goss — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +3° · 74 ft Cannon Evett — error · EV 68 mph · LA +0° · 65 ft Jeyland Chaves — single · EV 79 mph · LA -18° · 75 ft David Henry — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Markeylin Martinho — double · EV 85 mph · LA +38° · 280 ft Ahkhari Goss — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +23° · 190 ft Wesly Otamendi — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +32° · 150 ft Cannon Evett — double · EV 87 mph · LA +17° · 167 ft David Henry — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -12° · 68 ft Markeylin Martinho — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +36° · 399 ft John Diatta — double · EV 91 mph · LA +43° · 333 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Athletics
41% deserve-to-win  ·  3.0 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +4.0 vs expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Randy Korda 93 / +25° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Emmett Crutchfield 99 / +21° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Tobias DeLong 92 / +10° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Ahmad Sawchuk 83 / +10° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Leonel Viscarra 92 / +0° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.39
Rockies
59% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +4.4 vs expected
contact: 6.1 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+4.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Markeylin Martinho 102 / +36° Center Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.07
Markeylin Martinho 85 / +38° Pull Double 0.4 → 2 +1.56
Cannon Evett 87 / +17° Oppo Double 0.6 → 2 +1.39
John Diatta 91 / +43° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Jeyland Chaves 79 / -18° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
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