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Rockies 22, Athletics 5                                     2026-09-01 · #1550
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Oakland                 5      0    5    9    0
Colorado               22      0   22   20    0

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fehr        cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gerlach     2b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Sinclair    1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
DeLong      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Korda       c  ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.500
Molina      3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Sawchuk     rf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Rodrigues   ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
MacPhie     p  ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   2   0   0  0.250
  a-Sutton  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Crutchf pr ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  33   5   9   1   0   1   5   0  13   0   0  0.273
  2B: Crutchfield (2).
  HR: MacPhie (1), off Grimes.
  SB: Korda (23), Crutchfield (5).
  a-Grounded out in the 7th.
  b-Ran in the 8th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goss        lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Dávila      p  ......    4   3   3   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.750
Alderman    cf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Chaves      1b ......    4   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Herr        2b ......    5   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.200
Ruidíaz     c  ......    6   3   4   1   0   0   4   0   1   0   0  0.667
Vidal       rf ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.200
Poling      3b ......    4   4   3   3   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.750
Martinho    ss ......    5   4   5   2   1   1   6   1   1   1   0  1.000
Evett       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Diatta  ph ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  42  22  20   9   1   2  21   5  11   1   0  0.476
  2B: Goss (46), Chaves (27), Herr (2), Ruidíaz (14), Poling 3 (23), Martinho 2 (61).
  3B: Martinho (5).
  HR: Martinho (34), off Fehr; Diatta (21), off Dreyer.
  SB: Herr (8).
  HBP: Alderman (10), Poling (8).
  a-Batted in the 6th.

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
MacPhie .............     9    8  30%    1    0    0    0    4    0   36    -
Delfino .............     4    2   7%    2    2    2    0    1    0   14  1-1
Suárez ..............     7    5  19%    1    2    2    2    1    0   23  1-1
Sun .................     4    1   4%    3    3    3    0    1    0   10  1-1
Woodard (L, 0-2) ....     7    3  11%    6    4    4    0    1    0   26  1-1
Benning .............     7    3  11%    3    4    4    1    1    0   20  1-0
Dreyer ..............     7    4  15%    2    4    3    0    1    1   25  1-1
Fehr ................     5    1   4%    2    3    3    2    1    1   23  1-1

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Dávila ..............    11    9  33%    3    1    1    0    6    0   45    -
Arakawa (W, 2-0) ....     7    9  33%    0    0    0    0    4    0   23  1-0
Ribas ...............     7    5  19%    2    0    0    0    1    0   23    -
Grimes (F, 14) ......     7    4  15%    3    4    3    0    2    1   29  1-1

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | MacPhie (Outs 1-8) → Delfino (Outs 9-10) → Suárez (Outs 11-15) → Sun (Outs 16-16) → Woodard (Outs 17-19) → Benning (Outs 20-22) → Dreyer (Outs 23-26) → Fehr (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Korda (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gerlach (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Molina (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Rodrigues (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sawchuk (Outs 1-27)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Dávila (Outs 1-9) → Arakawa (Outs 10-18) → Ribas (Outs 19-23) → Grimes (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Herr (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Evett (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Vidal (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted first; Athletics batted second.
  Seconds: OAK o25 (5-22), COL o25 (22-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM MT. Weather: 76°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 16925.
  Walk-Back runs: off Dreyer 1, off Grimes 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 2.56    Peak faced 27.00
    27 outs left: 2.56
    18 outs left: 3.67
     9 outs left: 7.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 6 Markeylin Martinho Leonel Dávila (3B) 0–1 —
B 6 Markeylin Martinho Reed Poling (1B) 0–2 —
B 9 Marco Ruidíaz Markeylin Martinho (3B) 0–3 —
B 11 Ahkhari Goss Marco Ruidíaz (3B) 0–4 —
B 13 Ahkhari Goss Leonel Dávila (2B) 0–5 —
B 13 Leonel Dávila Ahkhari Goss (2B) 0–6 —
B 14 Jeyland Chaves Leonel Dávila (1B) 0–7 —
B 14 Ronald Herr Jeyland Chaves (2B) 0–8 —
B 14 Marco Ruidíaz Ronald Herr (3B) 0–9 —
B 16 Markeylin Martinho Reed Poling (2B) 0–10 —
B 17 Leonel Dávila Markeylin Martinho (2B) 0–11 —
B 19 Marco Ruidíaz Allen Alderman (2B) 0–12 —
B 20 Reed Poling Ronald Herr (2B) 0–13 —
B 20 Reed Poling Marco Ruidíaz (1B) 0–14 —
B 20 Markeylin Martinho Reed Poling (2B) 0–15 —
B 20 John Diatta Markeylin Martinho (1B) 0–16 —
B 20 John Diatta John Diatta (HR) 0–17 —
B 22 Ronald Herr John Diatta (3B) 0–18 —
B 23 Marco Ruidíaz Jeyland Chaves (2B) 0–19 —
B 24 Reed Poling Marco Ruidíaz (3B) 0–20 —
B 24 Markeylin Martinho Reed Poling (2B) 0–21 —
B 24 Markeylin Martinho Markeylin Martinho (HR) 0–22 —
T 5 Mauricio Rodrigues Frank Gerlach (2B) 1–22 3.00
T 23 Scott MacPhie Randy Korda (3B) 2–22 15.75
T 23 Scott MacPhie Emmett Crutchfield (1B) 3–22 15.00
T 23 Scott MacPhie Scott MacPhie (HR) 4–22 14.25
T 23 Emmett Crutchfield Scott MacPhie (3B) 5–22 13.50
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 2.56
Peak faced 27.00
27 outs left 2.56
18 outs left 3.67
9 outs left 7.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Athletics — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 6 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
341' 409' 308' Wilfredo Molina — single · EV 54 mph · LA +17° · 64 ft Frank Gerlach — single · EV 80 mph · LA +15° · 127 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — single · EV 60 mph · LA +17° · 81 ft Mauricio Rodrigues — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Arnold Sutton — line_out · EV 55 mph · LA +25° · 92 ft Emmett Crutchfield — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 192 ft Scott MacPhie — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Mauricio Rodrigues — fielders_choice · EV 61 mph · LA -22° · 58 ft Tobias DeLong — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 263 ft Hal Fehr — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -12° · 65 ft Cannon Sinclair — infield_single · EV 68 mph · LA -3° · 64 ft Tobias DeLong — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA +7° · 58 ft Randy Korda — single · EV 84 mph · LA +25° · 215 ft Frank Gerlach — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +37° · 104 ft Mauricio Rodrigues — single · EV 92 mph · LA -5° · 87 ft Scott MacPhie — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +45° · 341 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +18° · 149 ft Frank Gerlach — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -21° · 72 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
29 BIP· 8 1B · 10 XBH · 2 HR
341' 409' 308' Ahkhari Goss — fly_out · EV 118 mph · LA +12° · 222 ft Leonel Dávila — single · EV 88 mph · LA -12° · 84 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +8° · 97 ft Ronald Herr — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 231 ft Markeylin Martinho — double · EV 94 mph · LA +20° · 222 ft Markeylin Martinho — triple · EV 114 mph · LA +18° · 309 ft Youstin Vidal — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +18° · 198 ft Marco Ruidíaz — single · EV 103 mph · LA +1° · 98 ft Ronald Herr — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -2° · 84 ft Ahkhari Goss — fly_out · EV 116 mph · LA +52° · 480 ft Leonel Dávila — single · EV 77 mph · LA +25° · 184 ft Reed Poling — double · EV 99 mph · LA +15° · 192 ft John Diatta — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +29° · 400 ft Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 347 ft Jeyland Chaves — double · EV 118 mph · LA +16° · 297 ft Ronald Herr — double · EV 118 mph · LA +23° · 397 ft Marco Ruidíaz — single · EV 94 mph · LA -10° · 89 ft Youstin Vidal — single · EV 93 mph · LA -0° · 88 ft Markeylin Martinho — double · EV 114 mph · LA +14° · 244 ft Leonel Dávila — single · EV 81 mph · LA +15° · 133 ft Reed Poling — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 225 ft Jeyland Chaves — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +6° · 86 ft Marco Ruidíaz — single · EV 86 mph · LA +3° · 82 ft Markeylin Martinho — single · EV 99 mph · LA +21° · 257 ft Ronald Herr — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA +6° · 66 ft Reed Poling — double · EV 110 mph · LA +12° · 188 ft Marco Ruidíaz — double · EV 92 mph · LA +41° · 332 ft Youstin Vidal — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Markeylin Martinho — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +27° · 421 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Athletics
2% deserve-to-win  ·  2.7 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 6.6 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+5.4 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Scott MacPhie 92 / +45° Pull Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.82
Emmett Crutchfield 92 / +17° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Cannon Sinclair 68 / -3° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Tobias DeLong 92 / +26° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Randy Korda 84 / +25° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.62
Rockies
98% deserve-to-win  ·  18.5 expected runs
actual 22 runs  ·  +3.5 vs expected
contact: 29.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 36.0 (+6.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
John Diatta 108 / +29° Oppo Home Run 2.2 → 4 +1.75
Ahkhari Goss 118 / +12° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Ronald Herr 100 / +18° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.42
Markeylin Martinho 114 / +18° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.29
Markeylin Martinho 115 / +27° Center Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.07
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