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Guardians 8, Orcas 7                                         2026-06-25 · #898
at Abdurakhmanov Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Cleveland               8    8    8    0
Vancouver               7    7    5    0

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Andrade     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Bannatyne   rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Hutson  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Feitshans   3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Velez   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
González    1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Cabrera     ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   1  0.333
Enquist     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Tanner  ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
DeLong      2b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Ardón   ph ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Maier       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Anwunah ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Lue         p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Rollins pr ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
  g-Barg    pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  h-Druz    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Nieto       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Suggs       j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  28   8   8   2   0   0   8   4  13   0   1  0.286
  2B: Ardón (4), Rollins (3).
  CS: Ardón (5).
  HBP: Feitshans (2), Hutson (4).
  a-Was hit by a pitch for Bannatyne in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Feitshans in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Enquist in the 7th.
  d-Batted for DeLong in the 4th.
  e-Batted for Maier in the 5th.
  f-Ran for Lue in the 3rd.
  g-Ran in the 7th.
  h-Ran in the 4th.

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Badger      3b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Whitley pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Valdivia    ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Peavy   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Alonso-Corc rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Balotelli   2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Prince      lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Teeguarden  1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Noonan      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Irvin   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Garcés      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Godín   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Velez       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Millar  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Roker       j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   1  0.500
Turrentine  j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   7   5   2   0   0   5   5   9   0   1  0.192
  2B: Prince (9), Roker (9).
  SB: Whitley (4).
  HBP: Garcés (2).
  GIDP: Balotelli (4), Garcés (7).
  Squeeze: Roker (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Badger in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Valdivia in the 3rd.
  c-Batted for Noonan in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Garcés in the 5th.
  e-Batted for Velez in the 5th.

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lue (W, 1-1) ........    19   14  52%    3    4    4    3    5    0   76    -
Robles ..............    14   13  48%    2    3    3    2    5    0   50  2-1

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Velez (L, 9-9) ......    16   12  44%    3    4    4    1    6    0   55    -
Blackshear ..........    16   12  44%    4    2    2    2    7    0   46  1-0
Quevedo .............     2    0   0%    1    2    2    1    0    0    9  2-2

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lue (Outs 1-14) → Robles (Outs 15-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | González (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | DeLong (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Feitshans (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cabrera (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maier (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Enquist (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Bannatyne (Outs 1-27)

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-24)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Velez (Outs 1-12) → Blackshear (Outs 13-24)
CATCHER (C)       | Noonan (Outs 1-24)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Teeguarden (Outs 1-24)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Balotelli (Outs 1-24)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Badger (Outs 1-24)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Valdivia (Outs 1-24)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Prince (Outs 1-24)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Garcés (Outs 1-24)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alonso-Corcelles (Outs 1-24)

  Batting order: Orcas (home) batted first; Guardians batted second.
  First pitch 7:05 PM PT. Weather: 61°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 500177.
  Powerplays: Guardians — Ardón NF (O21)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 6 Youstin Velez Louis Badger (3B) 0–1
B 9 Karim Balotelli Andrea Peavy (3B) 0–2
B 13 Earthna Roker Berkeley Whitley (3B) 0–3
B 14 Earthna Roker Ivan Teeguarden (3B) 0–4
B 17 Jeff Prince Omar Godín (3B) 0–5
B 17 Jeff Prince Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles (1B) 0–6
B 24 Earthna Roker Jeff Prince (3B) 0–7
T 7 Bryan Andrade Tobias DeLong (2B) 1–7
T 11 Stan Nieto Hal Rollins (3B) 2–7
T 12 Júnior Ardón Hubert Druz (2B) 3–7
T 12 Júnior Ardón Justin Barg (1B) 4–7
T 22 Hal Rollins Eddie Velez (1B) 5–7
T 22 Amir Anwunah Hal Rollins (2B) 6–7
T 24 Sekou Cabrera Amir Anwunah (3B) 7–7
T 24 Sekou Cabrera Tony Tanner (2B) 8–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 282' · CF 485' · RF 283' · 12' wall). Bathtub.
Tal's Hill
Guardians — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
282' 485' 283' José González — single · EV 81 mph · LA -20° · 77 ft Tobias DeLong — single · EV 85 mph · LA +10° · 101 ft Gardnar Lue — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -2° · 79 ft Stan Nieto — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 185 ft Júnior Ardón — double · EV 93 mph · LA +26° · 271 ft Amir Anwunah — fly_out · EV 74 mph · LA +26° · 172 ft Justin Barg — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 133 ft Bryan Andrade — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA +38° · 174 ft Dick Feitshans — single · EV 98 mph · LA -1° · 93 ft Hal Rollins — double · EV 94 mph · LA +15° · 181 ft Justin Barg — infield_single · EV 68 mph · LA -2° · 64 ft Amir Anwunah — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Sekou Cabrera — single · EV 77 mph · LA +23° · 173 ft
Orcas — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
282' 485' 283' Moisés Valdivia — single · EV 86 mph · LA +13° · 127 ft Karim Balotelli — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA -5° · 64 ft Tony Garcés — double_play · EV 55 mph · LA -25° · 52 ft Youstin Velez — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -12° · 62 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -2° · 54 ft Ivan Teeguarden — single · EV 78 mph · LA +21° · 163 ft Earthna Roker — double · EV 95 mph · LA +10° · 129 ft Andrea Peavy — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA +8° · 62 ft Berkeley Whitley — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +57° · 133 ft Coen Turrentine — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +10° · 93 ft Karim Balotelli — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +44° · 231 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — single · EV 92 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft John Millar — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 204 ft Jeff Prince — double · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 174 ft Karim Balotelli — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA +7° · 51 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Guardians
39% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +4.6 vs expected
contact: 5.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+4.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Júnior Ardón 93 / +26° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Hal Rollins 94 / +15° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Justin Barg 68 / -2° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Justin Barg 92 / +12° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Amir Anwunah 76 / +2° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Orcas
61% deserve-to-win  ·  4.3 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +2.7 vs expected
contact: 4.8 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+2.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Earthna Roker 95 / +10° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Jeff Prince 92 / +16° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Coen Turrentine 81 / +10° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles 92 / +2° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Ivan Teeguarden 78 / +21° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
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