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Orcas 4, Diamondbacks 3                                     2026-09-05 · #1586
at Arizona Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Vancouver               4    4    4    0
Arizona                 3    3    2    1

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Badger      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Delía       c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Peavy       cf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Godín       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Balanta     rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mendez      lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Alonso-Corc ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Krickstein  1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Pruitt      p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  a-Vallado pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Irvin   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Noonan  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Quinter pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-McInern pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cuéllar     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Turrentine  j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   4   4   0   0   0   3   7  10   0   0  0.154
  SB: Valladolid (8).
  HBP: Mendez (7), Pruitt (1).
  GIDP: Alonso-Corcelles (10), Quintero (1).
  a-Ran in the 3rd.
  b-Grounded out for Valladolid in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 3rd.
  d-Ran in the 4th.
  e-Ran in the 6th.

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Henry       3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pierre-Loui 1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Start       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Alderman    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Foyth       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  a-O'Conne pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Linton      rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Pope    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Bektas      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-McNutt  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Aogo        2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Gronows pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Calafiori   p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Gibson  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Ullstro ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Sitanil ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Kruger  ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Manasse     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   3   2   1   0   0   2   6  12   0   1  0.080
  2B: Kruger (6).
  SB: Pope (3).
  E: Pierre-Louis (4).
  a-Ran for Foyth in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Linton in the 6th.
  c-Batted for Bektas in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Aogo in the 3rd.
  e-Ran for Calafiori in the 7th.
  f-Batted for Manasse in the 5th.
  g-Batted in the 6th.
  h-Batted in the 7th.

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Pruitt ..............     7    5   28  4.0    1    0    0    2    2    0    -
Abreu (W, 3-4) ......     8    9   27  3.4    0    1    1    1    3    0  2-0
Aupiu ...............     7    6   16  2.3    0    0    0    2    3    0  1-0
Quevedo .............     8    6   30  3.8    1    2    2    1    3    0  1-0
Bolaños .............     1    1    3  3.0    0    0    0    0    1    0  2-0

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Calafiori ...........     5    4   13  2.6    1    0    0    1    1    0    -
Daugherty ...........     8    6   19  2.4    1    0    0    0    0    0  1-0
Phebus (L, 0-2) .....     9    7   33  3.7    2    2    1    0    5    0  3-1
Cheek ...............     8    6   24  3.0    0    1    1    3    4    0  2-1
Konig ...............     5    4   20  4.0    0    1    1    3    0    0  2-0

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Pruitt (Outs 1-5) → Abreu (Outs 6-14) → Aupiu (Outs 15-20) → Quevedo (Outs 21-26) → Bolaños (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Delía (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Krickstein (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Godín (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Badger (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Alonso-Corcelles (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Balanta (Outs 1-27)

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Calafiori (Outs 1-4) → Daugherty (Outs 5-10) → Phebus (Outs 11-17) → Cheek (Outs 18-23) → Konig (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Bektas (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Pierre-Louis (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Aogo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Henry (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Start (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Foyth (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Linton (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Diamondbacks (home) batted second; Orcas batted first.
  First pitch 1:30 PM MT. Weather: 76°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 56571.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.56    Peak faced 6.00
    27 outs left: 0.56
    18 outs left: 0.83
     9 outs left: 1.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 10 Noel Balanta Nahitan Valladolid (3B) 1–0 —
T 17 Herb Noonan Jonás Quintero (3B) 2–0 —
T 19 Norris Mendez Andrea Peavy (3B) 3–0 —
T 24 Herb Noonan Lipe McInerney (3B) 4–0 —
B 10 Ivan Pope Ivan Pope (3B) 4–1 0.71
B 20 Miguel McNutt Ron Gronowski (3B) 4–2 1.29
B 26 Graydon Kruger Don O'Connell (2B) 4–3 6.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.56
Peak faced 6.00
27 outs left 0.56
18 outs left 0.83
9 outs left 1.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Arizona Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 340' · CF 429' · RF 341' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest Ivy Wall
Orcas — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Mateus Delía — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -7° · 69 ft Andrea Peavy — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +34° · 243 ft Noel Balanta — single · EV 86 mph · LA -12° · 82 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +1° · 49 ft William Krickstein — fly_out · EV 74 mph · LA +35° · 208 ft Stuart Irvin — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +29° · 307 ft Herb Noonan — infield_single · EV 67 mph · LA -4° · 63 ft William Krickstein — single · EV 79 mph · LA +48° · 246 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +25° · 230 ft Andrea Peavy — error · EV 72 mph · LA -28° · 69 ft Mateus Delía — single · EV 78 mph · LA -32° · 74 ft Coen Turrentine — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 109 ft Jonás Quintero — double_play · EV 87 mph · LA -6° · 83 ft
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Toby Start — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -4° · 73 ft Bryce Alderman — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +13° · 121 ft Miguel Linton — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 218 ft Nicolás Calafiori — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 210 ft Dennis Manasse — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Irving Ullstrom — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 98 ft Eugene Henry — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 122 ft Miguel McNutt — line_out · EV 105 mph · LA +22° · 312 ft Gavin Sitanilei — fielders_choice · EV 56 mph · LA +4° · 53 ft Graydon Kruger — double · EV 93 mph · LA +44° · 346 ft Bryce Alderman — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +16° · 224 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Orcas
43% deserve-to-win  ·  4.9 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 4.4 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Stuart Irvin 95 / +29° Oppo Out 1.1 → 0 -1.07
William Krickstein 79 / +48° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.92
Herb Noonan 67 / -4° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Coen Turrentine 88 / +10° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Mateus Delía 78 / -32° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Diamondbacks
57% deserve-to-win  ·  5.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -2.7 vs expected
contact: 7.3 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-4.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Miguel McNutt 105 / +22° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.68
Bryce Alderman 102 / +16° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.41
Graydon Kruger 93 / +44° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
Bryce Alderman 82 / +13° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Eugene Henry 76 / +16° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
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