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Giants 9, Dodgers 1                                         2026-08-31 · #1540
at Wold Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
San Francisco           9    9    4    0
Los Angeles             1    1    8    1

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Matos       rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kelley      ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Jimenez pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Cardozo     c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Horvath     2b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Braxton     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Gallowa ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Rosado      1b ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.000
Leininger   cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Figuero pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hoffken     3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Helgeson-Ni p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   2  0.000
  d-Anger   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Capdevila   j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lacasse     j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Sundling    j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  27   9   4   1   0   0   7   6  10   0   2  0.148
  2B: Galloway (24).
  SB: Horvath (10), Rosado (20), Jimenez (11).
  HBP: Galloway (4).
  GIDP: Matos (4).
  a-Ran for Kelley in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Braxton in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Leininger in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Galloway in the 7th.

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Inman       3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Glatch      c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Martin      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Maier       2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Mokiao-Atim 1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Gerardy     rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Swanson     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Guarnera    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Fariña      p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Egglest ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Murray  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Querrey pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Abbott      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kromah      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   1   8   1   0   0   1   1  14   0   0  0.286
  2B: Fariña (4).
  E: Abbott (5).
  GIDP: Maier (2).
  a-Batted for Fariña in the 3rd.
  b-Singled in the 3rd.
  c-Ran in the 4th.

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Helgeson-Nielsen ....     9    7   31  3.4    2    0    0    0    5    0    -
Moore (W, 7-8) ......    16   14   61  3.8    5    1    1    1    8    0  2-1
Villasanti (F, 13) ..     5    6   16  3.2    1    0    0    0    2    0  3-0

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Fariña ..............    13   11   56  4.3    2    2    2    1    6    0    -
Sanchez .............    13    7   42  3.2    2    4    1    4    3    0  1-1
Rico (L, 1-1) .......     8    9   28  3.5    0    3    3    1    1    0  3-2

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Helgeson-Nielsen (Outs 1-7) → Moore (Outs 8-21) → Villasanti (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cardozo (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Rosado (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Horvath (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Braxton (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Leininger (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Matos (Outs 1-27)

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Fariña (Outs 1-11) → Sanchez (Outs 12-18) → Rico (Outs 19-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Glatch (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Maier (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Inman (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Swanson (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Martin (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Guarnera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Dodgers (home) batted second; Giants batted first.
  First pitch 8:10 PM PT. Weather: 79°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 458279.
  Powerplays: Dodgers — Murray NF
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.11    Peak faced 13.50
    27 outs left: 1.11
    18 outs left: 1.50
     9 outs left: 3.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 11 Brad Galloway Manolo Figueroa (2B) 1–0
T 11 Brad Galloway Ignacio Rosado (1B) 2–0
T 11 Devon Horvath Brad Galloway (2B) 3–0
T 13 Hervé Capdevila Devon Horvath (3B) 4–0
T 18 Chase Sundling Raziel Jimenez (3B) 5–0
T 18 Ignacio Rosado Raziel Jimenez (3B) 6–0
T 19 Manolo Figueroa Eddie Anger (3B) 7–0
T 20 Sidney Helgeson-Nielsen Ignacio Rosado (3B) 8–0
T 25 Eddie Anger Orien Hoffken (3B) 9–0
B 7 Hubertus Murray Lawson Glatch (3B) 9–1 1.35
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.11
Peak faced 13.50
27 outs left 1.11
18 outs left 1.50
9 outs left 3.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wold Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 395' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Giants — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Antolín Matos — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA -6° · 91 ft Alafia Kelley — single · EV 91 mph · LA -19° · 86 ft Reuben Leininger — fielders_choice · EV 71 mph · LA -17° · 68 ft Brad Galloway — double · EV 94 mph · LA +31° · 315 ft Hervé Capdevila — single · EV 81 mph · LA +3° · 77 ft Manolo Figueroa — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA +10° · 66 ft Raziel Jimenez — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA +22° · 129 ft Eddie Anger — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +15° · 177 ft Devon Horvath — single · EV 56 mph · LA -25° · 53 ft Alafia Kelley — error · EV 72 mph · LA -6° · 68 ft Antolín Matos — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +26° · 191 ft Antolín Matos — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA +13° · 79 ft Antolín Matos — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +11° · 91 ft Maximo Cardozo — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -17° · 66 ft Devon Horvath — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -17° · 82 ft
Dodgers — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 7 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Quentin Maier — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Colton Swanson — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -0° · 76 ft Lawson Glatch — single · EV 64 mph · LA +16° · 85 ft Arturo Fariña — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 192 ft Hubertus Murray — single · EV 82 mph · LA +14° · 130 ft Daylan Querrey — single · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Tanner Gerardy — single · EV 70 mph · LA +21° · 129 ft Oliver Inman — single · EV 63 mph · LA +12° · 67 ft Quentin Maier — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 116 ft Lenny Eggleston — single · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Oliver Inman — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 195 ft Quentin Maier — double_play · EV 62 mph · LA -14° · 58 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Giants
93% deserve-to-win  ·  6.1 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +2.9 vs expected
contact: 5.7 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.7 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Brad Galloway 94 / +31° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Devon Horvath 56 / -25° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Eddie Anger 94 / +15° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Hervé Capdevila 81 / +3° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.69
Alafia Kelley 91 / -19° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.63
Dodgers
7% deserve-to-win  ·  1.6 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 4.8 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+4.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Arturo Fariña 92 / +17° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Daylan Querrey 76 / -5° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Lenny Eggleston 76 / -12° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Oliver Inman 63 / +12° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Lawson Glatch 64 / +16° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
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