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Red Sox 2, Royals 2  (4 SI)                                 2026-09-01 · #1551
at North Ground
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Kansas City             2      0    2    9    0
Boston                  2      0    2    6    0

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fuenzalida  rf ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Altamir pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Alinen      lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sabella     1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.250
Rosales     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Graham  ph ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Linnehan    c  ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Monson      2b ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.200
Vera        cf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.250
Espinoza    ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Devens  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kortovich   p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1   .000
  d-Talaver pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Fontes  ph ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
  f-Farley  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Press       j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  40   2   9   1   0   0   2   4  17   0   1  0.225
  2B: Fuenzalida (5).
  SB: Altamirano 2 (22).
  CS: Vera (5), Altamirano (12).
  a-Ran for Fuenzalida in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Rosales in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Espinoza in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Kortovich in the 5th.
  e-Batted for Devens in the 5th.
  f-Batted in the 6th.

RED SOX
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Merrill     lf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Rowley  ph ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Venegas     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Nytes   ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Pfister     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Cameron pr ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Núñez       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Falby       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Miranda ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Saravia     1b ......    5   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.200
Wolfe       3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Cordano     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Hampton     p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Suazo   ph ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Hodges  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Hobbs   pr ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Malard      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  38   2   6   3   0   0   2   5  13   0   0  0.158
  2B: Merrill (6), Cameron (11), Saravia (14).
  GIDP: Hobbs (1), Saravia (8).
  a-Batted for Merrill in the 7th.
  b-Batted for Venegas in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Pfister in the 4th.
  d-Batted for Falby in the 8th.
  e-Batted in the 8th.
  f-Ran in the 6th.
  g-Ran in the 8th.

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kortovich ...........    21   19  70%    3    0    0    2    6    0   57    -
Zingaro .............     7    7  26%    1    0    0    1    2    0   24    -
Lamar ...............     7    6  22%    1    0    0    0    3    0   23    -
Obaldía .............     8    7  26%    1    2    2    2    2    0   37  1-0

RED SOX PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hampton .............    21   17  63%    4    1    1    1   11    0   92    -
Barnhill ............     7    9  33%    2    1    1    0    2    0   22  2-1
Annacone ............     7    6  22%    1    0    0    1    1    0   13  1-0
Cortez ..............     9    7  26%    2    0    0    2    4    0   45  1-0

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-39)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Kortovich (Outs 1-19) → Zingaro (Outs 20-26) → Lamar (Outs 27-32) → Obaldía (Outs 33-39)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-39)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sabella (Outs 1-39)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-39)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-39)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Espinoza (Outs 1-39)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Alinen (Outs 1-39)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Vera (Outs 1-39)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-39)

RED SOX DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-39)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Hampton (Outs 1-17) → Barnhill (Outs 18-26) → Annacone (Outs 27-32) → Cortez (Outs 33-39)
CATCHER (C)       | Cordano (Outs 1-39)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Saravia (Outs 1-39)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Venegas (Outs 1-39)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Wolfe (Outs 1-39)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Falby (Outs 1-39)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Merrill (Outs 1-39)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Pfister (Outs 1-39)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Núñez (Outs 1-39)

  Batting order: Red Sox (home) batted second; Royals batted first.
  Super-innings: 4.
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 47°F · Wind cross · Clear · Humid. seed 610521.
  Powerplays: Red Sox — Nytes NF (O24)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.33    Peak faced 1.50
    27 outs left: 0.33
    18 outs left: 0.50
     9 outs left: 1.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 5 Mario Espinoza Jhonder Fuenzalida (3B) 1–0 —
T 5 Roscoe Kortovich Efraín Sabella (3B) 2–0 —
B 22 Xzavier Wolfe Jacob Hodges (3B) 2–1 1.20
B 23 Bodey Hobbs Daylan Miranda (3B) 2–2 0.75
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.33
Peak faced 1.50
27 outs left 0.33
18 outs left 0.50
9 outs left 1.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to North Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 356' · CF 454' · RF 319' · 14' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Royals — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 8 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
356' 454' 319' Wall 14' Jhonder Fuenzalida — double · EV 92 mph · LA +46° · 338 ft Efraín Sabella — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 176 ft Eugenio Vera — line_out · EV 72 mph · LA +10° · 71 ft Mario Espinoza — single · EV 70 mph · LA +15° · 99 ft Chico Press — single · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 116 ft Yamil Fontes — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA -12° · 65 ft Ramon Altamirano — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA -1° · 75 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — single · EV 78 mph · LA -8° · 74 ft Efraín Sabella — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +17° · 152 ft Rich Linnehan — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +13° · 114 ft Kael Monson — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -9° · 67 ft Chico Press — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 218 ft George Graham — line_out · EV 70 mph · LA +16° · 107 ft Ramon Altamirano — single · EV 92 mph · LA +37° · 326 ft Reinaldo Talavera — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Efraín Sabella — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Kael Monson — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 152 ft Eugenio Vera — single · EV 114 mph · LA +25° · 399 ft George Graham — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +7° · 81 ft
Red Sox — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
356' 454' 319' Wall 14' Henri Merrill — double · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 309 ft Pancho Pfister — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 346 ft Walter Núñez — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -4° · 95 ft Diego Saravia — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +37° · 384 ft Vinicius Cordano — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -3° · 95 ft Junie Hampton — single · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 134 ft Manuel Suazo — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +21° · 195 ft Daylan Miranda — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -12° · 84 ft Bodey Hobbs — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +10° · 122 ft Tony Cameron — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 234 ft Xzavier Wolfe — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -27° · 84 ft Manuel Suazo — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -18° · 84 ft Bodey Hobbs — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -7° · 74 ft Daylan Miranda — single · EV 78 mph · LA -20° · 74 ft Xzavier Wolfe — single · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 176 ft Raymond Rowley — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -11° · 95 ft Manuel Suazo — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 73 ft Vinicius Cordano — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft Bodey Hobbs — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Daylan Miranda — error · EV 67 mph · LA -5° · 64 ft Diego Saravia — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 140 ft Raymond Rowley — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +13° · 170 ft Manuel Suazo — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA +0° · 61 ft Diego Saravia — double_play · EV 71 mph · LA -1° · 68 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
34% deserve-to-win  ·  7.1 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -5.1 vs expected
contact: 12.3 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-2.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eugenio Vera 114 / +25° Pull Single 2.9 → 1 -1.93
Yamil Fontes 69 / -12° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Chico Press 92 / +20° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Jhonder Fuenzalida 92 / +46° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Jhonder Fuenzalida 78 / -8° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Red Sox
66% deserve-to-win  ·  10.0 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -8.0 vs expected
contact: 15.9 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-6.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Diego Saravia 100 / +37° Pull Out 1.9 → 0 -1.93
Pancho Pfister 100 / +30° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.33
Diego Saravia 92 / +12° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Raymond Rowley 98 / +13° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.10
Bodey Hobbs 93 / +10° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
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