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Royals 6, Red Sox 5                                         2026-08-31 · #1541
at North Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Kansas City             6    6    7    1
Boston                  5    5    5    0

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sabella     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hackett     p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Fuenzalida  rf ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Altamir pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Alinen      lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Inglis  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Rosales     3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  c-Graham  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Talavera    cf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Monson  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Linnehan    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Vera        2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Espinoza    ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Tanguil ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Farley  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Press       j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  14   6   7   2   0   0   4   4   4   0   2  0.500
  2B: Fuenzalida (4), Tanguilig (17).
  E: Monson (7).
  a-Ran for Fuenzalida in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Alinen in the 3rd.
  c-Struck out for Rosales in the 3rd.
  d-Grounded out for Talavera in the 3rd.
  e-Doubled in the 5th.
  f-Walked in the 5th.

RED SOX
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Suazo       2b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Merrill     lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Venegas     3b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.333
Pfister     cf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Núñez       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Nytes       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Miranda ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Falby       1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Cameron     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Endō        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Pope    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Rowley  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Hodges  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Pezzell ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Echever pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Malard      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Strachan    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  27   5   5   2   0   0   5   6  11   0   0  0.185
  2B: Suazo (21), Venegas (18).
  HBP: Cameron (4).
  a-Batted for Nytes in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Endō in the 2nd.
  c-Ran in the 3rd.
  d-Ran in the 4th.
  e-Batted in the 5th.
  f-Ran in the 6th.

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hackett (W, 13-13) ..    18   13  48%    5    4    4    3    4    0   62    -
Kopinski ............    15   14  52%    0    1    1    3    7    0   44  2-1

RED SOX PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Endō (L, 3-3) .......     5    2   7%    3    3    3    1    1    0   16    -
Martín ..............    11   10  37%    3    2    2    2    3    0   44  1-1
Johnson .............     2    1   4%    1    1    1    1    0    0    1  1-1

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Hackett (Outs 1-13) → Kopinski (Outs 14-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Vera (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Espinoza (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Alinen (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Talavera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-27)

RED SOX DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-13)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Endō (Outs 1-2) → Martín (Outs 3-12) → Johnson (Outs 13-13)
CATCHER (C)       | Núñez (Outs 1-13)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Falby (Outs 1-13)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Suazo (Outs 1-13)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Venegas (Outs 1-13)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Nytes (Outs 1-13)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Merrill (Outs 1-13)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Pfister (Outs 1-13)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Cameron (Outs 1-13)

  Batting order: Red Sox (home) batted first; Royals batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM ET. Weather: 78°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 521455.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.67    Peak faced 0.67
    27 outs left: 0.56
    18 outs left: 0.33
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 0 Kervin Venegas Manuel Suazo (2B) 0–1 —
B 0 Kervin Venegas Henri Merrill (1B) 0–2 —
B 0 Pancho Pfister Kervin Venegas (2B) 0–3 —
B 11 Jide Falby Raymond Rowley (2B) 0–4 —
B 20 Daylan Miranda Bernard Strachan (2B) 0–5 —
T 0 Zach Alinen Finn Hackett (2B) 1–5 0.56
T 2 Reinaldo Talavera Jhonder Fuenzalida (3B) 2–5 0.48
T 2 Reinaldo Talavera Zach Alinen (3B) 3–5 0.36
T 3 Eugenio Vera Reinaldo Talavera (3B) 4–5 0.25
T 12 Landon Tanguilig Chico Press (3B) 5–5 0.20
T 12 Finn Hackett Landon Tanguilig (2B) 6–5 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.67
Peak faced 0.67
27 outs left 0.56
18 outs left 0.33
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to North Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 356' · CF 454' · RF 319' · 14' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Royals — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
356' 454' 319' Wall 14' Jhonder Fuenzalida — single · EV 94 mph · LA -6° · 90 ft Zach Alinen — single · EV 114 mph · LA +29° · 438 ft Reinaldo Talavera — single · EV 93 mph · LA -7° · 88 ft Eugenio Vera — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -1° · 84 ft Mario Espinoza — single · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Kael Monson — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 73 ft Rich Linnehan — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -0° · 76 ft Landon Tanguilig — double · EV 94 mph · LA +24° · 262 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — double · EV 111 mph · LA +11° · 185 ft Finn Hackett — single · EV 91 mph · LA +22° · 233 ft
Red Sox — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
356' 454' 319' Wall 14' Manuel Suazo — double · EV 119 mph · LA +35° · 480 ft Kervin Venegas — double · EV 114 mph · LA +26° · 412 ft Pancho Pfister — single · EV 97 mph · LA +6° · 92 ft Inman Nytes — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 143 ft Bernard Strachan — single · EV 114 mph · LA -12° · 108 ft Pancho Pfister — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -13° · 83 ft Walter Núñez — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +17° · 218 ft Jide Falby — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Daylan Miranda — error · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 197 ft Teófilo Pezzella — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft Pancho Pfister — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 110 ft Henri Merrill — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -3° · 76 ft Pancho Pfister — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +58° · 480 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
29% deserve-to-win  ·  6.2 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 8.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+0.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zach Alinen 114 / +29° Pull Single 2.9 → 1 -1.93
Landon Tanguilig 94 / +24° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Mario Espinoza 76 / -10° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Jhonder Fuenzalida 94 / -6° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Reinaldo Talavera 93 / -7° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Red Sox
71% deserve-to-win  ·  9.7 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -4.7 vs expected
contact: 15.0 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-8.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Manuel Suazo 119 / +35° Center Double 3.6 → 2 -1.64
Inman Nytes 100 / +10° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Pancho Pfister 100 / +8° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Walter Núñez 99 / +17° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Pancho Pfister 119 / +58° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.02
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