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Giants 11, Dodgers 6                                        2026-09-05 · #1585
at Wold Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
San Francisco          11   11   11    0
Los Angeles             6    6    5    2

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Petty       c  ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Matos       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Jimenez pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kelley      ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Galloway    lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.333
Horvath     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Leining ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Braxton     cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Figuero pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Rosado      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Hoffken     3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mateas      p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Cardozo ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Anger   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Short   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Lacasse     j  ......    2   2   3   2   0   0   3   0   0   1   0  1.500
Capdevila   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  35  11  11   3   0   0  11   5   8   1   0  0.314
  2B: Galloway (26), Lacasse 2 (7).
  SB: Petty (1).
  CS: Horvath (8).
  GIDP: Petty (3), Kelley (12).
  a-Ran for Matos in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Horvath in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Braxton in the 4th.
  d-Walked for Mateas in the 6th.
  e-Ran for Cardozo in the 6th.
  f-Batted in the 7th.

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Roby        ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Inman       cf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Egglest ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ochoa       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Maier       lf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Gerardy     rf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Martin  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mokiao-Atim 1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Swanson     3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Glatch      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tiernan     p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Lepchen pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Boyajya ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
  e-Gleason ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Saffold pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Querrey pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Abbott      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   6   5   2   0   0   5   5  14   0   0  0.167
  2B: Eggleston (16), Gerardy (9).
  E: Eggleston (11), Roby (6).
  a-Batted for Inman in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Gerardy in the 3rd.
  c-Ran in the 6th.
  d-Batted in the 4th.
  e-Singled in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Gleason in the 4th.
  g-Ran in the 5th.

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Mateas ..............     9    6   37  4.1    1    1    1    2    2    0    -
Clements ............     7    4   28  4.0    2    2    2    1    2    0  2-1
Ishibashi (W, 1-0) ..     9    9   40  4.4    0    1    1    1    5    0  3-1
Mori ................     9    7   21  2.3    2    2    2    1    4    0  2-1
Helgeson-Nielsen ....     1    1    3  3.0    0    0    0    0    1    0  2-0

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Tiernan .............     9    7   27  3.0    1    1    1    0    2    0    -
Villarreal ..........     7    5   31  4.4    3    1    1    1    1    0  1-0
Rico ................     7    4   24  3.4    3    3    3    2    1    0  3-2
Noguchi (L, 1-1) ....     6    2   22  3.7    4    5    5    1    0    0  3-3
Byrd ................     7    6   28  4.0    0    1    1    1    3    0  2-1
Heinrich ............     3    3   12  4.0    0    0    0    0    1    0  2-0

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Mateas (Outs 1-6) → Clements (Outs 7-10) → Ishibashi (Outs 11-19) → Mori (Outs 20-26) → Helgeson-Nielsen (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Petty (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Rosado (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Horvath (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Galloway (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Braxton (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Matos (Outs 1-27)

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Tiernan (Outs 1-7) → Villarreal (Outs 8-12) → Rico (Outs 13-16) → Noguchi (Outs 17-18) → Byrd (Outs 19-24) → Heinrich (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Glatch (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ochoa (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Swanson (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Roby (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maier (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Inman (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Dodgers (home) batted second; Giants batted first.
  First pitch 7:15 PM PT. Weather: 75°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 947526.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.33    Peak faced 18.00
    27 outs left: 1.33
    18 outs left: 1.50
     9 outs left: 2.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 3 Stefan Braxton Matías Petty (3B) 1–0 —
T 11 Brad Galloway Tally Mateas (3B) 2–0 —
T 14 Leo Lacasse Manolo Figueroa (3B) 3–0 —
T 15 Orien Hoffken Leo Lacasse (2B) 4–0 —
T 16 Manolo Figueroa Brad Galloway (3B) 5–0 —
T 16 Reuben Leininger Eddie Anger (3B) 6–0 —
T 16 Brad Galloway Ignacio Rosado (3B) 7–0 —
T 18 Raziel Jimenez Manolo Figueroa (3B) 8–0 —
T 18 Leo Lacasse Reuben Leininger (3B) 9–0 —
T 18 Leo Lacasse Raziel Jimenez (2B) 10–0 —
T 22 Brad Galloway Leo Lacasse (2B) 11–0 —
B 3 Lawson Glatch Oliver Inman (2B) 11–1 1.38
B 7 Lenny Eggleston Quentin Maier (3B) 11–2 1.50
B 8 Tanner Gerardy Andy Lepchenko (3B) 11–3 1.42
B 13 Quentin Maier Thomas Martin (3B) 11–4 1.71
B 23 Lenny Eggleston Daylan Querrey (3B) 11–5 5.25
B 24 Daylan Querrey Lenny Eggleston (2B) 11–6 6.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.33
Peak faced 18.00
27 outs left 1.33
18 outs left 1.50
9 outs left 2.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wold Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 395' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Giants — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 8 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Matías Petty — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 176 ft Antolín Matos — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 97 ft Devon Horvath — error · EV 60 mph · LA -7° · 57 ft Stefan Braxton — error · EV 69 mph · LA +26° · 148 ft Ignacio Rosado — fly_out · EV 59 mph · LA +26° · 110 ft Orien Hoffken — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Leo Lacasse — double · EV 76 mph · LA +50° · 228 ft Manolo Figueroa — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 76 ft Reuben Leininger — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 120 ft Raziel Jimenez — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 187 ft Leo Lacasse — single · EV 52 mph · LA +22° · 76 ft Ignacio Rosado — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 149 ft Stefan Braxton — single · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Devon Horvath — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Brad Galloway — double · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 120 ft Matías Petty — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +5° · 49 ft Leo Lacasse — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 191 ft Orien Hoffken — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Alafia Kelley — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Matías Petty — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 148 ft Brad Galloway — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +0° · 49 ft Orien Hoffken — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 207 ft Matías Petty — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +29° · 122 ft
Dodgers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Quentin Maier — single · EV 75 mph · LA -6° · 71 ft Bautista Ochoa — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 175 ft Lawson Glatch — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -5° · 53 ft Jaylen Tiernan — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +4° · 75 ft Lenny Eggleston — line_out · EV 65 mph · LA +21° · 111 ft Elliott Gleason — single · EV 85 mph · LA +12° · 114 ft Berkeley Abbott — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +46° · 338 ft Tanner Gerardy — double · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 333 ft Ben Mokiao-Atimalala — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Eugene Roby — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 191 ft Daylan Querrey — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +24° · 192 ft Quentin Maier — fly_out · EV 73 mph · LA +38° · 209 ft Lenny Eggleston — double · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 227 ft Jed Boyajyan — single · EV 90 mph · LA -2° · 86 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Giants
63% deserve-to-win  ·  5.7 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +5.3 vs expected
contact: 9.6 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+3.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Brad Galloway 92 / +10° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Devon Horvath 92 / +42° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Leo Lacasse 92 / +17° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Leo Lacasse 76 / +50° Pull Stay 0.1 → 1 +0.92
Orien Hoffken 92 / +19° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Dodgers
37% deserve-to-win  ·  4.3 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.7 vs expected
contact: 7.0 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Berkeley Abbott 92 / +46° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Lenny Eggleston 92 / +21° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Tanner Gerardy 92 / +40° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Bautista Ochoa 92 / +16° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Quentin Maier 75 / -6° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
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